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Ligue 1Matchweek 1THE MATCH CENTRE

Toulouse vs Lyon match centre

Toulouse badgeToulouseHome · 13 in league
WWDWL
Momentum↘ Falling61/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Lyon badgeLyonAway · 2 in league
WLLWD
Momentum↗ Rising46/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
N. Nartey68′
M. Fofana85′
Stadium Municipal · ToulouseSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ToulouseLyon
6Corner Kicks5
15Fouls15
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
435Total passes479
371Passes accurate416

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Toulouse 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Lyon 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Toulouse

3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Toulouse’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Lyon

5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Lyon’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toulouse at home with Lyon away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:41 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches

ToulouseLyon
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toulouse at home with Lyon away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Toulouse

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jens Askou
  1. 16G. RestesG
  2. 94I. DialloD
  3. 3M. McKenzieD
  4. 2R. NicolaisenD
  5. 12C. TapeD
  6. 23C. CasseresM
  7. 31N. SchmidtM
  8. 7J. VignoloM
  9. 8T. JorgensenM
  10. 10Y. GbohoM
  11. 9S. HidalgoF
Substitutes (9)

60 · M. Niflore

19 · D. Odogu

5 · S. Koumbassa

77 · M. Sauer

22 · R. Messali

28 · M. Saka

37 · I. Azizi

11 · S. Oppong

13 · J. Russell-Rowe

Lyon

Confirmed formation4-3-3Paulo Fonseca
  1. 40R. DescampsG
  2. 13Z. AthekameD
  3. 20F. BacherD
  4. 22C. MataD
  5. 76M. OuedraogoD
  6. 2M. BidstrupM
  7. 39M. de CarvalhoM
  8. 99N. NarteyM
  9. 26K. BoudacheF
  10. 45R. HimbertF
  11. 24J. DuranvilleF
Substitutes (9)

1 · D. Greif

3 · N. Tagliafico

8 · C. Tolisso

23 · T. Morton

6 · T. Tessmann

10 · P. Sulc

11 · M. Fofana

7 · E. Nuamah

17 · L. Openda

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Toulouse

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Guillaume Restes906.9—0—46—
Ismail Diallo716.5—0—252
Mark McKenzie906.9—0—631
Rasmus Nicolaisen906.9—02541
Christ Tapé905.9—0235—
Cristian Cásseres Jr.907.5—01623
Niklas Schmidt867.2—01482
Julian Vignolo716.9—0381
Thomas Jørgensen907.3—01273
Yann Gboho806.7—0223—
Santiago Hidalgo716.2—0271
Rafik Messali196.3—0—191
Jacen Russell Rowe196.3—0—2—
Ilyas Azizi196.7—0—11—
Sion Oppong106.9—0—31
Mathis Saka96.3—0—2—
Mathys Niflore———————
David Odogu———————
Seny Koumbassa———————
Mario Sauer———————

Lyon

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rémy Descamps907.5—0—40—
Zachary Athekame907.0—0—383
Felix Bacher907.3—0171—
Clinton Mata907.6—0—871
Mohamed Ouédraogo907.2—0—67—
Mads Bidstrup806.9—01153
Mathys de Carvalho696.6—0—282
Noah Nartey697.7101221
Kaïl Boudache907.2—04211
Rémi Himbert636.0—0—10—
Julien Duranville636.7—0—22—
Malick Fofana277.910191
Pavel Šulc276.7—1—141
Tyler Morton216.9—0—9—
Corentin Tolisso216.9—1—222
Tanner Tessmann106.3—0—4—
Dominik Greif———————
Nicolás Tagliafico———————
Ernest Nuamah———————
Loïs Openda———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Ligue 1 table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Ligue 1. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Monaco541083513
WDWWW
2Lyon5320102811
WDWDW
3Paris FC532083511
WDWWD
4Lille531184410
LWWDW
5Rennes531189-110
LWWWD
6Paris Saint Germain52218718
WWLDD
7Angers52126517
WDLWL
8Strasbourg5212101007
LDWWL
9Le Mans51319906
WDDLD
10Auxerre5203712-56
WWLLL
11Stade Brestois 29512278-15
LLWDD
12Lorient512256-15
LDWLD
13Toulouse512279-25
WDLDL
14Nice512236-35
WLDLD
15Lens51139904
LDLLW
16Estac Troyes5113411-74
LLLWD
17Marseille510478-13
LLLLW
18Le Havre502347-32
LDLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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