Poland
3/9Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Poland’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 6THE MATCH CENTREPoland vs Finland match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Cash27′
R. Lewandowski45′
J. Kaminski54′
B. Kallman88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
PolandFinland
2.150Expected goals · API-Football0.290
6Shots on target2
15Total Shots5
45%Ball Possession55%
8Corner Kicks2
11Fouls11
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
395Total passes493
312Passes accurate416
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Poland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Finland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Finland
2/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Finland’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Poland
9 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored6 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NetherlandsAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1FinlandAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–2MoldovaHome · Friendlies2–0MaltaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0LithuaniaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0ScotlandHome · UEFA Nations League1–2PortugalAway · UEFA Nations League1–5CroatiaHome · UEFA Nations League3–3PortugalHome · UEFA Nations League1–3
Finland
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NorwayAway · Friendlies0–1PolandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–1NetherlandsHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–2LithuaniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–2MaltaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0GreeceHome · UEFA Nations League0–2Rep. Of IrelandAway · UEFA Nations League0–1EnglandHome · UEFA Nations League1–3Rep. Of IrelandHome · UEFA Nations League1–2EnglandAway · UEFA Nations League0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Poland at home with Finland away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
PolandFinland
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Poland at home with Finland away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Poland
Confirmed formation4-4-2Jan Urban
- 1
L. SkorupskiG - 2
M. CashD - 3
P. WisniewskiD - 5
J. BednarekD - 14
J. KiwiorD - 20
S. SzymanskiM - 17
B. SliszM - 10
P. ZielinskiM - 21
N. ZalewskiM - 9
R. LewandowskiF - 13
J. KaminskiF
Substitutes (12)
12 · K. Grabara
22 · B. Dragowski
4 · T. Kedziora
6 · J. Piotrowski
7 · K. Swiderski
8 · B. Kapustka
11 · K. Grosicki
15 · A. Buksa
16 · P. Wszolek
18 · J. Ziolkowski
19 · P. Frankowski
23 · K. Piatek
Finland
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Jacob Friis
- 1
J. JoronenG - 2
M. PeltolaD - 15
M. TenhoD - 5
V. KoskiD - 17
N. AlhoM - 14
K. KairinenM - 11
A. MarkhievM - 18
J. UronenM - 8
R. LodF - 7
O. AntmanF - 20
J. PohjanpaloF
Substitutes (12)
12 · V. Sinisalo
23 · L. Bergstrom
3 · A. Suhonen
4 · R. Ivanov
6 · G. Kamara
9 · F. Jensen
10 · T. Pukki
13 · A. Stahl
16 · S. Vaananen
19 · B. Kallman
21 · T. Keskinen
22 · O. Jukkola
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Poland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łukasz Skorupski | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Matty Cash | 45 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Przemysław Wiśniewski | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 49 | — |
| Jan Bednarek | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Jakub Kiwior | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 3 |
| Sebastian Szymański | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 22 | 3 |
| Bartosz Slisz | 68 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Piotr Zieliński | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 2 |
| Nicola Zalewski | 67 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Robert Lewandowski | 67 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
| Jakub Kamiński | 80 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Paweł Wszołek | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Kamil Grosicki | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Karol Świderski | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Bartosz Kapustka | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Adam Buksa | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 2 |
| Kamil Grabara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartłomiej Drągowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomasz Kędziora | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Przemysław Frankowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakub Piotrowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Krzysztof Piątek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Finland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Joronen | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Matti Peltola | 64 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Miro Tenho | 35 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Ville Koski | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 72 | — |
| Nikolai Alho | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Kaan Kairinen | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | — |
| Adam Markhiev | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Jere Uronen | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 |
| Robin Lod | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Oliver Antman | 64 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Joel Pohjanpalo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Robert Ivanov | 55 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 2 |
| Adam Stahl | 26 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Glen Kamara | 26 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Benjamin Källman | 26 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Santeri Väänänen | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Viljami Sinisalo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Bergström | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oiva Jukkola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anssi Suhonen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fredrik Jensen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Topi Keskinen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teemu Pukki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group G. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 20 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 4 |  Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 5 | LWLDL |
| 5 |  Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | LLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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