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Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo match centre

Omonia Nicosia badgeOmonia NicosiaHome · 16 in league
WDLWD
Momentum↗ Rising51/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Celta Vigo badgeCelta VigoAway · 25 in league
LLDDD
Momentum↗ Rising23/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Balkovec88′
GSP Stadium · NicosiaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Under review · Calculated 16 Sep 16:05 UK. The model differs from the margin-adjusted match-winner market by at least 30 percentage points on an outcome, so its probabilities are held for review. This check flags disagreement; it does not establish which forecast is right.

Odds updated 16 Sep 13:43 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win4.33Our model HeldMarket 21.8% Draw3.50Our model HeldMarket 27.0% Away win1.85Our model HeldMarket 51.1% Bet365 · Updated 16 Sep 13:43 UK · Older than 24 hours Model under review: at least one outcome differs by 30 percentage points or more from the margin-adjusted bookmaker reference. See the match verdict for an alternative market view.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Omonia NicosiaCelta Vigo
3Corner Kicks9
4Fouls14
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves4
480Total passes535
418Passes accurate493

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Omonia Nicosia 3 reported

B. AkintolaInactive
Reported out
C. EitingKnee Injury
Reported out
F. KitsosKnee Injury
Reported out

Celta Vigo 2 reported

A. AntanonAnkle Injury
Reported out
I. AspasMuscle Injury
Reported out

Fetched 16 Sep, 13:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Omonia Nicosia

4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Omonia Nicosia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Celta Vigo

2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Celta Vigo’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Omonia Nicosia at home with Celta Vigo away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:31 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Europa League · 2026/27 · all league matches

Omonia NicosiaCelta Vigo
4Matches played0
7Points earned0
2Wins0
1.5Goals scored / match—
1.0Goals conceded / match—
1Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Omonia Nicosia at home with Celta Vigo away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Omonia Nicosia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Henning Berg
  1. 40FabianoG
  2. 93Jean-Kévin DuverneD
  3. 5Senou CoulibalyD
  4. 37Ľubomír ŠatkaD
  5. 29Jure BalkovecD
  6. 14Mateo MarićM
  7. 74Panagiotis AndreouM
  8. 11Ewandro CostaM
  9. 22Muamer TankovićM
  10. 7Jaden MontnorM
  11. 99Loïs DionyF
Substitutes (12)

1 · Thomas Kaminski

78 · Pantelis Michail

27 · Stefan Simic

77 · Loic Négo

90 · Christos Konstantinidis

92 · Christoforou Panagiotis

17 · Florin Tănase

20 · Luuk Brouwers

21 · Mihlali Mayambela

82 · Andreas Christou

9 · Andronikos Kakoullis

85 · Angelos Neophytou

Celta Vigo

Confirmed formation3-4-3Claudio Giraldez
  1. 13Ionuț RaduG
  2. 20Javi RodríguezD
  3. 2Carl StarfeltD
  4. 3Marcos AlonsoD
  5. 15Álvaro NúñezM
  6. 8Miguel RománM
  7. 30Hugo BurcioM
  8. 5Sergio CarreiraM
  9. 24Couhaib DriouechF
  10. 11Pablo DuránF
  11. 9Ferrán JutglàF
Substitutes (12)

1 · Altay Bayındır

4 · Abdoulaye Faye

18 · Yoel Lago

21 · Sebastián Cáceres

22 · Javi Galán

6 · Ilaix Moriba

14 · Aleix Febas

16 · Hugo González

17 · Javier Rueda

19 · Williot Swedberg

23 · Hugo Álvarez

7 · Borja Iglesias

2026/27 STANDINGS

UEFA Europa League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · UEFA Europa League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Juventus11005053
W
2Crystal Palace11004043
W
3Sparta Praha11004133
W
4Beşiktaş11004133
W
5Union St. Gilloise11003033
W
6Ferencvarosi TC11003123
W
7Benfica11002023
W
8Bayer Leverkusen11002023
W
9OFI11002023
W
10Bournemouth11002113
W
11Lyon11002113
W
12Torreense11002113
W
13Olympiakos Piraeus11002113
W
14Red Bull Salzburg11001013
W
15Sunderland11001013
W
16Omonia Nicosia11001013
W
17Sturm Graz10100001
D
18Rennes10100001
D
19Dinamo Zagreb10100001
D
20Hapoel Beer Sheva10100001
D
21Jagiellonia100112-10
L
22Real Sociedad100112-10
L
23Anderlecht100112-10
L
24Lillestrom100112-10
L
25Celta Vigo100101-10
L
26AZ Alkmaar100101-10
L
27Levski Sofia100101-10
L
28Celtic100113-20
L
291899 Hoffenheim100102-20
L
30AC Milan100102-20
L
31Celje100102-20
L
32Marseille100114-30
L
33Ararat-Armenia100114-30
L
34Plzen100103-30
L
35Lech Poznan100104-40
L
36NEC Nijmegen100105-50
L
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerOmonia NicosiaDrawCelta Vigo
William Hill4.203.301.85
Bet3654.333.501.85
Marathonbet4.603.521.84
Betfair4.603.401.83
BetVictor4.403.501.80

Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 13:43 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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