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Sturm Graz vs Rennes match centre

Sturm Graz badgeSturm GrazHome · 17 in league
WDLWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Rennes badgeRennesAway · 18 in league
LDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising74/100OlderLatest
Merkur Arena · GrazSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 15:28 UK.

Odds updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win4.20Our model 52.9%Market 22.7% Draw3.90Our model 23.1%Market 24.4% Away win1.80Our model 23.9%Market 52.9% Bet365 · Updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Sturm GrazRennes
5Corner Kicks4
11Fouls6
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves4
283Total passes461
188Passes accurate384

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sturm Graz 7 reported

O. DiakiteOff the roster
Reported out
N. GeyrhoferOff the roster
Reported out
L. GrgicKnee Injury
Reported out
S. JattaInactive
Reported out
A. KayomboOff the roster
Reported out
E. SogloMuscle Injury
Reported out
S. WlodarczykOff the roster
Reported out

Rennes 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 16 Sep, 18:38 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sturm Graz

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sturm Graz’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Rennes

5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Rennes’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sturm Graz at home with Rennes away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:03 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Europa League · 2026/27 · all league matches

Sturm GrazRennes
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sturm Graz at home with Rennes away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sturm Graz

Confirmed formation4-4-2Fabio Ingolitsch
  1. 53Daniil KhudyakovG
  2. 2Joshua QuarshieD
  3. 5Albert VallciD
  4. 30Paul KollerD
  5. 27Luís BalboD
  6. 43Jacob HödlM
  7. 28Jurgen HeilM
  8. 39Luca WeinhandlM
  9. 78Valmir MatoshiM
  10. 26Belmin BeganovićF
  11. 15Gizo MamageishviliF
Substitutes (11)

22 · Ammar Helac

41 · Elias Lorenz

21 · Petar Petrović

23 · Arjan Malić

4 · Jon Gorenc Stanković

8 · Filip Rózga

19 · Simon Seidl

40 · Julian Halwachs

14 · Oumar Diakité

25 · Leon Grgić

38 · Jonas Peinhart

Rennes

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Franck Haise
  1. 30Brice SambaG
  2. 14Bryan ReynoldsD
  3. 4Charlie CresswellD
  4. 24Anthony RouaultD
  5. 18Mahamadou NagidaD
  6. 45Mahdi CamaraM
  7. 10Ludovic BlasM
  8. 17Sebastian SzymańskiM
  9. 28Adrien ThomassonM
  10. 11Mousa TamariM
  11. 9Esteban LepaulF
Substitutes (12)

16 · Nicolas Lemaitre

60 · Kilian Belazzoug

5 · Gonçalo Oliveira

26 · Quentin Merlin

36 · Alidu Seidu

48 · Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal

21 · Valentin Rongier

12 · Eliezer Mayenda

22 · Boulaye Dia

70 · Arnaud Nordin

90 · Issa Soumaré

65 · Henrick Do Marcolino

2026/27 STANDINGS

UEFA Europa League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · UEFA Europa League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Juventus11005053
W
2Crystal Palace11004043
W
3Sparta Praha11004133
W
4Beşiktaş11004133
W
5Union St. Gilloise11003033
W
6Ferencvarosi TC11003123
W
7Benfica11002023
W
8Bayer Leverkusen11002023
W
9OFI11002023
W
10Bournemouth11002113
W
11Lyon11002113
W
12Torreense11002113
W
13Olympiakos Piraeus11002113
W
14Red Bull Salzburg11001013
W
15Sunderland11001013
W
16Omonia Nicosia11001013
W
17Sturm Graz10100001
D
18Rennes10100001
D
19Dinamo Zagreb10100001
D
20Hapoel Beer Sheva10100001
D
21Jagiellonia100112-10
L
22Real Sociedad100112-10
L
23Anderlecht100112-10
L
24Lillestrom100112-10
L
25Celta Vigo100101-10
L
26AZ Alkmaar100101-10
L
27Levski Sofia100101-10
L
28Celtic100113-20
L
291899 Hoffenheim100102-20
L
30AC Milan100102-20
L
31Celje100102-20
L
32Marseille100114-30
L
33Ararat-Armenia100114-30
L
34Plzen100103-30
L
35Lech Poznan100104-40
L
36NEC Nijmegen100105-50
L
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSturm GrazDrawRennes
William Hill4.003.801.75
Bet3654.203.901.80
Marathonbet4.253.981.79
Betfair4.103.901.75
BetVictor4.004.001.75

Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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