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Serie AMatchweek 28
ItalyTHE MATCH CENTRE

AC Milan vs Inter match centre

AC Milan badgeAC MilanHome · 5 in league
WWDLW
Momentum↘ Falling64/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
Inter badgeInterAway · 1 in league
LWLWD
Momentum↗ Rising48/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · MilanSeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
AC MilanInter
1Corner Kicks3
8Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
380Total passes617
327Passes accurate559

— means unavailable.

Statistics snapshot: 351406 min old.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
AC Milan0.85xG

1 goals +0.15 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
Inter1.44xG

0 goals -1.44 vs xG

37%Share of total xG · not a win probability63%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

AC Milan InterBoth teams attack →
AC Milan · Luka Modric · 3′ · Missed Shots · 0.05 xGInter · Federico Dimarco · 14′ · Blocked Shot · 0.02 xGInter · Federico Dimarco · 21′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGInter · Henrikh Mkhitaryan · 34′ · Saved Shot · 0.61 xGAC Milan · Estupiñán · 35′ · Goal · 0.22 xGAC Milan · Alexis Saelemaekers · 39′ · Missed Shots · 0.13 xGAC Milan · Fikayo Tomori · 41′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xGAC Milan · Christian Pulisic · 41′ · Missed Shots · 0.12 xGAC Milan · Youssouf Fofana · 46′ · Missed Shots · 0.06 xGInter · Nicolò Barella · 48′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xGInter · Piotr Zielinski · 48′ · Saved Shot · 0.05 xGInter · Francesco Pio Esposito · 49′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xGAC Milan · Rafael Leão · 49′ · Missed Shots · 0.13 xGAC Milan · Youssouf Fofana · 51′ · Saved Shot · 0.04 xGInter · Federico Dimarco · 54′ · Missed Shots · 0.42 xGAC Milan · Rafael Leão · 58′ · Missed Shots · 0.07 xGInter · Ange-Yoan Bonny · 61′ · Blocked Shot · 0.05 xGInter · Ange-Yoan Bonny · 63′ · Missed Shots · 0.07 xGInter · Francesco Pio Esposito · 92′ · Blocked Shot · 0.11 xGInter · Manuel Akanji · 95′ · Missed Shots · 0.05 xG

20 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 20 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
3′Luka ModricAC MilanMissed Shots0.05
14′Federico DimarcoInterBlocked Shot0.02
21′Federico DimarcoInterMissed Shots0.02
34′Henrikh MkhitaryanInterSaved Shot0.61
35′EstupiñánAC MilanGoal0.22
39′Alexis SaelemaekersAC MilanMissed Shots0.13
41′Fikayo TomoriAC MilanBlocked Shot0.03
41′Christian PulisicAC MilanMissed Shots0.12
46′Youssouf FofanaAC MilanMissed Shots0.06
48′Nicolò BarellaInterMissed Shots0.03
48′Piotr ZielinskiInterSaved Shot0.05
49′Francesco Pio EspositoInterBlocked Shot0.03
49′Rafael LeãoAC MilanMissed Shots0.13
51′Youssouf FofanaAC MilanSaved Shot0.04
54′Federico DimarcoInterMissed Shots0.42
58′Rafael LeãoAC MilanMissed Shots0.07
61′Ange-Yoan BonnyInterBlocked Shot0.05
63′Ange-Yoan BonnyInterMissed Shots0.07
92′Francesco Pio EspositoInterBlocked Shot0.11
95′Manuel AkanjiInterMissed Shots0.05

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

AC Milan

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

Inter

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Serie A · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

AC Milan

27 league matches

57 pts16W9D2L

Inter

27 league matches

67 pts22W1D4L
1.6Goals scored / match2.4
0.7Goals conceded / match0.8
12Clean sheets15
2Failed to score1
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

AC Milan

3wins
2 draws

Inter

0wins

Jan 2025 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with AC Milan first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

AC Milan

Formation3-5-2Massimiliano Allegri
  1. 16M. MaignanForm 7.2Ability —G
  2. 23F. TomoriForm 6.9Ability —D
  3. 5K. De WinterForm 6.9Ability 75D
  4. 31S. PavlovicForm 7.1Ability 78D
  5. 56A. SaelemaekersForm 7.2Ability —M
  6. 19Y. FofanaForm 6.6Ability 80M
  7. 14L. ModricForm 7.6Ability 85M
  8. 12A. RabiotForm 7.2Ability —M
  9. 2P. EstupinanForm 6.7Ability —M
  10. 10R. LeaoForm 6.9Ability 83F
  11. 11C. PulisicForm 7.0Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

1 · P. TerraccianoForm 7.1Ability 76

96 · L. TorrianiForm —Ability 62

24 · Z. AthekameForm 6.7Ability 68

33 · D. BartesaghiForm 6.9Ability 74

27 · D. OdoguForm 6.6Ability —

30 · A. JashariForm 6.7Ability 76

4 · S. RicciForm 6.9Ability 78

9 · N. FullkrugForm 6.5Ability 76

18 · C. NkunkuForm 6.7Ability —

Inter

Formation3-5-2Cristian Chivu
  1. 1Y. SommerForm 6.9Ability 84G
  2. 31Y. BisseckForm 7.1Ability —D
  3. 25M. AkanjiForm 7.2Ability —D
  4. 95A. BastoniForm 7.3Ability 86D
  5. 11Luis HenriqueForm 6.9Ability 77M
  6. 23N. BarellaForm 7.2Ability 87M
  7. 7P. ZielinskiForm 7.1Ability —M
  8. 22H. MkhitaryanForm 7.0Ability —M
  9. 32F. DimarcoForm 7.4Ability 86M
  10. 14A. BonnyForm 6.8Ability —F
  11. 94F. EspositoForm 6.7Ability 77F
Substitutes (13)

12 · R. Di GennaroForm 6.2Ability 68

10 · L. MartinezForm 7.1Ability 87

2 · D. DumfriesForm 6.6Ability —

6 · S. de VrijForm 7.1Ability 82

8 · P. SucicForm 6.9Ability —

13 · J. MartinezForm 6.8Ability 76

15 · F. AcerbiForm 7.0Ability —

16 · D. FrattesiForm 6.6Ability 80

17 · A. DioufForm 6.7Ability —

20 · H. CalhanogluForm 7.5Ability 85

30 · Carlos AugustoForm 6.9Ability 80

36 · M. DarmianForm 6.5Ability —

53 · M. LavelliForm 6.5Ability —

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AC Milan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Maignan907.6—0—29—
Fikayo Tomori907.2—0—402
Koni De Winter907.9—0—542
Strahinja Pavlović907.5—0—411
Alexis Saelemaekers906.6—01262
Youssouf Fofana736.9—12221
Luka Modrić907.3—01642
Adrien Rabiot906.9—0—341
Pervis Estupiñán907.7101283
Rafael Leão736.3—0218—
Christian Pulišić847.3—01211
Samuele Ricci176.7—0—2—
Niclas Füllkrug176.3—0—3—
Christopher Nkunku126.3—0———
Pietro Terracciano———————
Lorenzo Torriani———————
Davide Bartesaghi———————
Zachary Athekame———————
David Odogu———————
Ardon Jashari———————

Inter

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Yann Sommer906.3—0—28—
Yann Bisseck806.3—0—56—
Manuel Akanji907.0—01801
Alessandro Bastoni686.2—0—733
Luís Henrique596.7—0—37—
Nicolò Barella686.9—01561
Piotr Zieliński906.6—01891
Henrikh Mkhitaryan596.7—01451
Federico Dimarco906.2—0253—
Ange-Yoan Bonny906.0—01132
Francesco Pio Esposito906.3—0—131
Denzel Dumfries316.6—0—9—
Petar Sučić317.3—0—42—
Carlos Augusto227.0—0—262
Davide Frattesi226.3—0———
Andy Diouf106.7—0—10—
Josep Martínez———————
Raffaele Di Gennaro———————
Stefan de Vrij———————
Francesco Acerbi———————
Hakan Çalhanoğlu———————
Matteo Darmian———————
Matteo Lavelli———————
Lautaro Martínez———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter38276589355487
DDWWD
2Napoli38237858362276
WWLDW
3AS Roma382341159312873
WWWWW
4Como382011765293671
WWWDW
5AC Milan382010853351870
LWLLD
6Juventus381912761342769
DLWDD
7Atalanta381514951361559
DLWDL
8Bologna38168144946356
DWWDL
9Lazio381412124140154
WLLWD
10Udinese38148164548-350
LLWWD
11Sassuolo38147174650-449
LLLWD
12Torino38129174463-1945
DLWLD
13Parma381112152846-1845
WLLLW
14Cagliari381110174053-1343
WWLDW
15Fiorentina38915144150-942
DWDLD
16Genoa381011174151-1041
LLDDL
17Lecce38108202850-2238
WWLWD
18Cremonese38810203257-2534
LWWLL
19Hellas Verona38312232561-3621
LDLDD
20Pisa38212242671-4518
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 28
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee
Daniele Doveri, Italy
Kickoff
8 Mar · 19:45 UK
Match data by API-Football
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