Start with qualifying selections. These passed the price and estimate checks when captured. Open a match to see the original evidence. “Awaiting result” means the outcome has not been confirmed; it does not mean the selection is missing.
CAPTURED BEFORE KICKOFF
Ukraine v Northern Ireland
No recommendation — prices need checking at capture time.
Original selectionEither team to win (no draw)
71.2% market-implied chance · stored odds 1.35 at Marathonbet
Captured 1 Oct 2026 18:35 UK · kickoff 2 Oct 19:45 UK
Original evidence & data details
Bookmaker market · Unavailable
Policy value-buffer-v2. Odds updated 1 Oct 17:15 UK. Estimate calculated not supplied.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
One virtual unit per original qualifying selection. These are recorded selections, not real bets. Read each model’s results separately.
First qualifying selections by model and policy
Estimate source
Selections
Won
Lost
Void
Awaiting result
Net units
ROI settled only
Team strength · division adjustedvalue-buffer-v2 · strength-tier-v4 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-01
9
0
0
0
9
0.00
—0 settled
Expected goals blendvalue-buffer-v2 · xg-blend-v1 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-02
12
1
1
0
10
0.90
45.0%2 settled
Team strengthvalue-buffer-v2 · opponent-shrink-dc-v3 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-02
64
10
8
0
46
0.72
4.0%18 settled
How this record works
We count the first qualifying candidate recorded for each fixture and policy from the recorder’s launch. Later selections do not replace it. All captured losses and voids stay visible. Other captures are available under All match decisions.
Net units assumes one virtual unit at the original stored odds. ROI uses settled wins and losses only; voids return the stake. Price availability is not guaranteed. Results use confirmed 90-minute scores; corrections are appended for 30 days after kickoff. Unresolved postponements await review.
Small samples can produce dramatic returns. This record helps you assess the selections over time; it does not establish future profit. It is separate from your practice bankroll and manual journal.