England
5/6Wins
2.8Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect England’s results
FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTREEngland vs Wales match centre
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Morgan Rogers3′
Ollie Watkins11′
Bukayo Saka20′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
EnglandWales
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target2
17Total Shots10
64%Ball Possession36%
8Corner Kicks2
10Fouls9
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
630Total passes364
590Passes accurate309
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
England 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Wales 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Wales
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Wales’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
England
6 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.8
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 6
Both teams scored2 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Wales
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CanadaHome · Friendlies0–1KazakhstanAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0BelgiumAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–4LiechtensteinHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–0FYR MacedoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1KazakhstanHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1IcelandHome · UEFA Nations League4–1TürkiyeAway · UEFA Nations League0–0MontenegroHome · UEFA Nations League1–0IcelandAway · UEFA Nations League2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare England at home with Wales away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches
EnglandWales
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares England at home with Wales away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
England
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thomas Tuchel
- 1
Jordan PickfordG - 2
Ezri KonsaD - 5
John StonesD - 6
Marc GuéhiD - 14
Djed SpenceD - 21
Elliot AndersonM - 4
Declan RiceM - 7
Bukayo SakaM - 15
Morgan RogersM - 17
Anthony GordonM - 19
Ollie WatkinsF
Substitutes (13)
11 · Marcus Rashford
18 · Ruben Loftus-Cheek
8 · Jordan Henderson
16 · Morgan Gibbs-White
20 · Jarrod Bowen
3 · Myles Lewis-Skelly
13 · Dean Henderson
22 · James Trafford
24 · Nico O'Reilly
12 · Dan Burn
23 · Jarell Quansah
9 · Harry Kane
10 · Eberechi Eze
Wales
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Craig Douglas Bellamy
- 1
Karl DarlowG - 3
Neco WilliamsD - 6
Joe RodonD - 4
Ben DaviesD - 15
Jay DasilvaD - 5
Ethan AmpaduM - 10
Liam CullenM - 11
Brennan JohnsonM - 8
Harry WilsonM - 7
David BrooksM - 13
Kieffer MooreF
Substitutes (15)
24 · Ronan Kpakio
2 · Chris Mepham
22 · Josh Sheehan
17 · Jordan James
9 · Lewis Koumas
18 · Mark Harris
21 · Adam Davies
12 · Tom King
25 · Dylan Lawlor
16 · Ben Cabango
23 · Nathan Broadhead
19 · Sorba Thomas
26 · Joel Colwill
14 · Rubin Colwill
20 · Isaak Davies
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
England
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Ezri Konsa | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | 69 | 2 |
| John Stones | 80 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 91 | — |
| Marc Guéhi | 90 | 8.3 | — | 2 | 1 | 88 | — |
| Djed Spence | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Elliot Anderson | 69 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 77 | 1 |
| Declan Rice | 69 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | — |
| Bukayo Saka | 70 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Morgan Rogers | 70 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | — |
| Anthony Gordon | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 34 | 1 |
| Ollie Watkins | 45 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | — |
| Marcus Rashford | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Jordan Henderson | 21 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Jarrod Bowen | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Dean Henderson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Trafford | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Burn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jarell Quansah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Kane | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eberechi Eze | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wales
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Darlow | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Neco Williams | 64 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Joe Rodon | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | 1 |
| Ben Davies | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Jay Dasilva | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 3 |
| Ethan Ampadu | 64 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 2 |
| Liam Cullen | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Brennan Johnson | 76 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Harry Wilson | 64 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| David Brooks | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Kieffer Moore | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Ronan Kpakio | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Chris Mepham | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Josh Sheehan | 26 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Jordan James | 26 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Lewis Koumas | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Mark Harris | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Adam Davies | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom King | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Lawlor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Cabango | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Broadhead | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sorba Thomas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Colwill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubin Colwill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaak Davies | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Friendlies table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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