Modena
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Modena’s results
Serie BMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREModena vs Empoli match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Andrea Belotti61′
Giuseppe Ambrosino70′
Gerard Yepes27′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 14:18 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 15:27 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
ModenaEmpoli
1.720Expected goals · API-Football0.710
8Shots on target3
22Total Shots8
61%Ball Possession39%
3Corner Kicks2
11Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
529Total passes338
462Passes accurate279
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Modena 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Empoli 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 20 Sep, 14:18 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Empoli
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Empoli’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Modena
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Empoli
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Modena at home with Empoli away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 20:43 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches
ModenaEmpoli
5Matches played5
10Points earned6
3Wins2
1.6Goals scored / match0.8
0.8Goals conceded / match1.2
1Clean sheets2
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Modena at home with Empoli away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
2 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Modena
1wins2MEETINGS
Empoli
0winsOct 2025 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Modena first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Modena
Confirmed formation3-5-2D. Galloppa
- 1
L. ChichizolaG - 77
D. TonoliD - 6
S. NadorD - 20
B. NielingD - 27
Paulo AzziM - 42
A. BiancoM - 16
G. BrugmanM - 10
G. CasoM - 7
F. ZampanoM - 72
G. OlzerF - 70
G. AmbrosinoF
Substitutes (12)
8 · S. Santoro
9 · D. Montevago
26 · A. Imputato
23 · F. Folino
22 · L. Consiglio
17 · K. Bozhanaj
32 · W. Acquah
33 · Stênio
34 · Diego Ronco
11 · A. Belotti
29 · L. Bacchin
28 · D. Adorni
Empoli
Confirmed formation3-5-2G. Pagliuca
- 12
J. SeghettiG - 8
L. MagninoD - 6
S. RomagnoliD - 33
C. CauzD - 91
N. CorradoM - 98
K. ZedadkaM - 21
Gerard YepesM - 39
E. BiondiniM - 15
J. CeesayM - 10
E. SaporitiF - 11
S. ShpendiF
Substitutes (11)
57 · L. Belardinelli
36 · D. Bembnista
40 · R. Berizzi
5 · D. Degli Innocenti
44 · L. Deli
20 · F. Distefano
13 · E. Filippis
38 · M. Huqi
28 · G. Indragoli
1 · S. Perisan
77 · B. Popov
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Modena
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Adorni | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Bacchin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Belotti | 35 | 8.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| L. Chichizola | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
| D. Tonoli | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 3 |
| S. Nador | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 3 |
| B. Nieling | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 0 |
| F. Zampano | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 1 |
| G. Caso | 83 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| G. Brugman | 65 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 |
| A. Bianco | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 68 | 0 |
| Paulo Azzi | 83 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| G. Olzer | 55 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| G. Ambrosino | 83 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 1 |
| Diego Ronco | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stênio | 7 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| W. Acquah | 7 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| S. Santoro | 25 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| D. Montevago | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Imputato | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Folino | 7 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| L. Consiglio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Bozhanaj | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Empoli
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Deli | 1 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| D. Degli Innocenti | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Berizzi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Bembnista | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Belardinelli | 1 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| J. Seghetti | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| N. Corrado | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 3 |
| S. Romagnoli | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 2 |
| C. Cauz | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 2 |
| J. Ceesay | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| L. Magnino | 89 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 6 |
| Gerard Yepes | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 2 |
| K. Zedadka | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 2 |
| E. Biondini | 77 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 |
| E. Saporiti | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 1 |
| S. Shpendi | 41 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| F. Distefano | 13 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| E. Filippis | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Huqi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Indragoli | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Perisan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Popov | 49 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie B table
Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 | DWDWW |
| 4 | Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 5 |  Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 8 |  Hellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 10 |  Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | DDDWD |
| 11 |  Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | DLWWL |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | LLWLW |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DWDLL |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | DDWLL |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | LDDLW |
| 17 |  Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | DDLWL |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Modena | Draw | Empoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.70 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 3.74 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.70 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.75 | 5.25 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 15:27 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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