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FC Porto vs Santa Clara match centre

FC Porto badgeFC PortoHome · 1 in league
DDWLW
Momentum→ Steady56/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Santa Clara badgeSanta ClaraAway · 13 in league
DWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling65/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Lima69′ (og)
Estádio Do Dragão · PortoSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.7%FC Porto
Draw3.2%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Santa Clara
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: FC Porto 4.7% · no further goal 92.0% · Santa Clara 3.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
FC PortoSanta Clara
8Corner Kicks5
10Fouls9
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves6
392Total passes331
320Passes accurate260

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primeira Liga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Porto35+4991—
2Sporting CP34+6582—
3Benfica34+4980—
4SC Braga34+2859—
5Famalicao34+1356—
6GIL Vicente34+950—
7Moreirense34-1243—
8Guimaraes34-1242↑ 1
9Arouca34-1742↓ 1
10Estoril34-339—
11Alverca34-1739—
12Santa Clara35-1036↑ 1
13Rio Ave34-2236↓ 1
14Nacional34-834—
15Estrela34-1830—
16Casa Pia34-2630—
17Tondela34-2828—
18AVS34-4021—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Porto 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Santa Clara 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC Porto

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect FC Porto’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Santa Clara

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Santa Clara’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Porto at home with Santa Clara away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC PortoSanta Clara
32Matches played32
85Points earned33
27Wins8
2.0Goals scored / match0.9
0.5Goals conceded / match1.3
20Clean sheets9
1Failed to score12

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Porto at home with Santa Clara away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Porto

Confirmed formation4-3-3Francesco Farioli
  1. 99D. CostaG
  2. 20A. CostaD
  3. 5J. BednarekD
  4. 4J. KiwiorD
  5. 74F. MouraD
  6. 8V. FroholdtM
  7. 22A. VarelaM
  8. 86R. MoraM
  9. 7William GomesF
  10. 27D. GulF
  11. 17B. SainzF
Substitutes (9)

24 · J. Costa

18 · N. Perez

66 · B. Lima

42 · S. Fofana

13 · P. Rosario

11 · Pepê

29 · T. Moffi

10 · G. Veiga

77 · O. Pietuszewski

Santa Clara

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Matos
  1. 50J. AfonsoG
  2. 2Diogo CalilaD
  3. 23S. LimaD
  4. 4P. PachecoD
  5. 64Paulo VictorD
  6. 65J. TavaresM
  7. 35SerginhoM
  8. 49Welinton TorraoM
  9. 77Gustavo KlismahnM
  10. 10Gabriel SilvaM
  11. 26FernandoF
Substitutes (9)

1 · Gabriel Batista

21 · F. Venancio

42 · Lucas Soares

52 · Isaac

37 · Darlan

7 · Elias Manoel

70 · Vinicius Lopes

78 · Andrey

94 · H. Silva

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Porto

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Diogo Costa726.6—0—20—
Alberto Costa907.0—0—273
Jan Bednarek907.7—0—74—
Jakub Kiwior907.6—02721
Francisco Moura816.7—0—191
Victor Froholdt826.6—0—292
Alan Varela906.9—01391
Rodrigo Mora907.2—0229—
William Gomes907.2—02274
Deniz Gül566.2—0—9—
Borja Sainz566.3—0—111
Oskar Pietuszewski346.7—0152
Gabri Veiga346.9—0—231
João Costa186.3—0—7—
Nehuén Pérez96.7—013—
Bernardo Lima86.9—0—2—
Pablo Rosario———————
Seko Fofana———————
Terem Moffi———————
Pepê———————

Santa Clara

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
João Afonso907.3—0—23—
Diogo Calila906.3—01292
Sidney Lima906.5—0—36—
Pedro Pacheco906.6—0—421
Paulo Victor866.7—0—383
José Tavares96.3—0—1—
Serginho907.3—01434
Welinton Torrao636.9—0—91
Gustavo Klismahn866.5—02151
Gabriel Silva906.0—02263
Luis Fernando626.2—0—17—
Andrey816.9—0—353
Elias Manoel286.5—0—5—
Vinícius Lopes276.9—0—82
Lucas Soares106.3—017—
Isaac106.6—0—6—
Gabriel Batista———————
Henrique Silva———————
Frederico Venâncio———————
Darlan———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFC PortoDrawSanta Clara
Bet3651.335.257.50

Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 12:40 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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