Italy
4/9Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Italy’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 4THE MATCH CENTREItaly vs Moldova match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
G. Raspadori40′
A. Cambiaso50′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
ItalyMoldova
—Expected goals · API-Football—
7Shots on target7
28Total Shots18
66%Ball Possession34%
7Corner Kicks6
8Fouls12
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves5
614Total passes322
556Passes accurate263
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Italy 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Moldova 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Moldova
3/8Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Moldova’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Italy
9 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 9
Both teams scored7 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NorwayAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–3GermanyAway · UEFA Nations League3–3GermanyHome · UEFA Nations League1–2FranceHome · UEFA Nations League1–3BelgiumAway · UEFA Nations League1–0IsraelHome · UEFA Nations League4–1BelgiumHome · UEFA Nations League2–2IsraelAway · UEFA Nations League2–1FranceAway · UEFA Nations League3–1
Moldova
8 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals2 of 8
Both teams scored2 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Italy at home with Moldova away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
ItalyMoldova
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Italy at home with Moldova away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Italy
Confirmed formation3-5-1-1Ivan Gennaro Gattuso
- 1
G. DonnarummaG - 22
G. Di LorenzoD - 21
A. BastoniD - 19
L. RanieriD - 20
A. CambiasoM - 16
D. FrattesiM - 6
S. RicciM - 8
S. TonaliM - 3
F. DimarcoM - 10
G. RaspadoriF - 9
M. ReteguiF
Substitutes (12)
12 · A. Meret
23 · M. Carnesecchi
2 · D. Coppola
4 · N. Rovella
5 · F. Gatti
7 · R. Orsolini
11 · D. Maldini
13 · D. Udogie
14 · C. Casadei
15 · D. Rugani
17 · L. Lucca
18 · N. Barella
Moldova
Confirmed formation5-3-2Sergiu Cleşcenco
- 12
C. AvramG - 20
S. PlaticaD - 4
V. BabogloD - 15
V. MudracD - 19
D. DumbravanuD - 2
O. ReabciukD - 11
M. CaimacovM - 7
A. IonitaM - 18
S. BodisteanuM - 9
I. NicolaescuF - 17
V. PostolachiF
Substitutes (12)
1 · V. Straistari
23 · A. Kozhukhar
3 · I. Bors
5 · V. Posmac
6 · C. Dros
8 · N. Motpan
10 · V. Damascan
13 · A. Motoc
14 · M. Stefan
16 · V. Stina
21 · S. Perciun
22 · S. Bitca
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Italy
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 90 | — |
| Luca Ranieri | 83 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 75 | 1 |
| Andrea Cambiaso | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Davide Frattesi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 |
| Samuele Ricci | 45 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 1 |
| Sandro Tonali | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 74 | 1 |
| Federico Dimarco | 45 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 77 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 45 | — |
| Mateo Retegui | 71 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | — |
| Nicolò Barella | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Riccardo Orsolini | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Lorenzo Lucca | 19 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Daniel Maldini | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Diego Coppola | 14 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Marco Carnesecchi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Meret | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Gatti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Destiny Udogie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Rugani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Rovella | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cesare Casadei | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Moldova
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Avram | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Sergiu Plătică | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | 2 |
| Vladyslav Babohlo | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 3 |
| Victor Mudrac | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Daniel Dumbravanu | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 32 | 1 |
| Oleg Reabciuk | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 32 | 1 |
| Mihail Caimacov | 66 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Artur Ioniță | 72 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Ştefan Bodişteanu | 58 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| Ion Nicolaescu | 72 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 9 | — |
| Virgiliu Postolachi | 66 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Nichita Moțpan | 32 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Sergiu Perciun | 24 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Victor Stina | 24 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Cristian Dros | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | — |
| Vitalie Damașcan | 18 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Andrii Kozhukhar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Straistari | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Veaceslav Posmac | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrei Moțoc | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mihail Stefan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ion Borș | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Bitca | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group I. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
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