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Serie AMatchweek 21
ItalyTHE MATCH CENTRE

AC Milan vs Lecce match centre

AC Milan badgeAC MilanHome · 5 in league
WWDDW
Momentum↑ Strong71/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
Lecce badgeLecceAway · 17 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
AC MilanLecce
10Corner Kicks2
9Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
0Goalkeeper Saves5
689Total passes313
633Passes accurate235

— means unavailable.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
AC Milan3.17xG

1 goals -2.17 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
Lecce0.18xG

0 goals -0.18 vs xG

95%Share of total xG · not a win probability5%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

AC Milan LecceBoth teams attack →
AC Milan · Alexis Saelemaekers · 6′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGAC Milan · Matteo Gabbia · 6′ · Missed Shots · 0.29 xGAC Milan · Rafael Leão · 13′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGLecce · Nikola Stulic · 26′ · Missed Shots · 0.06 xGLecce · Nikola Stulic · 30′ · Missed Shots · 0.09 xGAC Milan · Christian Pulisic · 34′ · Saved Shot · 0.07 xGAC Milan · Alexis Saelemaekers · 35′ · Blocked Shot · 0.04 xGAC Milan · Adrien Rabiot · 42′ · Blocked Shot · 0.13 xGAC Milan · Alexis Saelemaekers · 43′ · Blocked Shot · 0.02 xGAC Milan · Rafael Leão · 51′ · Blocked Shot · 0.04 xGAC Milan · Alexis Saelemaekers · 53′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xGAC Milan · Matteo Gabbia · 53′ · Missed Shots · 0.11 xGAC Milan · Fikayo Tomori · 55′ · Missed Shots · 0.07 xGAC Milan · Estupiñán · 56′ · Missed Shots · 0.01 xGAC Milan · Samuele Ricci · 57′ · Saved Shot · 0.07 xGAC Milan · Matteo Gabbia · 58′ · Missed Shots · 0.25 xGAC Milan · Christian Pulisic · 62′ · Saved Shot · 0.39 xGAC Milan · Adrien Rabiot · 65′ · Missed Shots · 0.10 xGAC Milan · Matteo Gabbia · 73′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGAC Milan · Niclas Füllkrug · 73′ · Saved Shot · 0.13 xGAC Milan · Niclas Füllkrug · 76′ · Goal · 0.60 xGAC Milan · Christopher Nkunku · 93′ · Saved Shot · 0.68 xGLecce · Youssef Maleh · 94′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xG

23 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 23 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
6′Alexis SaelemaekersAC MilanMissed Shots0.04
6′Matteo GabbiaAC MilanMissed Shots0.29
13′Rafael LeãoAC MilanBlocked Shot0.06
26′Nikola StulicLecceMissed Shots0.06
30′Nikola StulicLecceMissed Shots0.09
34′Christian PulisicAC MilanSaved Shot0.07
35′Alexis SaelemaekersAC MilanBlocked Shot0.04
42′Adrien RabiotAC MilanBlocked Shot0.13
43′Alexis SaelemaekersAC MilanBlocked Shot0.02
51′Rafael LeãoAC MilanBlocked Shot0.04
53′Alexis SaelemaekersAC MilanBlocked Shot0.03
53′Matteo GabbiaAC MilanMissed Shots0.11
55′Fikayo TomoriAC MilanMissed Shots0.07
56′EstupiñánAC MilanMissed Shots0.01
57′Samuele RicciAC MilanSaved Shot0.07
58′Matteo GabbiaAC MilanMissed Shots0.25
62′Christian PulisicAC MilanSaved Shot0.39
65′Adrien RabiotAC MilanMissed Shots0.10
73′Matteo GabbiaAC MilanMissed Shots0.04
73′Niclas FüllkrugAC MilanSaved Shot0.13
76′Niclas FüllkrugAC MilanGoal0.60
93′Christopher NkunkuAC MilanSaved Shot0.68
94′Youssef MalehLecceMissed Shots0.03

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

AC Milan

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

Lecce

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Serie A · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

AC Milan

20 league matches

43 pts12W7D1L

Lecce

20 league matches

17 pts4W5D11L
1.7Goals scored / match0.6
0.8Goals conceded / match1.4
9Clean sheets6
1Failed to score10
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

AC Milan

5wins
0 draws

Lecce

0wins

Apr 2024 – Sep 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with AC Milan first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

AC Milan

Formation3-5-2Massimiliano Allegri
  1. 16M. MaignanForm 7.2Ability —G
  2. 23F. TomoriForm 6.9Ability —D
  3. 46M. GabbiaForm 7.0Ability 80D
  4. 5K. De WinterForm 6.9Ability 75D
  5. 56A. SaelemaekersForm 7.2Ability —M
  6. 4S. RicciForm 6.9Ability 78M
  7. 30A. JashariForm 6.7Ability 76M
  8. 12A. RabiotForm 7.2Ability —M
  9. 2P. EstupinanForm 6.7Ability —M
  10. 11C. PulisicForm 7.0Ability —F
  11. 10R. LeaoForm 6.9Ability 83F
Substitutes (11)

1 · P. TerraccianoForm 7.1Ability 76

96 · L. TorrianiForm —Ability 62

24 · Z. AthekameForm 6.7Ability 68

33 · D. BartesaghiForm 6.9Ability 74

27 · D. OdoguForm 6.6Ability —

31 · S. PavlovicForm 7.1Ability 78

19 · Y. FofanaForm 6.6Ability 80

8 · R. Loftus-CheekForm 6.6Ability —

14 · L. ModricForm 7.6Ability 85

9 · N. FullkrugForm 6.5Ability 76

18 · C. NkunkuForm 6.7Ability —

Lecce

Formation4-3-3Eusebio Di Francesco
  1. 30W. FalconeForm 7.0Ability 84G
  2. 5J. SiebertForm 6.9Ability 70D
  3. 44Tiago GabrielForm 6.9Ability 69D
  4. 3C. NdabaForm 6.5Ability —D
  5. 25A. GalloForm 6.8Ability 75D
  6. 16O. GandelmanForm 6.5Ability 71M
  7. 20Y. RamadaniForm 6.9Ability 70M
  8. 29L. CoulibalyForm 6.8Ability 74M
  9. 50S. PierottiForm 6.5Ability —F
  10. 9N. StulicForm 6.5Ability 70F
  11. 23R. SottilForm 6.8Ability 74F
Substitutes (15)

1 · C. FruchtlForm —Ability 70

32 · J. SamoojaForm —Ability —

6 · A. SalaForm 6.5Ability 71

7 · Tete MorenteForm 6.5Ability 71

8 · S. FofanaForm 6.3Ability 65

11 · K. NdriForm 6.6Ability —

13 · M. PerezForm 7.0Ability —

14 · T. J. HelgasonForm 6.6Ability 68

18 · G. JeanForm 6.9Ability 69

19 · L. BandaForm 6.8Ability 70

21 · C. KouassiForm 6.5Ability —

36 · F. MarchwinskiForm —Ability 67

77 · M. KabaForm 6.6Ability 69

79 · O. NgomForm 6.6Ability —

93 · Y. MalehForm 6.6Ability 71

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AC Milan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Maignan906.9—0—34—
Fikayo Tomori907.2—01643
Matteo Gabbia907.2—0480—
Koni De Winter907.3—0—1101
Alexis Saelemaekers808.2—1155—
Samuele Ricci737.9—01542
Ardon Jashari877.9—0—662
Adrien Rabiot908.2—01683
Pervis Estupiñán907.0—01623
Christian Pulišić736.0—0238—
Rafael Leão876.9—0—301
Ruben Loftus-Cheek176.5—0—91
Niclas Füllkrug178.01025—
Zachary Athekame106.9—0—8—
Luka Modrić86.6—0—6—
Christopher Nkunku86.5—0121
Lorenzo Torriani———————
Pietro Terracciano———————
Davide Bartesaghi———————
Strahinja Pavlović———————
David Odogu———————
Youssouf Fofana———————

Lecce

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Wladimiro Falcone907.9—0—34—
Jamil Siebert907.2—0—282
Tiago Gabriel906.9—0—36—
Corrie Ndaba906.6—0—444
Antonino Gallo846.6—0—262
Omri Gandelman906.3—0—171
Ylber Ramadani856.7—0—323
Lassana Coulibaly906.3—0—261
Santiago Pierotti906.6—0—265
Nikola Štulić696.5—02161
Riccardo Sottil546.9—0—11—
Lameck Banda366.2—0—61
Tete Morente216.5—0—2—
Konan N'Dri116.3—0—1—
Youssef Maleh106.6—016—
Christian Früchtl———————
Jasper Samooja———————
Matías Pérez———————
Gaby Jean———————
Christ-Owen Kouassi———————
Þórir Jóhann Helgason———————
Filip Marchwiński———————
Mohamed Kaba———————
Oumar Ngom———————
Alex Sala———————
Sadik Fofana———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter38276589355487
DDWWD
2Napoli38237858362276
WWLDW
3AS Roma382341159312873
WWWWW
4Como382011765293671
WWWDW
5AC Milan382010853351870
LWLLD
6Juventus381912761342769
DLWDD
7Atalanta381514951361559
DLWDL
8Bologna38168144946356
DWWDL
9Lazio381412124140154
WLLWD
10Udinese38148164548-350
LLWWD
11Sassuolo38147174650-449
LLLWD
12Torino38129174463-1945
DLWLD
13Parma381112152846-1845
WLLLW
14Cagliari381110174053-1343
WWLDW
15Fiorentina38915144150-942
DWDLD
16Genoa381011174151-1041
LLDDL
17Lecce38108202850-2238
WWLWD
18Cremonese38810203257-2534
LWWLL
19Hellas Verona38312232561-3621
LDLDD
20Pisa38212242671-4518
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 21
Venue
To be confirmed
Referee
Not announced
Kickoff
18 Jan · 19:45 UK
Match data by API-Football
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