Wales
5/9Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Wales’s results
FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTREWales vs Canada match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Derek Cornelius41′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
WalesCanada
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target2
6Total Shots12
63%Ball Possession37%
3Corner Kicks4
16Fouls16
4Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
479Total passes267
400Passes accurate204
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Wales 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Canada 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Canada
5/6Wins
3.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Canada’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Wales
9 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
KazakhstanAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0BelgiumAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–4LiechtensteinHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–0FYR MacedoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1KazakhstanHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1IcelandHome · UEFA Nations League4–1TürkiyeAway · UEFA Nations League0–0MontenegroHome · UEFA Nations League1–0IcelandAway · UEFA Nations League2–2
Canada
6 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.0
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 6
Both teams scored2 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Wales at home with Canada away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:52 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches
WalesCanada
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Wales at home with Canada away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Wales
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Craig Douglas Bellamy
- 21
Adam DaviesG - 15
Ronan KpakioD - 5
Ben CabangoD - 4
Ben DaviesD - 3
Neco WilliamsD - 16
Charlie CrewM - 7
David BrooksM - 8
Harry WilsonM - 17
Jordan JamesM - 20
Daniel JamesM - 18
Mark HarrisF
Substitutes (12)
14 · Rhys Norrington-Davies
9 · Lewis Koumas
23 · Joel Colwill
19 · Sorba Thomas
22 · Kai Andrews
2 · Chris Mepham
1 · Karl Darlow
12 · Tom King
6 · Dylan Lawlor
11 · Brennan Johnson
13 · Kieffer Moore
10 · Liam Cullen
Canada
Confirmed formation4-4-2Jesse Alan Marsch
- 1
Dayne St. ClairG - 23
Niko SigurD - 15
Luc De FougerollesD - 13
Derek CorneliusD - 22
Richie LaryeaD - 17
Tajon BuchananM - 8
Ismael KonéM - 19
Nathan-Dylan SalibaM - 11
Ali AhmedM - 20
Jonathan DavidF - 12
Tani OluwaseyiF
Substitutes (12)
14 · Jacob Shaffelburg
10 · Junior Hoilett
6 · Mathieu Choinière
9 · Thelonius Bair
21 · Jayden Nelson
5 · Joel Waterman
16 · Tom McGill
18 · Jayden Hibbert
2 · Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
4 · Jamie Knight-Lebel
3 · Zorhan Bassong
24 · Promise David
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Wales
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Davies | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Ronan Kpakio | 70 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Ben Cabango | 85 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 88 | — |
| Ben Davies | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 97 | — |
| Neco Williams | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Charlie Crew | 70 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 |
| David Brooks | 62 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Harry Wilson | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| Jordan James | 62 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Daniel James | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Mark Harris | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | 29 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Lewis Koumas | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Joel Colwill | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Sorba Thomas | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Kai Andrews | 20 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Chris Mepham | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Karl Darlow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom King | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Lawlor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Johnson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieffer Moore | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Cullen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Canada
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Niko Sigur | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Luc De Fougerolles | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Derek Cornelius | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 2 |
| Richie Laryea | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 |
| Tajon Buchanan | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Ismael Koné | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Nathan-Dylan Saliba | 89 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | 4 |
| Ali Ahmed | 65 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 5 |
| Jonathan David | 65 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | 25 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Junior Hoilett | 25 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Mathieu Choinière | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Thelonius Bair | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Jayden Nelson | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Joel Waterman | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Tom McGill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Hibbert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zorhan Bassong | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Promise David | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Friendlies table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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