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Chesterfield vs Port Vale match centre

Chesterfield badgeChesterfieldHome
DWWW
Momentum↗ Rising87/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Port Vale badgePort ValeAway
LLWL
Momentum↗ Rising27/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Louie Marsh69′
Onel Hernández39′
Proact Stadium · ChesterfieldSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 22 Sep 18:36 UK.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.38Our model ExperimentalMarket 38.4% Draw3.75Our model ExperimentalMarket 24.4% Away win2.45Our model ExperimentalMarket 37.3% Bet365 · Updated 22 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Experimental fallback: excluded from recommendations until its data and predictive performance are verified.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ChesterfieldPort Vale
1Corner Kicks5
9Fouls20
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
511Total passes431
429Passes accurate355

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Chesterfield 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Port Vale 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 22 Sep, 17:20 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Chesterfield

4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Chesterfield’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Port Vale

3/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Port Vale’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Chesterfield at home with Port Vale away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

EFL Trophy · 2026/27 · all league matches

ChesterfieldPort Vale
1Matches played0
3Points earned0
1Wins0
5.0Goals scored / match0.0
3.0Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Chesterfield at home with Port Vale away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Chesterfield

1wins
1 draw

Port Vale

3wins

Aug 2017 – Jan 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Chesterfield

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1P. Cook
  1. 23R. BootG
  2. 26J. EcclestonD
  3. 22C. DunkleyD
  4. 15A. PondD
  5. 46T. PearceD
  6. 4T. NaylorM
  7. 27K. DyerM
  8. 30R. LampteyM
  9. 7L. MandevilleM
  10. 31J. RandallM
  11. 9F. BrydenF
Substitutes (7)

42 · Alex Whitney

40 · C. Cook

11 · D. Duffy

28 · W. Grigg

33 · R. Hutton

18 · L. Marsh

6 · J. Simpson

Port Vale

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1J. Brady
  1. 20M. MarošiG
  2. 6J. Lawrence-GabrielD
  3. 25C. HumphreysD
  4. 5C. HallD
  5. 4J. MoonD
  6. 38R. WaltersM
  7. 7G. ByersM
  8. 11O. HernándezM
  9. 3J. HeadleyM
  10. 33G. HallM
  11. 36M. WattersF
Substitutes (7)

37 · M. Craig

42 · Charlie Bussel

27 · M. Asamoah

2 · K. John

12 · A. McGowan

31 · Keaton Moseley

43 · Miracle Orisakwe Nwoko

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Chesterfield

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alex Whitney456.5000403
J. Simpson00.000000
L. Marsh258.2102102
R. Hutton00.000000
W. Grigg256.500240
D. Duffy256.700080
C. Cook86.200040
R. Boot905.8000440
J. Eccleston906.9000560
C. Dunkley906.7002451
A. Pond457.1000352
T. Pearce656.1001280
T. Naylor826.9000461
K. Dyer907.6013591
R. Lamptey906.8000592
L. Mandeville907.0001434
J. Randall656.3001283
F. Bryden656.400130

Port Vale

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Miracle Orisakwe Nwoko00.000000
Keaton Moseley00.000000
A. McGowan65.900040
K. John246.100171
M. Craig186.6001170
Charlie Bussel126.200060
M. Asamoah456.400290
M. Maroši906.2000440
J. Lawrence-Gabriel666.4001232
C. Humphreys906.0000530
C. Hall906.8001490
J. Moon906.6000410
R. Walters906.5000264
G. Byers667.7010531
O. Hernández788.1103291
J. Headley906.7002371
G. Hall906.3003222
M. Watters456.7003120
2026/27 STANDINGS

EFL Trophy table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerChesterfieldDrawPort Vale
William Hill2.403.252.50
Bet3652.383.752.45
Marathonbet2.353.402.56
Betfair2.303.252.60
BetVictor2.453.402.55

Snapshot from 22 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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