MATCH ANALYSIS

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200fixtures · 145 with model estimates

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Sorted by the chosen market’s model estimate. Higher probability does not necessarily mean better value.

DateCompetitionMarketMinimum estimate

← Previous daySaturday, 3 October 2026Next day →

About these probabilities and odds

Kickoff Edge combines recorded expected goals (xG) with opponent-adjusted team strengths. The xG model blends the recent xG signal and v3 equally, using up to ten previous matches per team, weighted toward recent performances. Both teams need at least five xG matches within six months. Where xG is unavailable, the labelled team-strength model remains in use, with recent-form fallback for limited competition history. Experimental recent-form fallbacks remain research only and are excluded from probability and value recommendation filters. Missing xG is never treated as zero. Competitive cup matches between verified domestic divisions also adjust team strength for the division gap, using earlier league appearances. The initial map covers 37 leagues in eight national pyramids; unknown or cross-country tiers are not guessed. All markets share one score distribution. These are pre-match estimates, not live forecasts or guaranteed outcomes. Historical testing showed lower overall error on the tested sample, but calibration and future performance remain under review. Odds show the highest stored price for each selection; bookmaker availability and prices can change. Additional xG and multi-source challengers are evaluated separately in the model observatory before public promotion. Bookmaker price movement is recorded from collection onwards; it does not reveal betting volume.

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord17:00 UK

Kickers EmdenVS

Todesfelde

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home76.8%Odds —

Draw10.9%Odds —

Away12.3%Odds —

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

94.5%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	76.8%	—
Draw	10.9%	—
Away win	12.3%	—
Over 0.5 goals	99.8%	—
Under 0.5 goals	0.2%	—
Over 1.5 goals	98.5%	—
Under 1.5 goals	1.5%	—
Over 2.5 goals	94.5%	—
Under 2.5 goals	5.5%	—
Over 3.5 goals	86.3%	—
Under 3.5 goals	13.7%	—
Over 4.5 goals	73.6%	—
Under 4.5 goals	26.4%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	84.2%	—
Both teams to score — No	15.8%	—
Home or draw	87.7%	—
Away or draw	23.2%	—
Home or away	89.1%	—
Home team to concede	85.5%	—
Away team to concede	98.6%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:06 UKMatch centre →

Price unavailableManual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord13:00 UK

SV Drochtersen/AsselVS

SSV Jeddeloh

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home73.1%Odds —

Draw14.4%Odds —

Away12.6%Odds —

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

79.3%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	73.1%	—
Draw	14.4%	—
Away win	12.6%	—
Over 0.5 goals	98.5%	—
Under 0.5 goals	1.5%	—
Over 1.5 goals	92.4%	—
Under 1.5 goals	7.6%	—
Over 2.5 goals	79.3%	—
Under 2.5 goals	20.7%	—
Over 3.5 goals	60.9%	—
Under 3.5 goals	39.1%	—
Over 4.5 goals	41.5%	—
Under 4.5 goals	58.5%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	67.2%	—
Both teams to score — No	32.8%	—
Home or draw	87.4%	—
Away or draw	26.9%	—
Home or away	85.6%	—
Home team to concede	70.7%	—
Away team to concede	95.0%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Price unavailableManual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord13:00 UK

Weiche FlensburgVS

VfB Oldenburg

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home52.0%Odds —

Draw19.4%Odds —

Away28.7%Odds —

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

78.9%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	52.0%	—
Draw	19.4%	—
Away win	28.7%	—
Over 0.5 goals	98.5%	—
Under 0.5 goals	1.5%	—
Over 1.5 goals	92.2%	—
Under 1.5 goals	7.8%	—
Over 2.5 goals	78.9%	—
Under 2.5 goals	21.1%	—
Over 3.5 goals	60.4%	—
Under 3.5 goals	39.6%	—
Over 4.5 goals	40.9%	—
Under 4.5 goals	59.1%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	75.7%	—
Both teams to score — No	24.3%	—
Home or draw	71.3%	—
Away or draw	48.0%	—
Home or away	80.6%	—
Home team to concede	83.2%	—
Away team to concede	91.0%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Price unavailableManual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

Worksop TownVS

United of Manchester

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-match · Division adjustedModel lean: Home win

Home62.6%Odds 1.78

Draw17.5%Odds 4.51

Away19.9%Odds 3.80

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

78.3%

1.44Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.44 mean?

Potential return £144.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £44.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 69.4%. Model estimate: 78.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	62.6%	1.78Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	17.5%	4.511xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	19.9%	3.80Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	98.4%	—
Under 0.5 goals	1.6%	—
Over 1.5 goals	91.9%	1.12Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	8.1%	5.791xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	78.3%	1.44Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	21.7%	2.691xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	59.5%	2.10BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	40.5%	1.761xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	40.0%	3.60BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	60.0%	1.301xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	72.0%	1.44Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	28.0%	2.63BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	80.1%	1.24Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	37.4%	2.00Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	82.5%	1.22Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	77.4%	—
Away team to concede	93.0%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · Non League Premier - Northern15:00 UK

Bamber BridgeVS

Quorn

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home43.8%Odds 2.48

Draw20.7%Odds 4.03

Away35.5%Odds 2.50

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

75.6%

1.60Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.60 mean?

Potential return £160.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £60.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 62.5%. Model estimate: 75.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	43.8%	2.481xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	20.7%	4.031xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	35.5%	2.501xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	98.1%	—
Under 0.5 goals	1.9%	—
Over 1.5 goals	90.6%	1.18Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	9.4%	4.701xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	75.6%	1.60Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	24.4%	2.341xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	55.9%	2.43Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	44.1%	1.581xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	36.4%	4.40Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	63.6%	1.201xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	74.2%	1.50Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	25.8%	2.411xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	64.5%	1.50Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	56.2%	1.55Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	79.3%	1.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	84.7%	—
Away team to concede	87.6%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie19:00 UK

Den BoschVS

Dordrecht

Not Started

Kickoff Edge xG · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home64.2%Odds 1.85

Draw17.6%Odds 4.20

Away18.2%Odds 3.70

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

74.9%

1.38BetanoSnapshot 2 Oct, 01:33

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.38 mean?

Potential return £138.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £38.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 72.5%. Model estimate: 74.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	64.2%	1.85Pinnacle 2 Oct, 01:33
Draw	17.6%	4.20Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Away win	18.2%	3.70Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 0.5 goals	98.0%	1.01Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 0.5 goals	2.0%	21.00Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 1.5 goals	90.2%	1.12Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 1.5 goals	9.8%	7.50Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 2.5 goals	74.9%	1.38Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 2.5 goals	25.1%	3.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 3.5 goals	55.0%	1.93Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 3.5 goals	45.0%	1.90Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 4.5 goals	35.5%	3.10BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 4.5 goals	64.5%	1.40Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Both teams to score — Yes	68.1%	1.38Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Both teams to score — No	31.9%	3.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Home or draw	81.8%	1.30Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Away or draw	35.8%	2.02Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Home or away	82.4%	1.25William Hill 2 Oct, 01:33
Home team to concede	73.7%	—
Away team to concede	92.4%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 03:00 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

Thame UnitedVS

Eastbourne Borough

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Away win

Home36.7%Odds 5.25

Draw21.0%Odds 4.70

Away42.3%Odds 1.60

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

74.6%

1.57Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.57 mean?

Potential return £157.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £57.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.7%. Model estimate: 74.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	36.7%	5.25BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	21.0%	4.701xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	42.3%	1.60Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	98.0%	—
Under 0.5 goals	2.0%	—
Over 1.5 goals	90.0%	1.16Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	10.0%	4.861xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	74.6%	1.57Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	25.4%	2.391xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	54.5%	2.45BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	45.5%	1.611xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	35.0%	4.40BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	65.0%	1.221xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	73.4%	1.62BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	26.6%	2.161xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	57.7%	2.40Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	63.3%	1.17Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	79.0%	1.21Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	86.7%	—
Away team to concede	84.7%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:06 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

Chesham UnitedVS

Real Bedford

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home48.3%Odds 1.95

Draw20.6%Odds 4.24

Away31.1%Odds 3.40

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

74.5%

1.53Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Drifting · 1.50 → 1.53 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.53 mean?

Potential return £153.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 65.4%. Model estimate: 74.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	48.3%	1.951xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	20.6%	4.241xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	31.1%	3.40Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	98.0%	—
Under 0.5 goals	2.0%	17.001xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 1.5 goals	90.0%	1.16Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	10.0%	5.081xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	74.5%	1.53Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	25.5%	2.471xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	54.4%	2.231xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	45.6%	1.651xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	34.9%	3.671xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	65.1%	1.241xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	72.7%	1.45Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	27.3%	2.531xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	68.9%	1.30Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	51.7%	1.80Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	79.4%	1.25Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	82.1%	—
Away team to concede	88.5%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian15:00 UK

Burgess Hill TownVS

Maldon & Tiptree

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home66.0%Odds 1.68

Draw17.3%Odds 4.45

Away16.7%Odds 4.34

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

73.8%

1.57Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.57 mean?

Potential return £157.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £57.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.7%. Model estimate: 73.8%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	66.0%	1.681xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	17.3%	4.451xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	16.7%	4.341xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	97.9%	—
Under 0.5 goals	2.1%	—
Over 1.5 goals	89.6%	1.16Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	10.4%	4.781xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	73.8%	1.57Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	26.2%	2.371xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	53.6%	2.321xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	46.4%	1.601xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	34.1%	3.98Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	65.9%	1.22Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	66.2%	1.55Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	33.8%	2.241xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	83.3%	1.19Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	34.0%	2.18Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	82.7%	1.21Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	71.6%	—
Away team to concede	92.5%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

World · UEFA Nations League17:00 UK

CroatiaVS

England

Not Started

Experimental fallback · research onlyModel lean: Away win

Home33.3%Odds 4.10

Draw21.4%Odds 3.98

Away45.3%Odds 1.91

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

71.5%

1.781xBetSnapshot 1 Oct, 21:18

Shortening · 1.82 → 1.78 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.78 mean?

Potential return £178.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £78.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 56.2%. Model estimate: 71.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	33.3%	4.10Betfair 1 Oct, 21:18
Draw	21.4%	3.98Pinnacle 1 Oct, 21:18
Away win	45.3%	1.911xBet 1 Oct, 21:18
Over 0.5 goals	97.5%	1.05Betano 1 Oct, 21:18
Under 0.5 goals	2.5%	14.201xBet 1 Oct, 21:18
Over 1.5 goals	88.4%	1.25Pinnacle 1 Oct, 21:18
Under 1.5 goals	11.6%	4.33Betfair 1 Oct, 21:18
Over 2.5 goals	71.5%	1.781xBet 1 Oct, 21:18
Under 2.5 goals	28.5%	2.15Betfair 1 Oct, 21:18
Over 3.5 goals	50.6%	2.88Betfair 1 Oct, 21:18
Under 3.5 goals	49.4%	1.45Betano 1 Oct, 21:18
Over 4.5 goals	31.3%	5.50Betfair 1 Oct, 21:18
Under 4.5 goals	68.7%	1.17Bet365 1 Oct, 21:18
Both teams to score — Yes	70.7%	1.67William Hill 1 Oct, 21:18
Both teams to score — No	29.3%	2.20Betfair 1 Oct, 21:18
Home or draw	54.7%	1.98SBO 1 Oct, 21:18
Away or draw	66.7%	1.28Marathonbet 1 Oct, 21:18
Home or away	78.6%	1.29William Hill 1 Oct, 21:18
Home team to concede	86.5%	—
Away team to concede	81.7%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:06 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · League Two15:00 UK

BarnetVS

York

Not Started

Kickoff Edge xG · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home49.2%Odds —

Draw21.1%Odds —

Away29.7%Odds —

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

70.7%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	49.2%	—
Draw	21.1%	—
Away win	29.7%	—
Over 0.5 goals	97.4%	—
Under 0.5 goals	2.6%	—
Over 1.5 goals	88.0%	—
Under 1.5 goals	12.0%	—
Over 2.5 goals	70.7%	—
Under 2.5 goals	29.3%	—
Over 3.5 goals	49.7%	—
Under 3.5 goals	50.3%	—
Over 4.5 goals	30.5%	—
Under 4.5 goals	69.5%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	69.5%	—
Both teams to score — No	30.5%	—
Home or draw	70.3%	—
Away or draw	50.8%	—
Home or away	78.9%	—
Home team to concede	79.5%	—
Away team to concede	87.4%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 03:00 UKMatch centre →

Price unavailableManual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

BuryVS

Bromsgrove Sporting

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home61.1%Odds 1.82

Draw19.1%Odds 4.35

Away19.9%Odds 3.80

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

70.5%

1.531xBetSnapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.53 mean?

Potential return £153.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 65.4%. Model estimate: 70.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	61.1%	1.82Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	19.1%	4.351xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	19.9%	3.80Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	97.4%	—
Under 0.5 goals	2.6%	17.001xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 1.5 goals	87.9%	1.14Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	12.1%	5.40BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	70.5%	1.531xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	29.5%	2.55BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	49.4%	2.231xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	50.6%	1.641xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	30.2%	3.90BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	69.8%	1.26Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	65.6%	1.47Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	34.4%	2.55BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	80.1%	1.23Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	38.9%	2.00Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	80.9%	1.24Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	72.5%	—
Away team to concede	90.5%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - West13:00 UK

FC BocholtVS

FC Gutersloh

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Away win

Home26.8%Odds —

Draw20.8%Odds —

Away52.4%Odds —

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

70.3%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	26.8%	—
Draw	20.8%	—
Away win	52.4%	—
Over 0.5 goals	97.4%	—
Under 0.5 goals	2.6%	—
Over 1.5 goals	87.7%	—
Under 1.5 goals	12.3%	—
Over 2.5 goals	70.3%	—
Under 2.5 goals	29.7%	—
Over 3.5 goals	49.2%	—
Under 3.5 goals	50.8%	—
Over 4.5 goals	30.0%	—
Under 4.5 goals	70.0%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	68.4%	—
Both teams to score — No	31.6%	—
Home or draw	47.6%	—
Away or draw	73.2%	—
Home or away	79.2%	—
Home team to concede	88.2%	—
Away team to concede	77.5%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Price unavailableManual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - West13:00 UK

HildenVS

Bergisch Gladbach

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Away win

Home30.3%Odds —

Draw21.5%Odds —

Away48.2%Odds —

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

69.6%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	30.3%	—
Draw	21.5%	—
Away win	48.2%	—
Over 0.5 goals	97.2%	—
Under 0.5 goals	2.8%	—
Over 1.5 goals	87.4%	—
Under 1.5 goals	12.6%	—
Over 2.5 goals	69.6%	—
Under 2.5 goals	30.4%	—
Over 3.5 goals	48.3%	—
Under 3.5 goals	51.7%	—
Over 4.5 goals	29.2%	—
Under 4.5 goals	70.8%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	68.7%	—
Both teams to score — No	31.3%	—
Home or draw	51.8%	—
Away or draw	69.7%	—
Home or away	78.5%	—
Home team to concede	86.7%	—
Away team to concede	79.3%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Price unavailableManual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

Tonbridge AngelsVS

Torquay

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Away win

Home33.4%Odds 3.58

Draw21.8%Odds 4.12

Away44.8%Odds 1.90

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

69.1%

1.641xBetSnapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.64 mean?

Potential return £164.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £64.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 61.0%. Model estimate: 69.1%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	33.4%	3.581xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	21.8%	4.121xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	44.8%	1.901xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	97.2%	—
Under 0.5 goals	2.8%	13.001xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 1.5 goals	87.1%	1.18Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	12.9%	4.371xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	69.1%	1.641xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	30.9%	2.25Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	47.8%	2.471xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	52.2%	1.521xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	28.7%	4.33Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	71.3%	1.20Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	68.9%	1.53Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	31.1%	2.321xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	55.2%	1.87Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	66.6%	1.26Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	78.2%	1.24Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	85.4%	—
Away team to concede	80.7%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie15:30 UK

VitesseVS

NAC Breda

Not Started

Kickoff Edge xG · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home56.0%Odds 2.88

Draw20.4%Odds 4.12

Away23.6%Odds 2.25

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

69.0%

1.45BetanoSnapshot 2 Oct, 01:33

Shortening · 1.47 → 1.45 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.45 mean?

Potential return £145.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £45.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 69.0%. Model estimate: 69.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	56.0%	2.88Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Draw	20.4%	4.12Pinnacle 2 Oct, 01:33
Away win	23.6%	2.25Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 0.5 goals	97.1%	1.03Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 0.5 goals	2.9%	21.00Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 1.5 goals	87.0%	1.14Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 1.5 goals	13.0%	6.50Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 2.5 goals	69.0%	1.45Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 2.5 goals	31.0%	2.88Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 3.5 goals	47.6%	2.10Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 3.5 goals	52.4%	1.73Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 4.5 goals	28.5%	3.50Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 4.5 goals	71.5%	1.30Pinnacle 2 Oct, 01:33
Both teams to score — Yes	66.2%	1.44William Hill 2 Oct, 01:33
Both teams to score — No	33.8%	2.88Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Home or draw	76.4%	1.70Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Away or draw	44.0%	1.44Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Home or away	79.6%	1.28Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Home team to concede	74.6%	—
Away team to concede	88.8%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 03:00 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

Bury TownVS

Spalding United

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home47.0%Odds 2.97

Draw21.7%Odds 3.98

Away31.3%Odds 2.16

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

68.9%

1.67Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.67 mean?

Potential return £167.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £67.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 59.9%. Model estimate: 68.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	47.0%	2.971xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	21.7%	3.981xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	31.3%	2.161xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	97.1%	—
Under 0.5 goals	2.9%	12.501xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 1.5 goals	87.0%	1.19Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	13.0%	4.341xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	68.9%	1.67Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	31.1%	2.231xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	47.5%	2.63BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	52.5%	1.521xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	28.4%	5.00BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	71.6%	1.18Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	68.4%	1.53Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	31.6%	2.311xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	68.7%	1.67Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	53.0%	1.36Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	78.3%	1.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	79.4%	—
Away team to concede	86.1%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

SalisburyVS

Dulwich Hamlet

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-match · Division adjustedModel lean: Home win

Home63.0%Odds 1.37

Draw19.0%Odds 5.64

Away18.1%Odds 8.50

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

68.0%

1.561xBetSnapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Shortening · 1.57 → 1.56 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.56 mean?

Potential return £156.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £56.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 64.1%. Model estimate: 68.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	63.0%	1.37Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	19.0%	5.641xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	18.1%	8.501xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	—
Under 0.5 goals	3.0%	—
Over 1.5 goals	86.4%	1.16Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	13.6%	5.00BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	68.0%	1.561xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	32.0%	2.401xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	46.4%	2.38BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	53.6%	1.611xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	27.5%	4.40BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	72.5%	1.221xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	62.5%	1.83BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	37.5%	1.901xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	81.9%	1.10Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	37.0%	3.50Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	81.0%	1.15Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	69.2%	—
Away team to concede	90.2%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie19:00 UK

WaalwijkVS

Emmen

Not Started

Kickoff Edge xG · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home56.8%Odds 2.00

Draw20.4%Odds 3.90

Away22.8%Odds 3.45

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

67.9%

1.44PinnacleSnapshot 2 Oct, 01:33

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.44 mean?

Potential return £144.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £44.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 69.4%. Model estimate: 67.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	56.8%	2.00Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Draw	20.4%	3.90Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Away win	22.8%	3.45Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	1.03Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 0.5 goals	3.0%	21.00Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 1.5 goals	86.4%	1.14Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 1.5 goals	13.6%	6.50Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 2.5 goals	67.9%	1.44Pinnacle 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 2.5 goals	32.1%	2.88Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 3.5 goals	46.4%	2.10Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 3.5 goals	53.6%	1.75Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 4.5 goals	27.5%	3.60BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 4.5 goals	72.5%	1.31Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Both teams to score — Yes	65.1%	1.40Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Both teams to score — No	34.9%	2.88Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Home or draw	77.2%	1.33Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Away or draw	43.2%	1.90Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Home or away	79.6%	1.25William Hill 2 Oct, 01:33
Home team to concede	73.5%	—
Away team to concede	88.6%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 03:00 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern13:00 UK

Nürnberg IIVS

Augsburg II

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home60.1%Odds —

Draw19.7%Odds —

Away20.2%Odds —

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

67.7%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	60.1%	—
Draw	19.7%	—
Away win	20.2%	—
Over 0.5 goals	96.9%	—
Under 0.5 goals	3.1%	—
Over 1.5 goals	86.3%	—
Under 1.5 goals	13.7%	—
Over 2.5 goals	67.7%	—
Under 2.5 goals	32.3%	—
Over 3.5 goals	46.1%	—
Under 3.5 goals	53.9%	—
Over 4.5 goals	27.3%	—
Under 4.5 goals	72.7%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	63.6%	—
Both teams to score — No	36.4%	—
Home or draw	79.8%	—
Away or draw	39.9%	—
Home or away	80.3%	—
Home team to concede	71.1%	—
Away team to concede	89.5%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Price unavailableManual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

Cambridge CityVS

Alvechurch

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home48.6%Odds 3.74

Draw21.9%Odds 4.30

Away29.5%Odds 1.83

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

66.9%

1.551xBetSnapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Shortening · 1.56 → 1.55 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.55 mean?

Potential return £155.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £55.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 64.5%. Model estimate: 66.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	48.6%	3.741xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	21.9%	4.301xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	29.5%	1.83Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	96.8%	—
Under 0.5 goals	3.2%	17.001xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 1.5 goals	85.8%	1.16Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	14.2%	4.95Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	66.9%	1.551xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	33.1%	2.401xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	45.2%	2.291xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	54.8%	1.611xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	26.4%	3.90Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	73.6%	1.23Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	66.5%	1.48Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	33.5%	2.60Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	70.5%	1.93Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	51.4%	1.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	78.1%	1.24Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	77.5%	—
Away team to concede	85.9%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian15:00 UK

Welling UnitedVS

Whyteleafe

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home67.6%Odds 1.85

Draw17.8%Odds 4.16

Away14.6%Odds 3.80

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

66.7%

1.65Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.65 mean?

Potential return £165.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £65.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 60.6%. Model estimate: 66.7%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	67.6%	1.85Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	17.8%	4.161xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	14.6%	3.80Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	96.8%	—
Under 0.5 goals	3.2%	—
Over 1.5 goals	85.7%	1.20Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	14.3%	4.351xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	66.7%	1.65Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	2.231xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	45.0%	2.49Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	55.0%	1.521xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	26.3%	4.40Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	73.7%	1.171xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	58.6%	1.57Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	41.4%	2.201xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	85.4%	1.26Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	32.4%	1.91Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	82.2%	1.23Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	64.5%	—
Away team to concede	90.9%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie19:00 UK

Almere City FCVS

FC Volendam

Not Started

Kickoff Edge xG · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home54.5%Odds 2.00

Draw21.0%Odds 4.20

Away24.4%Odds 3.50

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

66.6%

1.36Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:33

Shortening · 1.40 → 1.36 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.36 mean?

Potential return £136.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £36.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 73.5%. Model estimate: 66.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	54.5%	2.00Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Draw	21.0%	4.20Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Away win	24.4%	3.50Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 0.5 goals	96.8%	1.01Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 0.5 goals	3.2%	23.00Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 1.5 goals	85.7%	1.11Betano 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 1.5 goals	14.3%	7.50Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 2.5 goals	66.6%	1.36Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 2.5 goals	33.4%	3.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 3.5 goals	44.9%	1.88Pinnacle 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 3.5 goals	55.1%	1.90Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Over 4.5 goals	26.2%	3.00Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Under 4.5 goals	73.8%	1.40Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Both teams to score — Yes	64.8%	1.35William Hill 2 Oct, 01:33
Both teams to score — No	35.2%	3.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Home or draw	75.6%	1.36Betfair 2 Oct, 01:33
Away or draw	45.5%	1.91Bet365 2 Oct, 01:33
Home or away	79.0%	1.25William Hill 2 Oct, 01:33
Home team to concede	73.9%	—
Away team to concede	87.6%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 03:00 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord13:00 UK

Eintracht NorderstedtVS

Bremer SV

Match Postponed

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home48.7%Odds —

Draw22.0%Odds —

Away29.3%Odds —

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

66.1%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	48.7%	—
Draw	22.0%	—
Away win	29.3%	—
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	—
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	—
Over 1.5 goals	85.4%	—
Under 1.5 goals	14.6%	—
Over 2.5 goals	66.1%	—
Under 2.5 goals	33.9%	—
Over 3.5 goals	44.3%	—
Under 3.5 goals	55.7%	—
Over 4.5 goals	25.7%	—
Under 4.5 goals	74.3%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	65.9%	—
Both teams to score — No	34.1%	—
Home or draw	70.7%	—
Away or draw	51.3%	—
Home or away	78.0%	—
Home team to concede	77.0%	—
Away team to concede	85.6%	—

Calculated 1 Oct, 18:44 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedManual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

AFC Rushden & DiamondsVS

Braintree

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home49.5%Odds 4.75

Draw21.9%Odds 4.64

Away28.5%Odds 1.67

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

65.9%

1.53Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.53 mean?

Potential return £153.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 65.4%. Model estimate: 65.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	49.5%	4.75BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	21.9%	4.641xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	28.5%	1.67Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	96.6%	—
Under 0.5 goals	3.4%	17.001xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 1.5 goals	85.3%	1.15Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	14.7%	5.111xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	65.9%	1.53Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	34.1%	2.471xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	44.1%	2.38BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	55.9%	1.651xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	25.5%	4.20BetVictor 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	74.5%	1.241xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	65.5%	1.55Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	34.5%	2.271xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	71.5%	2.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	50.5%	1.21Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	78.1%	1.20Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	76.4%	—
Away team to concede	85.8%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · National League15:00 UK

SouthendVS

AFC Fylde

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home45.8%Odds 1.75

Draw22.4%Odds 4.55

Away31.9%Odds 4.06

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

65.8%

1.461xBetSnapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Shortening · 1.47 → 1.46 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.46 mean?

Potential return £146.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £46.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 68.5%. Model estimate: 65.8%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	45.8%	1.75Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	22.4%	4.551xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	31.9%	4.061xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	96.6%	1.03Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 0.5 goals	3.4%	19.00Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 1.5 goals	85.2%	1.14Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	14.8%	6.00Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	65.8%	1.461xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	34.2%	2.75Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	44.0%	2.14Pinnacle 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	56.0%	1.731xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	25.4%	3.60Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	74.6%	1.291xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	66.1%	1.50William Hill 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	33.9%	2.60Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	68.1%	1.27Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	54.2%	2.10Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	77.6%	1.25Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	78.3%	—
Away team to concede	84.5%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · FA Cup15:00 UK

MarineVS

Warrington Town

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-match · Division adjustedModel lean: Home win

Home54.7%Odds 1.82

Draw21.3%Odds 3.96

Away24.1%Odds 4.08

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

65.2%

1.90Bet365Snapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.90 mean?

Potential return £190.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £90.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 52.6%. Model estimate: 65.2%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	54.7%	1.82Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	21.3%	3.961xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	24.1%	4.081xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	96.5%	1.05Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 0.5 goals	3.5%	11.001xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 1.5 goals	84.8%	1.27Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	15.2%	3.561xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	65.2%	1.90Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	34.8%	1.961xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	43.2%	3.08Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	56.8%	1.371xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	24.8%	5.90Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	75.2%	1.12Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	63.5%	1.76Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	36.5%	1.941xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	75.9%	1.23Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	45.3%	1.95Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	78.7%	1.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	72.9%	—
Away team to concede	87.1%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian15:00 UK

RamsgateVS

Carshalton Athletic

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home58.4%Odds 2.33

Draw20.6%Odds 3.92

Away21.0%Odds 2.74

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

64.7%

1.671xBetSnapshot 2 Oct, 01:15

Drifting · 1.64 → 1.67 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.67 mean?

Potential return £167.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £67.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 59.9%. Model estimate: 64.7%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	58.4%	2.331xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Draw	20.6%	3.921xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Away win	21.0%	2.741xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	—
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	—
Over 1.5 goals	84.5%	1.20Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 1.5 goals	15.5%	4.221xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 2.5 goals	64.7%	1.671xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 2.5 goals	35.3%	2.20Bet365 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 3.5 goals	42.7%	2.541xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 3.5 goals	57.3%	1.501xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Over 4.5 goals	24.3%	4.55Marathonbet 2 Oct, 01:15
Under 4.5 goals	75.7%	1.17Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — Yes	61.7%	1.53Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Both teams to score — No	38.3%	2.341xBet 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or draw	79.0%	1.44Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Away or draw	41.6%	1.60Betano 2 Oct, 01:15
Home or away	79.4%	1.25Betfair 2 Oct, 01:15
Home team to concede	70.1%	—
Away team to concede	88.1%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

World · CONCACAF Nations League03:00 UK

El SalvadorVS

Jamaica

Not Started

Experimental fallback · research onlyModel lean: Away win

Home32.3%Odds 3.50

Draw22.8%Odds 3.41

Away44.9%Odds 2.17

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

64.1%

2.13PinnacleSnapshot 2 Oct, 02:22

Drifting · 2.12 → 2.13 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 2.13 mean?

Potential return £213.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £113.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 46.9%. Model estimate: 64.1%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	32.3%	3.50Betano 2 Oct, 02:22
Draw	22.8%	3.41Pinnacle 2 Oct, 02:22
Away win	44.9%	2.171xBet 2 Oct, 02:22
Over 0.5 goals	96.3%	1.08Betano 2 Oct, 02:22
Under 0.5 goals	3.7%	9.00Betfair 2 Oct, 02:22
Over 1.5 goals	84.1%	1.36Pinnacle 2 Oct, 02:22
Under 1.5 goals	15.9%	3.25Betfair 2 Oct, 02:22
Over 2.5 goals	64.1%	2.13Pinnacle 2 Oct, 02:22
Under 2.5 goals	35.9%	1.73Betfair 2 Oct, 02:22
Over 3.5 goals	42.0%	3.80Betfair 2 Oct, 02:22
Under 3.5 goals	58.0%	1.26Betano 2 Oct, 02:22
Over 4.5 goals	23.7%	8.00Betfair 2 Oct, 02:22
Under 4.5 goals	76.3%	1.09Betano 2 Oct, 02:22
Both teams to score — Yes	64.8%	1.87Betfair 2 Oct, 02:22
Both teams to score — No	35.2%	1.91William Hill 2 Oct, 02:22
Home or draw	55.1%	1.75Betano 2 Oct, 02:22
Away or draw	67.7%	1.31Betano 2 Oct, 02:22
Home or away	77.2%	1.33William Hill 2 Oct, 02:22
Home team to concede	83.5%	—
Away team to concede	77.7%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Manual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest13:00 UK

SGV FreibergVS

TSV Steinbach

Not Started

Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win

Home50.2%Odds —

Draw22.2%Odds —

Away27.5%Odds —

Selected marketOver 2.5 goals

63.8%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	50.2%	—
Draw	22.2%	—
Away win	27.5%	—
Over 0.5 goals	96.3%	—
Under 0.5 goals	3.7%	—
Over 1.5 goals	84.0%	—
Under 1.5 goals	16.0%	—
Over 2.5 goals	63.8%	—
Under 2.5 goals	36.2%	—
Over 3.5 goals	41.7%	—
Under 3.5 goals	58.3%	—
Over 4.5 goals	23.5%	—
Under 4.5 goals	76.5%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	63.7%	—
Both teams to score — No	36.3%	—
Home or draw	72.5%	—
Away or draw	49.8%	—
Home or away	77.8%	—
Home team to concede	74.6%	—
Away team to concede	85.3%	—

Calculated 2 Oct, 05:04 UKMatch centre →

Price unavailableManual journal →