Aston Villa
6/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Aston Villa’s results
FA CupRound of 32THE MATCH CENTREAston Villa vs Newcastle match centre
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
T. Abraham14′
S. Tonali63′
S. Tonali76′
N. Woltemade88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Aston VillaNewcastle
0.970Expected goals · API-Football0.960
2Shots on target3
8Total Shots12
43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks5
11Fouls10
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
362Total passes476
294Passes accurate406
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Aston Villa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Newcastle 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Newcastle
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Newcastle’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Aston Villa
9 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals2 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BrightonHome · Premier League1–0BournemouthAway · Premier League1–1BrentfordHome · Premier League0–1Red Bull SalzburgHome · UEFA Europa League3–2NewcastleAway · Premier League2–0FenerbahçeAway · UEFA Europa League1–0EvertonHome · Premier League0–1TottenhamAway · Premier League2–1TottenhamHome · Premier League2–0
Newcastle
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
TottenhamAway · Premier League2–1BrentfordHome · Premier League2–3Manchester CityAway · League Cup1–3LiverpoolAway · Premier League1–4Paris Saint GermainAway · UEFA Champions League1–1Aston VillaHome · Premier League0–2PSV EindhovenHome · UEFA Champions League3–0WolvesAway · Premier League0–0LeedsHome · Premier League4–3LeedsAway · Premier League0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Aston Villa at home with Newcastle away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
Aston VillaNewcastle
1Matches played1
3Points earned3
1Wins1
2.0Goals scored / match4.0
1.0Goals conceded / match3.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Aston Villa at home with Newcastle away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Aston Villa
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Unai Emery
- 40
M. BizotG - 26
L. BogardeD - 3
V. LindelofD - 14
P. TorresD - 12
L. DigneD - 24
A. OnanaM - 21
Douglas LuizM - 31
L. BaileyM - 6
R. BarkleyM - 27
M. RogersM - 18
T. AbrahamF
Substitutes (9)
23 · E. Martinez
4 · E. Konsa
5 · T. Mings
10 · E. Buendia
11 · O. Watkins
16 · A. Garcia
19 · J. Sancho
22 · I. Maatsen
79 · M. Kone
Newcastle
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Eddie Howe
- 32
A. RamsdaleG - 2
K. TrippierD - 12
M. ThiawD - 33
D. BurnD - 3
L. HallD - 41
J. RamseyM - 8
S. TonaliM - 23
J. MurphyM - 27
N. WoltemadeM - 11
H. BarnesM - 18
W. OsulaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · N. Pope
26 · J. Ruddy
10 · A. Gordon
20 · A. Elanga
28 · J. Willock
37 · A. Murphy
61 · L. Shahar
62 · S. Neave
64 · Park Seung-soo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Bizot | 46 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Lamare Bogarde | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 4 |
| Victor Lindelöf | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 2 |
| Pau Torres | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | — |
| Lucas Digne | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Amadou Onana | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Douglas Luiz | 78 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 35 | — |
| Leon Bailey | 44 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Ross Barkley | 65 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Morgan Rogers | 77 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 2 |
| Tammy Abraham | 65 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Emiliano Martínez | 46 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Emiliano Buendía | 25 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 25 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Ian Maatsen | 13 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Jadon Sancho | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Ezri Konsa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrone Mings | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Koné | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Newcastle
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ramsdale | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Kieran Trippier | 89 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 62 | 2 |
| Malick Thiaw | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 1 |
| Dan Burn | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 60 | 4 |
| Lewis Hall | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 2 |
| Jacob Ramsey | 80 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Sandro Tonali | 90 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 62 | 2 |
| Jacob Murphy | 63 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Nick Woltemade | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 2 |
| Harvey Barnes | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 38 | 1 |
| William Osula | 63 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Anthony Elanga | 27 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Anthony Gordon | 27 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Joe Willock | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Alex Murphy | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Nick Pope | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Ruddy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Shahar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Park Seung-soo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Neave | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FA Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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