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2. BundesligaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRE

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC match centre

Dynamo Dresden badgeDynamo DresdenHome · 17 in league
WLLD
Momentum↘ Falling29/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Hertha BSC badgeHertha BSCAway · 1 in league
DWWW
Momentum↗ Rising87/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Patrice Čović10′
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson29′
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson80′
Rudolf-Harbig Stadion · DresdenSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 15:52 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 19:29 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.45Our model 30.4%Market 37.8% Draw3.70Our model 22.3%Market 25.1% Away win2.50Our model 47.3%Market 37.1% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 19:29 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Dynamo DresdenHertha BSC
6Corner Kicks5
11Fouls9
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
446Total passes485
347Passes accurate390

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Dynamo Dresden 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Hertha BSC 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 23:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Dynamo Dresden

5/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Dynamo Dresden’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Hertha BSC

7/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Hertha BSC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Dynamo Dresden at home with Hertha BSC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

2. Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Dynamo DresdenHertha BSC
5Matches played5
4Points earned15
1Wins5
1.4Goals scored / match3.0
2.4Goals conceded / match1.2
1Clean sheets1
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Dynamo Dresden at home with Hertha BSC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Dynamo Dresden

1wins
1 draw

Hertha BSC

2wins

Mar 2013 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Dynamo Dresden

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thomas Stamm
  1. 1T. SchreiberG
  2. 44S. StraudiD
  3. 34T. NeiningerD
  4. 17A. MuhamedbegovićD
  5. 19A. RossipalD
  6. 18R. WagnerM
  7. 6N. RappM
  8. 24P. ČovićM
  9. 27N. HauptmannM
  10. 20B. BobzienM
  11. 9V. VermeijF
Substitutes (9)

40 · E. Bethke

33 · C. Daferner

16 · N. Fröling

11 · K. Inanoglu

10 · J. Lemmer

42 · F. Muller

7 · K. Okpala

21 · T. Raschl

32 · J. Sterner

Hertha BSC

Confirmed formation4-4-2S. Leitl
  1. 35M. GersbeckG
  2. 2J. EitschbergerD
  3. 44L. GechterD
  4. 27N. KolbeD
  5. 22M. PedersenD
  6. 19O. AdewumiM
  7. 8K. SessaM
  8. 30P. SeguinM
  9. 7J. BrekaloM
  10. 23J. ÞorsteinssonF
  11. 17S. GrønningF
Substitutes (9)

42 · D. Zeefuik

47 · Selim Telib

18 · L. Schuler

9 · G. Nilsson

41 · P. Klemens

33 · S. Gouram

43 · T. Goller

31 · M. Dárdai

20 · Farid Alfa-Ruprecht

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Hertha BSC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Þorsteinsson869.5205220
O. Adewumi746.6004171
J. Brekalo907.6010471
J. Eitschberger746.0000371
L. Gechter906.6000792
S. Grønning466.800230
N. Kolbe906.7000591
M. Pedersen907.0013360
P. Seguin906.5000652
K. Sessa906.4003434
M. Gersbeck906.9000470
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht166.2001100
M. Dárdai00.000000
T. Goller00.000000
S. Gouram46.400130
P. Klemens00.000130
G. Nilsson446.3005100
L. Schuler00.000000
Selim Telib00.000000
D. Zeefuik167.000082

Dynamo Dresden

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
R. Wagner905.9000391
B. Bobzien906.2001432
P. Čović747.7101240
N. Hauptmann665.7000220
A. Muhamedbegović906.0000660
T. Neininger906.4000320
N. Rapp746.6001342
A. Rossipal906.0000583
S. Straudi746.5000170
V. Vermeij666.3012190
T. Schreiber907.2000470
E. Bethke00.000000
C. Daferner246.100280
N. Fröling00.000000
K. Inanoglu00.000000
J. Lemmer165.900070
F. Muller166.2000110
K. Okpala00.000000
T. Raschl246.6000130
J. Sterner166.7000131
2026/27 STANDINGS

2. Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · 2. Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSC66001771018
WWWWW
21. FC Nürnberg65101661016
WWDWW
31. FC Heidenheim64111412213
DWWWL
4VfL Wolfsburg6321158711
WLDWW
51. FC Kaiserslautern632164211
WLWWD
61. FC Magdeburg6312119210
DWLWW
7Energie Cottbus6222141318
DWDLL
8FC St. Pauli61418807
DWDLD
9VfL Bochum621356-17
LDWLW
10Hannover 96621379-27
WLDWL
11VfL Osnabrück6213912-37
DLWWL
12SpVgg Greuther Fürth6132911-26
DDLWL
13Arminia Bielefeld61231012-25
DLDLW
14Karlsruher SC6123612-65
LLDLD
15Eintracht Braunschweig61141213-14
LDLLL
16Holstein Kiel6042710-34
DLDLD
17Dynamo Dresden6114814-64
LDLLW
18SV Darmstadt 986114513-84
LWLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerDynamo DresdenDrawHertha BSC
William Hill2.503.502.40
Bet3652.453.702.50
Marathonbet2.583.752.38
Betfair2.553.602.30
BetVictor2.553.802.38

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 19:29 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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