G. BianconeInactive
Reported out
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREAnderlecht vs Lyon match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Cvetkovic61′
N. Nartey8′
K. Nakamura22′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Under review · Calculated 16 Sep 15:28 UK. The model differs from the margin-adjusted match-winner market by at least 30 percentage points on an outcome, so its probabilities are held for review. This check flags disagreement; it does not establish which forecast is right.
Odds updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AnderlechtLyon
1.400Expected goals · API-Football1.270
5Shots on target10
13Total Shots13
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks4
14Fouls12
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
8Goalkeeper Saves3
472Total passes346
396Passes accurate271
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Anderlecht 5 reported
I. CamaraFoot Injury
Reported out
L. HeyBroken Leg
Reported out
I. KoutsoupiasOff the roster
Reported out
K. SardellaThigh Injury
Reported out
Lyon 2 reported
Abner ViniciusInactive
Reported out
A. HamdaniInactive
Reported outFetched 16 Sep, 18:40 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Anderlecht
7/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Anderlecht’s resultsLyon
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lyon’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Anderlecht
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
KV MechelenAway · Jupiler Pro League1–0GenkHome · Jupiler Pro League0–0KortrijkHome · Jupiler Pro League1–0Union St. GilloiseAway · Jupiler Pro League0–3Kairat AlmatyHome · UEFA Europa League3–0Kairat AlmatyAway · UEFA Europa League3–0SK BeverenAway · Jupiler Pro League0–1PAOKHome · UEFA Europa League3–2RAAL La LouvièreHome · Jupiler Pro League2–1PAOKAway · UEFA Europa League1–0
Lyon
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Paris FCAway · Ligue 10–0AuxerreHome · Ligue 13–1Le HavreHome · Ligue 11–1FenerbahçeHome · UEFA Champions League1–2ToulouseAway · Ligue 12–0FenerbahçeAway · UEFA Champions League1–1Sparta PrahaHome · UEFA Champions League3–0Sparta PrahaAway · UEFA Champions League1–2Real BetisAway · Friendlies Clubs0–4VfL WolfsburgAway · Friendlies Clubs2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Anderlecht at home with Lyon away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:41 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa League · 2026/27 · all league matches
AnderlechtLyon
6Matches played0
16Points earned0
5Wins0
2.4Goals scored / match—
0.7Goals conceded / match—
3Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Anderlecht at home with Lyon away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
1 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Anderlecht
0wins1MEETINGS
Lyon
1winsJul 2022 – Jul 2022 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Anderlecht first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Anderlecht
Confirmed formation4-3-3Vitor Bruno
- 26
Colin CoosemansG - 79
Ali MaamarD - 27
Léo PétrotD - 12
Andrew OmobamideleD - 6
Ludwig AugustinssonD - 8
Romeo AmaneM - 24
Enric LlansanaM - 19
Thelo AasgaardM - 10
Marten WinklerF - 9
Mihajlo CvetkovićF - 18
Lukáš AmbrosF
Substitutes (12)
32 · Justin Heekeren
50 · Kaïs Barry
55 · Marco Kana
5 · Oleg Reabciuk
68 · Noah Kalonji
61 · Joshua Nga Kana
83 · Tristan Degreef
29 · Mario Stroeykens
11 · Oliver Antman
21 · Tawfik Bentayeb
14 · Danylo Sikan
53 · Noa Thomas Ojea Cobiella
Lyon
Confirmed formation4-3-3Paulo Fonseca
- 40
Rémy DescampsG - 21
Ruben KluivertD - 22
Clinton MataD - 19
Moussa NiakhatéD - 76
Mohamed OuédraogoD - 6
Tanner TessmannM - 23
Tyler MortonM - 99
Noah NarteyM - 26
Kaïl BoudacheF - 17
Loïs OpendaF - 11
Keito NakamuraF
Substitutes (12)
25 · Justin Bengui
1 · Dominik Greif
13 · Zachary Athekame
3 · Nicolás Tagliafico
20 · Felix Bacher
18 · Khalis Merah
2 · Mads Bidstrup
8 · Corentin Tolisso
10 · Pavel Šulc
45 · Rémi Himbert
7 · Ernest Nuamah
24 · Julien Duranville
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Europa League table
Current standings · UEFA Europa League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Anderlecht | Draw | Lyon |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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