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Türkiye vs Bulgaria match centre

Türkiye badgeTürkiyeHome · 2 in league
WWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising80/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Bulgaria badgeBulgariaAway · 4 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
H. Calhanoglu18′ (pen)
A. Chernev83′ (og)
Timsah Park · BursaSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
TürkiyeBulgaria
9Corner Kicks6
11Fouls12
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves5
555Total passes283
480Passes accurate206

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Türkiye 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Bulgaria 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Türkiye

5/7Wins
2.9Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Türkiye’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Bulgaria

1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
2.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Bulgaria’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Türkiye at home with Bulgaria away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:45 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

TürkiyeBulgaria
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Türkiye at home with Bulgaria away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Türkiye

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincenzo Montella
  1. 23U. CakirG
  2. 2Z. CelikD
  3. 3M. DemiralD
  4. 14A. BardakciD
  5. 20F. KadiogluD
  6. 10H. CalhanogluM
  7. 16I. YuksekM
  8. 19O. AydinM
  9. 8A. GulerM
  10. 11K. YildizM
  11. 7K. AkturkogluF
Substitutes (12)

1 · M. Gunok

12 · A. Bayindir

4 · C. Soyuncu

5 · S. Ozcan

6 · O. Kokcu

9 · B. A. Yilmaz

13 · A. Karazor

15 · S. Akaydin

17 · Y. Sari

18 · M. Muldur

21 · D. Gul

22 · K. Ayhan

Bulgaria

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1D. MitovG
  2. 20M. GeorgievD
  3. 5K. DimitrovD
  4. 3A. ChernevD
  5. 2H. PetrovD
  6. 7G. RusevM
  7. 4I. GruevM
  8. 8A. KraevM
  9. 14F. KrastevM
  10. 10Z. DimitrovM
  11. 11K. DespodovF
Substitutes (12)

12 · A. Bozhev

21 · D. Evtimov

6 · V. Popov

9 · V. Nikolov

13 · R. Bozhinov

15 · S. Velkov

16 · M. Petkov

17 · M. Minchev

18 · I. Chochev

19 · I. Yordanov

22 · K. Stoyanov

23 · S. Shopov

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Türkiye

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Uğurcan Çakır907.0—0—27—
Zeki Çelik617.2—0—333
Merih Demiral456.6—0—38—
Abdülkerim Bardakcı906.9—0182—
Ferdi Kadıoğlu617.2—0—485
Hakan Çalhanoğlu908.6102834
İsmail Yüksek907.3—02663
Oğuz Aydın907.3—0—452
Arda Güler887.2—01371
Kenan Yıldız908.0—02333
Kerem Aktürkoğlu906.9—0611—
Samet Akaydın456.9—0—25—
Kaan Ayhan206.7—0—8—
Mert Müldür296.9—01131
Atakan Karazor96.7—0—4—
Yusuf Sarı2——012—
Mert Günok———————
Altay Bayındır———————
Çağlar Söyüncü———————
Salih Özcan———————
Orkun Kökçü———————
Barış Alper Yılmaz———————
Deniz Gül———————

Bulgaria

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dimitar Mitov907.3—0—31—
Martin Georgiev906.6—0—231
Kristian Dimitrov906.5—0—15—
Atanas Chernev906.2—01161
Hristiyan Petrov906.5—0—35—
Georgi Rusev856.6—02172
Ilia Gruev906.6—0—431
Andrian Kraev727.0—0—342
Filip Krastev907.2—0—262
Zdravko Dimitrov726.2—0—161
Kiril Despodov636.3—01121
Martin Minchev276.2—0—2—
Marin Petkov186.3—0—7—
Ivajlo Chochev186.2—0—5—
Vladimir Nikolov96.3—0—1—
Aleks Bozhev———————
Dimitar Evtimov———————
Viktor Popov———————
Rosen Bozhinov———————
Stefan Velkov———————
Ivan Yordanov———————
Kristiyan Stoyanov———————
Stanislav Shopov———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group E. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Spain65102121916
DWWWW
2Türkiye64111712513
DWWWL
3Georgia6105715-83
LLLLW
4Bulgaria6105319-163
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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