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Serie AMatchweek 23
ItalyTHE MATCH CENTRE

Bologna vs AC Milan match centre

Bologna badgeBolognaHome · 8 in league
WLDLW
Momentum→ Steady47/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:3
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
AC Milan badgeAC MilanAway · 5 in league
DDWWD
Momentum→ Steady62/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
BolognaAC Milan
5Corner Kicks0
14Fouls10
3Yellow Cards0
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves2
497Total passes429
438Passes accurate362

— means unavailable.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
Bologna0.44xG

0 goals -0.44 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
AC Milan3.36xG

3 goals -0.36 vs xG

12%Share of total xG · not a win probability88%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

Bologna AC MilanBoth teams attack →
Bologna · Jens Odgaard · 3′ · Missed Shots · 0.13 xGBologna · Torbjørn Heggem · 4′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGBologna · Jonathan Rowe · 6′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGBologna · Jens Odgaard · 10′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xGBologna · Jens Odgaard · 16′ · Saved Shot · 0.02 xGAC Milan · Youssouf Fofana · 17′ · Missed Shots · 0.25 xGAC Milan · Christopher Nkunku · 20′ · Saved Shot · 0.37 xGAC Milan · Christopher Nkunku · 20′ · Missed Shots · 0.54 xGAC Milan · Ruben Loftus-Cheek · 20′ · Goal · 0.48 xGBologna · Jens Odgaard · 29′ · Blocked Shot · 0.07 xGAC Milan · Christopher Nkunku · 39′ · Goal · 0.76 xGBologna · Torbjørn Heggem · 42′ · Blocked Shot · 0.01 xGBologna · Nadir Zortea · 44′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGBologna · Jens Odgaard · 47′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGAC Milan · Adrien Rabiot · 48′ · Goal · 0.40 xGBologna · Nicolò Casale · 57′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGBologna · Jens Odgaard · 62′ · Saved Shot · 0.01 xGAC Milan · Ruben Loftus-Cheek · 63′ · Blocked Shot · 0.10 xGAC Milan · Niclas Füllkrug · 81′ · Saved Shot · 0.43 xGBologna · Federico Bernardeschi · 82′ · Missed Shots · 0.01 xGAC Milan · Youssouf Fofana · 85′ · Saved Shot · 0.11 xGAC Milan · Niclas Füllkrug · 89′ · Saved Shot · 0.12 xGBologna · Federico Bernardeschi · 93′ · Missed Shots · 0.01 xG

23 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 23 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
3′Jens OdgaardBolognaMissed Shots0.13
4′Torbjørn HeggemBolognaMissed Shots0.04
6′Jonathan RoweBolognaMissed Shots0.02
10′Jens OdgaardBolognaMissed Shots0.03
16′Jens OdgaardBolognaSaved Shot0.02
17′Youssouf FofanaAC MilanMissed Shots0.25
20′Christopher NkunkuAC MilanSaved Shot0.37
20′Christopher NkunkuAC MilanMissed Shots0.54
20′Ruben Loftus-CheekAC MilanGoal0.48
29′Jens OdgaardBolognaBlocked Shot0.07
39′Christopher NkunkuAC MilanGoal0.76
42′Torbjørn HeggemBolognaBlocked Shot0.01
44′Nadir ZorteaBolognaMissed Shots0.02
47′Jens OdgaardBolognaMissed Shots0.04
48′Adrien RabiotAC MilanGoal0.40
57′Nicolò CasaleBolognaMissed Shots0.02
62′Jens OdgaardBolognaSaved Shot0.01
63′Ruben Loftus-CheekAC MilanBlocked Shot0.10
81′Niclas FüllkrugAC MilanSaved Shot0.43
82′Federico BernardeschiBolognaMissed Shots0.01
85′Youssouf FofanaAC MilanSaved Shot0.11
89′Niclas FüllkrugAC MilanSaved Shot0.12
93′Federico BernardeschiBolognaMissed Shots0.01

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

Bologna

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

AC Milan

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Serie A · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

Bologna

22 league matches

30 pts8W6D8L

AC Milan

22 league matches

47 pts13W8D1L
1.5Goals scored / match1.6
1.2Goals conceded / match0.8
6Clean sheets10
5Failed to score1
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

Bologna

Formation4-2-3-1Vincenzo Italiano
  1. 13F. RavagliaForm 7.1Ability 72G
  2. 20N. ZorteaForm 6.7Ability 73D
  3. 14T. HeggemForm 6.7Ability —D
  4. 16N. CasaleForm 6.6Ability 74D
  5. 33J. MirandaForm 7.0Ability 76D
  6. 8R. FreulerForm 6.9Ability —M
  7. 19L. FergusonForm 6.7Ability 77M
  8. 7R. OrsoliniForm 6.9Ability 82M
  9. 21J. OdgaardForm 6.6Ability 76M
  10. 11J. RoweForm 6.8Ability —M
  11. 9S. CastroForm 6.7Ability —F
Substitutes (13)

25 · M. PessinaForm 6.8Ability 62

82 · M. FranceschelliForm —Ability —

4 · T. PobegaForm 6.7Ability 74

5 · E. Fauske HellandForm 6.8Ability —

6 · N. MoroForm 7.1Ability 75

10 · F. BernardeschiForm 6.9Ability 75

17 · Joao MarioForm 6.9Ability 76

22 · C. LykogiannisForm 6.7Ability 73

23 · S. SohmForm 6.6Ability —

24 · T. DallingaForm 6.5Ability 75

28 · N. CambiaghiForm 6.9Ability 76

30 · B. DominguezForm 6.5Ability 72

41 · M. VitikForm 6.8Ability 75

AC Milan

Formation3-5-2Massimiliano Allegri
  1. 16M. MaignanForm 7.2Ability —G
  2. 5K. De WinterForm 6.9Ability 75D
  3. 46M. GabbiaForm 7.0Ability 80D
  4. 31S. PavlovicForm 7.1Ability 78D
  5. 24Z. AthekameForm 6.7Ability 68M
  6. 19Y. FofanaForm 6.6Ability 80M
  7. 14L. ModricForm 7.6Ability 85M
  8. 12A. RabiotForm 7.2Ability —M
  9. 33D. BartesaghiForm 6.9Ability 74M
  10. 8R. Loftus-CheekForm 6.6Ability —F
  11. 18C. NkunkuForm 6.7Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

1 · P. TerraccianoForm 7.1Ability 76

96 · L. TorrianiForm —Ability 62

2 · P. EstupinanForm 6.7Ability —

4 · S. RicciForm 6.9Ability 78

9 · N. FullkrugForm 6.5Ability 76

10 · R. LeaoForm 6.9Ability 83

23 · F. TomoriForm 6.9Ability —

27 · D. OdoguForm 6.6Ability —

30 · A. JashariForm 6.7Ability 76

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Bologna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Federico Ravaglia907.3—0—272
Nadir Zortea906.7—01533
Torbjørn Heggem905.7—01421
Nicolò Casale907.0—01483
Juan Miranda785.9—0—691
Remo Freuler656.5—0—422
Lewis Ferguson906.6—0—615
Riccardo Orsolini536.3—0—13—
Jens Odgaard906.3—05231
Jonathan Rowe786.9—0124—
Santiago Castro546.9—0—7—
Federico Bernardeschi376.9—0222—
Thijs Dallinga366.7—0—12—
Nikola Moro256.9—0—28—
Charalampos Lykogiannis126.7—0—13—
Nicolò Cambiaghi126.2—0—7—
Massimo Pessina———————
Matteo Franceschelli———————
Eivind Helland———————
Martin Vitík———————
João Mário———————
Tommaso Pobega———————
Simon Sohm———————
Benjamín Domínguez———————

AC Milan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Maignan907.3—0—51—
Koni De Winter907.6—0—492
Matteo Gabbia906.9—0—421
Strahinja Pavlović907.2—0—482
Zachary Athekame677.3—0—213
Youssouf Fofana907.2—02223
Luka Modrić727.3—0—351
Adrien Rabiot908.2111361
Davide Bartesaghi836.9—0—231
Ruben Loftus-Cheek677.510118—
Christopher Nkunku728.010313—
Fikayo Tomori236.6—0—10—
Samuele Ricci236.3—0—12—
Ardon Jashari186.7—0—27—
Niclas Füllkrug186.9—027—
Pervis Estupiñán116.9—0—15—
Lorenzo Torriani———————
Pietro Terracciano———————
David Odogu———————
Rafael Leão———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter38276589355487
DDWWD
2Napoli38237858362276
WWLDW
3AS Roma382341159312873
WWWWW
4Como382011765293671
WWWDW
5AC Milan382010853351870
LWLLD
6Juventus381912761342769
DLWDD
7Atalanta381514951361559
DLWDL
8Bologna38168144946356
DWWDL
9Lazio381412124140154
WLLWD
10Udinese38148164548-350
LLWWD
11Sassuolo38147174650-449
LLLWD
12Torino38129174463-1945
DLWLD
13Parma381112152846-1845
WLLLW
14Cagliari381110174053-1343
WWLDW
15Fiorentina38915144150-942
DWDLD
16Genoa381011174151-1041
LLDDL
17Lecce38108202850-2238
WWLWD
18Cremonese38810203257-2534
LWWLL
19Hellas Verona38312232561-3621
LDLDD
20Pisa38212242671-4518
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 23
Venue
To be confirmed
Referee
Not announced
Kickoff
3 Feb · 19:45 UK
Match data by API-Football
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