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Primeira LigaMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

Vitória SC vs Moreirense match centre

Vitória SC badgeVitória SCHome · 14 in league
WLDL
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Moreirense badgeMoreirenseAway · 12 in league
WLLW
Momentum→ Steady50/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Toni Borevković90+6′
Tiago Andrade52′
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques · GuimarãesSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 14:02 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 14:58 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.48Our model 57.6%Market 63.8% Draw4.00Our model 24.3%Market 23.6% Away win7.50Our model 18.0%Market 12.6% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 14:58 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Vitória SCMoreirense
3Corner Kicks0
10Fouls12
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
632Total passes327
546Passes accurate251

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Vitória SC 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Moreirense 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 14:16 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Vitória SC

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Vitória SC’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Moreirense

3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Moreirense’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Vitória SC at home with Moreirense away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:24 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Vitória SCMoreirense
6Matches played6
4Points earned7
1Wins2
0.7Goals scored / match1.2
1.2Goals conceded / match2.2
2Clean sheets1
3Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Vitória SC at home with Moreirense away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Vitória SC

3wins
1 draw

Moreirense

1wins

Mar 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Vitória SC

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tiago Margarido
  1. 48O. ZychG
  2. 23T. StrataD
  3. 21T. BorevkovićD
  4. 28Thiago BalieiroD
  5. 13João MendesD
  6. 8Gonçalo NogueiraM
  7. 44L. DoucetM
  8. 11GustavoM
  9. 10AlanM
  10. 7O. CamaraM
  11. 9A. JakupovicF
Substitutes (12)

22 · J. Castillo

19 · V. Andersson

82 · F. Dias

2 · Miguel Maga

6 · M. Mitrović

16 · Beni

17 · Miguel Nogueira

29 · V. Ouotro

4 · Óscar Rivas

20 · Samu

5 · A. Sidibé

56 · S. Verdi

Moreirense

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Costa
  1. 13André FerreiraG
  2. 76Dinis PintoD
  3. 66Gilberto BatistaD
  4. 26MaracásD
  5. 27KikoD
  6. 23N. JohnM
  7. 65Guilherme LiberatoM
  8. 10Kiko BondosoM
  9. 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano MendonçaM
  10. 19Tiago AndradeM
  11. 79L. VonićF
Substitutes (12)

9 · A. Duville-Parsemain

99 · Maranhão

8 · M. Stjepanović

28 · Chipyoka Songa

2 · Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos

21 · Rodri Alonso

17 · Álvaro Martínez

11 · Landerson

4 · Kevyn Monteiro

1 · Aranha

12 · Francisco Barbosa Sampaio

32 · José

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Moreirense

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
A. Duville-Parsemain00.000000
Tiago Andrade667.9102101
Gilberto Batista906.9001552
Kiko Bondoso636.4000171
Guilherme Liberato906.3000306
N. John896.4001262
Kiko906.7000375
Maracás907.0000522
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça676.4001104
Dinis Pinto906.0000242
L. Vonić637.301191
Aranha00.000000
André Ferreira906.2000280
Kevyn Monteiro16.100010
Landerson236.5000112
Álvaro Martínez00.000000
Rodri Alonso246.600090
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos00.000000
Chipyoka Songa275.900131
M. Stjepanović00.000000
Maranhão276.5000100
Francisco Barbosa Sampaio00.000000
José00.000000

Vitória SC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Castillo00.000000
Alan576.4000360
T. Borevković907.71021052
O. Camara726.5003150
L. Doucet576.9000470
Gustavo126.300100
A. Jakupovic906.4000247
João Mendes906.9000671
Gonçalo Nogueira576.8000361
T. Strata906.8001595
Thiago Balieiro907.00011021
V. Andersson186.100190
O. Zych906.0000340
F. Dias00.000000
Miguel Maga00.000000
M. Mitrović336.4003331
Beni337.1000350
Miguel Nogueira786.6013351
V. Ouotro00.000000
Óscar Rivas00.000000
Samu336.7001131
A. Sidibé00.000000
S. Verdi00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto77001831521
WWWWW
2Benfica75112271516
LWWWW
3Sporting CP7430178915
DDWWW
4Santa Clara7430114715
DWWDW
5Arouca7322107311
DLDWL
6SC Braga632175211
DWLWW
7Academico Viseu732299011
WWWLD
8Estrela72411414010
LDWDW
9GIL Vicente62225508
DLLDW
10Alverca7223911-28
WWLDL
11Maritimo7223812-48
DLLLD
12Moreirense7223814-68
DWLLW
13Famalicao71429727
WDDDL
14Vitória SC712458-35
DLDLW
15Nacional7115715-84
LLLLL
16Rio Ave7115515-104
LDLLW
17Casa Pia7115316-134
WLDLL
18Estoril7025310-72
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerVitória SCDrawMoreirense
William Hill1.444.207.00
Bet3651.484.007.50
Marathonbet1.454.206.80
Betfair1.444.207.00
BetVictor1.444.006.50

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 14:58 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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