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Premier LeagueMatchweek 29
EnglandTHE MATCH CENTRE

Aston Villa vs Chelsea match centre

Aston Villa badgeAston VillaHome · 4 in league
DWLDL
Momentum↘ Falling29/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:4
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
Chelsea badgeChelseaAway · 10 in league
WDWDL
Momentum↘ Falling47/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Villa Park · BirminghamSeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
Aston VillaChelsea
3Corner Kicks8
10Fouls7
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
393Total passes554
336Passes accurate505

— means unavailable.

Statistics snapshot: 358924 min old.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
Aston Villa1.07xG

1 goals -0.07 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
Chelsea3.39xG

4 goals +0.61 vs xG

24%Share of total xG · not a win probability76%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

Aston Villa ChelseaBoth teams attack →
Aston Villa · Douglas Luiz · 2′ · Goal · 0.14 xGChelsea · João Pedro · 6′ · Saved Shot · 0.28 xGChelsea · Cole Palmer · 15′ · Saved Shot · 0.03 xGChelsea · Wesley Fofana · 16′ · Blocked Shot · 0.08 xGChelsea · Alejandro Garnacho · 22′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGChelsea · Enzo Fernández · 24′ · Saved Shot · 0.06 xGAston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 24′ · Saved Shot · 0.06 xGChelsea · Reece James · 29′ · Blocked Shot · 0.05 xGChelsea · Alejandro Garnacho · 29′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xGChelsea · Wesley Fofana · 30′ · Missed Shots · 0.05 xGAston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 31′ · Saved Shot · 0.32 xGAston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 34′ · Saved Shot · 0.04 xGChelsea · João Pedro · 35′ · Goal · 0.90 xGChelsea · Jorrel Hato · 48′ · Missed Shots · 0.07 xGAston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 49′ · Missed Shots · 0.06 xGChelsea · João Pedro · 51′ · Goal · 0.45 xGChelsea · Cole Palmer · 55′ · Goal · 0.14 xGChelsea · João Pedro · 64′ · Goal · 0.62 xGChelsea · João Pedro · 71′ · Missed Shots · 0.12 xGAston Villa · Alysson Edward · 80′ · Missed Shots · 0.05 xGChelsea · Alejandro Garnacho · 82′ · Saved Shot · 0.45 xGAston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 84′ · Missed Shots · 0.05 xGAston Villa · Ross Barkley · 84′ · Blocked Shot · 0.01 xGAston Villa · Tammy Abraham · 90′ · Shot On Post · 0.32 xG

24 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 24 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
2′Douglas LuizAston VillaGoal0.14
6′João PedroChelseaSaved Shot0.28
15′Cole PalmerChelseaSaved Shot0.03
16′Wesley FofanaChelseaBlocked Shot0.08
22′Alejandro GarnachoChelseaBlocked Shot0.06
24′Enzo FernándezChelseaSaved Shot0.06
24′Ollie WatkinsAston VillaSaved Shot0.06
29′Reece JamesChelseaBlocked Shot0.05
29′Alejandro GarnachoChelseaBlocked Shot0.03
30′Wesley FofanaChelseaMissed Shots0.05
31′Ollie WatkinsAston VillaSaved Shot0.32
34′Morgan RogersAston VillaSaved Shot0.04
35′João PedroChelseaGoal0.90
48′Jorrel HatoChelseaMissed Shots0.07
49′Morgan RogersAston VillaMissed Shots0.06
51′João PedroChelseaGoal0.45
55′Cole PalmerChelseaGoal0.14
64′João PedroChelseaGoal0.62
71′João PedroChelseaMissed Shots0.12
80′Alysson EdwardAston VillaMissed Shots0.05
82′Alejandro GarnachoChelseaSaved Shot0.45
84′Morgan RogersAston VillaMissed Shots0.05
84′Ross BarkleyAston VillaBlocked Shot0.01
90′Tammy AbrahamAston VillaShot On Post0.32

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

Aston Villa

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

Chelsea

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Premier League · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

Chelsea

28 league matches

45 pts12W9D7L
1.4Goals scored / match1.8
1.1Goals conceded / match1.2
8Clean sheets9
9Failed to score2
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

Aston Villa

Formation4-2-3-1Unai Emery
  1. 23E. MartinezForm 7.0Ability —G
  2. 2M. CashForm 6.8Ability —D
  3. 4E. KonsaForm 7.0Ability —D
  4. 5T. MingsForm 6.7Ability —D
  5. 22I. MaatsenForm 6.6Ability —D
  6. 24A. OnanaForm 7.0Ability —M
  7. 21Douglas LuizForm 7.0Ability 78M
  8. 31L. BaileyForm 6.6Ability —M
  9. 10E. BuendiaForm 6.9Ability —M
  10. 27M. RogersForm 6.8Ability —M
  11. 11O. WatkinsForm 6.9Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

40 · M. BizotForm 6.5Ability 77

6 · R. BarkleyForm 6.8Ability 77

3 · V. LindelofForm 6.7Ability —

14 · P. TorresForm 6.9Ability 81

26 · L. BogardeForm 6.6Ability —

47 · AlyssonForm 6.5Ability —

12 · L. DigneForm 6.8Ability 80

18 · T. AbrahamForm 6.6Ability —

19 · J. SanchoForm 6.7Ability —

Chelsea

Formation4-3-3Calum McFarlane
  1. 12F. JorgensenForm 6.7Ability 77G
  2. 27M. GustoForm 6.7Ability 79D
  3. 29W. FofanaForm 6.9Ability —D
  4. 23T. ChalobahForm 6.9Ability —D
  5. 21J. HatoForm 6.5Ability 78D
  6. 24R. JamesForm 7.2Ability —M
  7. 25M. CaicedoForm 7.2Ability —M
  8. 8E. FernandezForm 7.2Ability —M
  9. 10C. PalmerForm 7.0Ability —F
  10. 20Joao PedroForm 7.1Ability 83F
  11. 49A. GarnachoForm 6.8Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

1 · R. SanchezForm 6.9Ability 80

5 · B. BadiashileForm 6.7Ability —

17 · Andrey SantosForm 6.9Ability 80

19 · M. SarrForm 6.3Ability —

38 · M. GuiuForm 6.3Ability 71

4 · T. AdarabioyoForm 6.9Ability —

3 · M. CucurellaForm 6.7Ability 86

9 · L. DelapForm 6.5Ability —

45 · R. LaviaForm 6.8Ability 78

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Aston Villa

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Emiliano Martínez906.6—0—38—
Matty Cash455.9—0—12—
Ezri Konsa906.2—0—50—
Tyrone Mings906.5—0—601
Ian Maatsen905.9—0—462
Amadou Onana906.7—0—421
Douglas Luiz637.310136—
Leon Bailey637.0—1—61
Emiliano Buendía637.0—0—192
Morgan Rogers905.9—0329—
Ollie Watkins716.7—0281
Lamare Bogarde456.2—0—241
Jadon Sancho276.9—0—22—
Alysson276.3—018—
Ross Barkley277.0—0—281
Tammy Abraham196.7—0131
Marco Bizot———————
Pau Torres———————
Victor Lindelöf———————
Lucas Digne———————

Chelsea

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Filip Jørgensen906.7—0—46—
Malo Gusto757.3—1—492
Wesley Fofana796.2—0152—
Trevoh Chalobah907.0—0—801
Jorrel Hato906.9—01572
Reece James907.2—0—611
Moisés Caicedo907.2—0—58—
Enzo Fernández797.2—11452
Cole Palmer858.6102361
João Pedro859.6315182
Alejandro Garnacho907.6—11274
Roméo Lavia156.7—0—11—
Tosin Adarabioyo116.6—0—11—
Marc Cucurella117.0—0—7—
Andrey Santos126.3—0—4—
Liam Delap126.2—0—3—
Robert Sánchez———————
Mamadou Sarr———————
Benoît Badiashile———————
Marc Guiu———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal38267571274485
WWWWW
2Manchester City38239677354278
LDWWD
3Manchester United382011769501971
WWDWW
4Aston Villa38198115649765
WWDLL
5Liverpool381791263531060
DLDLW
6Bournemouth38131875854457
DDWWD
7Sunderland381412124248-654
WWDDL
8Brighton381411135246653
LLWLW
9Brentford381411135552353
DDLWL
10Chelsea381410145852652
LWDLL
11Fulham38157164751-452
WDLLW
12Newcastle38147175355-249
LWDWL
13Everton381310154750-349
LLDDL
14Leeds381114134956-747
LWDWD
15Crystal Palace381112154151-1045
LDLDL
16Nottingham Forest381111164851-344
DLDWW
17Tottenham381011174857-941
WLDWW
18West Ham38109194665-1939
WLLLW
19Burnley38410243875-3722
DLDLL
20Wolves38311242768-4120
DDLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 29
Venue
Villa Park
Referee
Jarred Gillett, Australia
Kickoff
4 Mar · 19:30 UK
Match data by API-Football
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