Northern Ireland
3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Northern Ireland’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 10THE MATCH CENTRENorthern Ireland vs Luxembourg match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Donley44′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Northern IrelandLuxembourg
1.340Expected goals · API-Football0.550
—Shots on target—
—Total Shots—
—Ball Possession—
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Northern Ireland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Luxembourg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Luxembourg
1/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Luxembourg’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Northern Ireland
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SlovakiaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–1GermanyHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–1SlovakiaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0GermanyAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–3LuxembourgAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1IcelandHome · Friendlies1–0DenmarkAway · Friendlies1–2SwedenAway · Friendlies1–5SwitzerlandHome · Friendlies1–1LuxembourgAway · UEFA Nations League2–2
Luxembourg
10 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GermanyHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–2SlovakiaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–2GermanyAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–4SlovakiaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–1Northern IrelandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–3Rep. Of IrelandHome · Friendlies0–0SloveniaHome · Friendlies0–1SwitzerlandAway · Friendlies1–3SwedenHome · Friendlies1–0Northern IrelandHome · UEFA Nations League2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Northern Ireland at home with Luxembourg away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
Northern IrelandLuxembourg
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Northern Ireland at home with Luxembourg away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Northern Ireland
Confirmed formation3-4-3Michael Andrew Martin O'Neill
- 12
C. HazardG - 13
R. McConvilleD - 17
P. McNairD - 22
C. BrownD - 2
C. BradleyM - 16
B. LyonsM - 20
J. McDonnellM - 3
J. LewisM - 7
E. GalbraithF - 10
J. DonleyF - 14
I. PriceF
Substitutes (12)
1 · J. Clarke
23 · L. Southwood
4 · E. Toal
5 · R. Johnson
6 · T. Devlin
8 · C. Marshall
9 · D. Charles
11 · P. Smyth
15 · J. Devenny
18 · R. McCausland
19 · P. Kelly
21 · J. Magennis
Luxembourg
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jeff Strasser
- 1
A. MorisG - 22
M. MartinsD - 2
S. KoracD - 13
D. CarlsonD - 18
L. JansD - 19
M. OlesenM - 16
L. BarreiroM - 15
O. ThillM - 8
C. MartinsM - 7
A. DardariM - 10
D. SinaniF
Substitutes (12)
23 · L. Fox
3 · A. Embalo
4 · M. Mustafic
5 · A. Curci
6 · T. de Sousa
9 · K. Avdusinovic
11 · E. Muratovic
14 · E. Veiga
17 · V. Selimovic
20 · E. Dzogovic
21 · S. Thill
12 · T. Pereira Cardoso
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Northern Ireland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Hazard | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Ruairi McConville | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 3 |
| Paddy McNair | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Ciaron Brown | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Conor Bradley | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| Bradley Lyons | 52 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Jamie McDonnell | 67 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Jamal Lewis | 82 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 |
| Ethan Galbraith | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Jamie Donley | 67 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Isaac Price | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| Terry Devlin | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 4 |
| Paul Smyth | 38 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Callum Marshall | 23 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Josh Magennis | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Patrick Kelly | 8 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Luke Southwood | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua Clarke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eoin Toal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Johnson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Devenny | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dion Charles | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ross McCausland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Luxembourg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Moris | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 52 | — |
| Marvin Martins | 87 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Seid Korać | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 1 |
| Dirk Carlson | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 66 | 2 |
| Laurent Jans | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 3 |
| Mathias Olesen | 67 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | — |
| Leandro Barreiro | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | — |
| Olivier Thill | 80 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 28 | 2 |
| Christopher Martins Pereira | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Aiman Dardari | 67 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Danel Sinani | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 2 |
| Tomas de Sousa Moreira | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Kenan Avdusinović | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Edvin Muratović | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Eldin Džogović | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Tiago Pereira Cardoso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Fox | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Veiga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vahid Selimović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mirza Mustafić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastien Thill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulai Djabi Embalo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessio Curci | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Germany | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 12 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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