France
5/6Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect France’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 6THE MATCH CENTREFrance vs Iceland match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
K. Mbappe45′ (pen)
B. Barcola62′
A. Gudjohnsen21′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
FranceIceland
3.770Expected goals · API-Football0.800
—Shots on target—
—Total Shots—
—Ball Possession—
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
France 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Iceland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Iceland
3/9Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Iceland’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
France
6 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Iceland
9 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 9
Both teams scored6 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AzerbaijanHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–0Northern IrelandAway · Friendlies0–1ScotlandAway · Friendlies3–1KosovoHome · UEFA Nations League1–3KosovoAway · UEFA Nations League1–2WalesAway · UEFA Nations League1–4MontenegroAway · UEFA Nations League2–0TürkiyeHome · UEFA Nations League2–4WalesHome · UEFA Nations League2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare France at home with Iceland away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
FranceIceland
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares France at home with Iceland away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
France
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Didier Claude Deschamps
- 16
M. MaignanG - 5
J. KoundeD - 15
I. KonateD - 4
D. UpamecanoD - 22
T. HernandezD - 8
A. TchouameniM - 13
M. KoneM - 20
B. BarcolaM - 11
M. OliseM - 9
M. ThuramM - 10
K. MbappeF
Substitutes (11)
1 · B. Samba
23 · L. Chevalier
2 · B. Pavard
3 · L. Digne
6 · K. Thuram
7 · K. Coman
14 · A. Rabiot
17 · M. Gusto
18 · M. Akliouche
19 · H. Ekitike
21 · L. Hernandez
Iceland
Confirmed formation5-3-2Arnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson
- 1
E. OlafssonG - 18
M. AndersonD - 4
V. PalssonD - 5
S. I. IngasonD - 3
D. L. Gretarsson - 23
M. E. EllertssonD - 7
H. HaraldssonM - 8
I. JohannessonM - 11
J. D. ThorsteinssonM - 22
A. GudjohnsenF - 21
D. T. GudjohnsenF
Substitutes (12)
12 · H. R. Valdimarsson
13 · A. Einarsson
2 · L. Tomasson
6 · H. Hermannsson
9 · S. Magnusson
10 · B. Willumsson
14 · T. J. Helgason
15 · W. T. Willumsson
16 · S. T. Thordarson
17 · G. Thordarson
19 · B. Bjarkason
20 · K. Hlynsson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
France
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Maignan | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Jules Koundé | 63 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 66 | — |
| Ibrahima Konaté | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 64 | — |
| Dayot Upamecano | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 2 |
| Theo Hernández | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 1 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 68 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 68 | 1 |
| Manu Koné | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 70 | 5 |
| Bradley Barcola | 63 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | — |
| Michael Olise | 89 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 61 | 1 |
| Marcus Thuram | 70 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 5 | 27 | 1 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 39 | — |
| Malo Gusto | 27 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Kingsley Coman | 27 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Adrien Rabiot | 20 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 3 |
| Hugo Ekitiké | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Brice Samba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Chevalier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Pavard | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Digne | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khéphren Thuram | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maghnes Akliouche | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Iceland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elías Ólafsson | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Mikael Anderson | 63 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Victor Pálsson | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | — |
| Sverrir Ingi Ingason | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 4 |
| Daníel Grétarsson | 82 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Mikael Ellertsson | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 4 |
| Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | 70 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 3 |
| Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Andri Guðjohnsen | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen | 64 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 2 |
| Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason | 27 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Sævar Atli Magnússon | 26 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Þórir Jóhann Helgason | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Stefán Teitur Þórðarson | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Kristian Hlynsson | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anton Ari Einarsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logi Tomasson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hjörtur Hermannsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willum Thor Willumsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gisli Thordarson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group D. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 7 | LWDLL |
| 4 |  Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 1 | LLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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