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1. DivisionMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca match centre

Omonia 29is Maiou badgeOmonia 29is MaiouHome · 7 in league
WDWDD
Momentum↘ Falling56/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
AEK Larnaca badgeAEK LarnacaAway · 1 in league
WLWWL
Momentum→ Steady57/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
F. Tierney41′
N. Andereggen23′
R. Bajic84′
Makario Stadium · NicosiaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 17:58 UK.

Odds updated 18 Sep 15:47 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win7.00Our model 39.8%Market 13.1% Draw4.33Our model 23.6%Market 21.2% Away win1.40Our model 36.6%Market 65.6% Bet365 · Updated 18 Sep 15:47 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Omonia 29is MaiouAEK Larnaca

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Omonia 29is Maiou 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

AEK Larnaca 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 16:58 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

AEK Larnaca

4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect AEK Larnaca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Omonia 29is Maiou at home with AEK Larnaca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:33 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

1. Division · 2026/27 · all league matches

Omonia 29is MaiouAEK Larnaca
3Matches played3
5Points earned6
1Wins2
2.7Goals scored / match2.3
1.7Goals conceded / match1.0
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Omonia 29is Maiou at home with AEK Larnaca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

2 recorded meetings

Omonia 29is Maiou

0wins
0 draws

AEK Larnaca

2wins

Dec 2024 – Mar 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Omonia 29is Maiou first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Omonia 29is Maiou

Confirmed formation3-4-3Fangio Buyse
  1. 98Francis UzohoG
  2. 14Henry Bates AndreouD
  3. 19Juan PortalesD
  4. 30Matej SenićD
  5. 8Charalambos AristotelousM
  6. 16Konstantinos PattichisM
  7. 44Dimitris ChantakiasD
  8. 20Sotiris FiakasM
  9. 17Panagiotis ZachariouM
  10. 10Mike MoraisM
  11. 11Fergus TierneyF
Substitutes (11)

43 · Antonis Mavrantonis

1 · Nikolaos Grammatikakis

15 · Stelios Panteli

4 · Alexandros Kaiafas

24 · Angelos Vyntra

46 · Modestos Sotiriou

6 · Rushit Zeka

5 · Stavros Tsoukalas

77 · Luís Santos

26 · Marios Antoniou

21 · Georgios Sokos

AEK Larnaca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ruben Selles
  1. 92Alberto PaleariG
  2. 21Jorge MiramónM
  3. 15Hrvoje MiličevićD
  4. 3Mike Van der HoornD
  5. 17Kostas PileasD
  6. 23Sven KöhlerD
  7. 7Gus LedesM
  8. 14Amor LayouniM
  9. 28Kerim MrabtiF
  10. 10Yerson ChacónM
  11. 33Nicolas AndereggenF
Substitutes (12)

51 · Andreas Paraskevas

5 · Brian Oliván

22 · Godswill Ekpolo

44 · Zacharias Adoni

2 · Petros Ioannou

20 · Jan Repas

6 · Ivan Chavdarov Pankov

29 · Giorgos Naoum

9 · Đorđe Ivanović

25 · Chambos Kyriakou

11 · Riad Bajić

19 · Atanas Trică

2026/27 STANDINGS

1. Division table

League centre ↗

Current standings · 1-division. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AEK Larnaca43019459
WLWW
2AEL430167-19
WWLW
3Omonia Nicosia42208268
WDWD
4Pafos42114227
LWDW
5Apollon Limassol41307526
DDWD
6Omonia Aradippou41304316
DDWD
7Omonia 29is Maiou41219725
LDDW
8Aris412146-25
DWLD
9Apoel Nicosia411210734
DLWL
10Olympiakos40407704
DDDD
11Nea Salamis411289-14
WLLD
12Karmiotissa403136-33
DDDL
13Anorthosis410339-63
LWLL
14Krasava Ypsonas4004210-80
LLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerOmonia 29is MaiouDrawAEK Larnaca
William Hill6.504.001.40
Bet3657.004.331.40
Marathonbet7.104.331.40
Betfair6.504.401.36
BetVictor6.504.401.40

Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 15:47 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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