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FA WSLMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Brighton W vs Aston Villa W match centre

Brighton W badgeBrighton WHome · 10 in league
WLLLD
Momentum↓ Low23/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Aston Villa W badgeAston Villa WAway · 11 in league
LLLDL
Momentum↓ Low8/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. George31′
L. Wilms89′
Amex Stadium · BrightonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 20 Sep 13:36 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.53Our model ExperimentalMarket 61.3% Draw4.50Our model ExperimentalMarket 20.8% Away win5.25Our model ExperimentalMarket 17.9% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older than 24 hours Experimental fallback: excluded from recommendations until its data and predictive performance are verified.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Brighton WAston Villa W

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Brighton W 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Aston Villa W 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 10:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Brighton W

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Brighton W’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Aston Villa W

1/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Aston Villa W’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Brighton W at home with Aston Villa W away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

FA WSL · 2026/27 · all league matches

Brighton WAston Villa W
2Matches played2
1Points earned1
0Wins0
1.0Goals scored / match1.0
1.5Goals conceded / match2.5
0Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Brighton W at home with Aston Villa W away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Brighton W

1wins
1 draw

Aston Villa W

3wins

Oct 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Brighton W

Confirmed formationPendingArturo Ruiz
  1. 16C. Nnadozie
  2. 18C. Hayes
  3. 6G. George
  4. 2M. Vanegas
  5. 19M. Olislagers
  6. 11K. Seike
  7. 8M. Symonds
  8. 13L. Walti
  9. 35E. Murphy
  10. 14F. Kirby
  11. 9M. Haley
Substitutes (9)

28 · M. Loeck

23 · M. Auee

64 · E. Gay

10 · J. Cankovic

15 · E. Joramo

17 · R. Rayner

20 · O. Tvedten

27 · S. Peskett

21 · O. Garcia

Aston Villa W

Confirmed formationPendingNatalia Arroyo
  1. 23A. Okuma
  2. 14L. Wilms
  3. 4A. Patten
  4. 3M. Harviken
  5. 16N. Maritz
  6. 19L. Murphy
  7. 15L. Parker
  8. 21L. Kendall
  9. 20A. Vangsgaard
  10. 17C. Grant
  11. 13M. Hijikata
Substitutes (8)

1 · E. Ramsey

40 · S. Kelly

24 · O. Deslandes

33 · K. Scott

25 · M. Taylor

18 · G. Mullet

5 · J. Kielland

27 · M. McAulay

2026/27 STANDINGS

FA WSL table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Super League Women. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Manchester City W330011479
WWW
2Tottenham Hotspur W321011297
WDW
3Chelsea W32108177
WWD
4London City Lionesses W32017436
WLW
5Everton W32012116
WWL
6Arsenal W31202115
DDW
7Liverpool W31117524
LDW
8Crystal Palace W311117-64
LDW
9West Ham W310235-23
LWL
10Brighton W302134-12
DDL
11Aston Villa W302136-32
DLD
12Birmingham City W301237-41
LDL
13Manchester United W301228-61
DLL
14Charlton Athletic W300319-80
LLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerBrighton WDrawAston Villa W
William Hill1.504.205.00
Bet3651.534.505.25
Marathonbet1.444.305.25
Betfair1.504.505.50
BetVictor1.454.405.75

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

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