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Premier LeagueMatchweek 30
EnglandTHE MATCH CENTRE

Manchester United vs Aston Villa match centre

Manchester United badgeManchester UnitedHome · 3 in league
WDWWL
Momentum↘ Falling63/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
Aston Villa badgeAston VillaAway · 4 in league
LDLLW
Momentum↗ Rising31/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Old Trafford · ManchesterSeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
Manchester UnitedAston Villa
6Corner Kicks6
10Fouls5
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
470Total passes417
402Passes accurate355

— means unavailable.

Statistics snapshot: 343422 min old.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
Manchester United1.68xG

3 goals +1.32 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
Aston Villa1.21xG

1 goals -0.21 vs xG

58%Share of total xG · not a win probability42%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

Manchester United Aston VillaBoth teams attack →
Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 9′ · Missed Shots · 0.07 xGManchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 20′ · Blocked Shot · 0.01 xGManchester United · Amad Diallo Traore · 22′ · Saved Shot · 0.04 xGAston Villa · John McGinn · 24′ · Missed Shots · 0.05 xGManchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 35′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGManchester United · Casemiro · 37′ · Blocked Shot · 0.04 xGManchester United · Diogo Dalot · 38′ · Missed Shots · 0.08 xGManchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 43′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xGManchester United · Amad Diallo Traore · 48′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGManchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 51′ · Blocked Shot · 0.02 xGManchester United · Matheus Cunha · 51′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGManchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 52′ · Saved Shot · 0.07 xGManchester United · Casemiro · 53′ · Goal · 0.06 xGAston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 54′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xGAston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 57′ · Blocked Shot · 0.05 xGAston Villa · Tyrone Mings · 60′ · Missed Shots · 0.46 xGManchester United · Diogo Dalot · 62′ · Saved Shot · 0.33 xGAston Villa · Leon Bailey · 63′ · Missed Shots · 0.06 xGAston Villa · Amadou Onana · 63′ · Saved Shot · 0.07 xGAston Villa · Ross Barkley · 64′ · Goal · 0.40 xGManchester United · Matheus Cunha · 71′ · Goal · 0.31 xGManchester United · Benjamin Sesko · 81′ · Goal · 0.12 xGManchester United · Benjamin Sesko · 85′ · Missed Shots · 0.42 xGManchester United · Amad Diallo Traore · 96′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGAston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 97′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xG

25 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 25 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
9′Emiliano BuendíaAston VillaMissed Shots0.07
20′Bruno FernandesManchester UnitedBlocked Shot0.01
22′Amad Diallo TraoreManchester UnitedSaved Shot0.04
24′John McGinnAston VillaMissed Shots0.05
35′Bryan MbeumoManchester UnitedMissed Shots0.02
37′CasemiroManchester UnitedBlocked Shot0.04
38′Diogo DalotManchester UnitedMissed Shots0.08
43′Bruno FernandesManchester UnitedMissed Shots0.03
48′Amad Diallo TraoreManchester UnitedMissed Shots0.04
51′Bruno FernandesManchester UnitedBlocked Shot0.02
51′Matheus CunhaManchester UnitedMissed Shots0.02
52′Bryan MbeumoManchester UnitedSaved Shot0.07
53′CasemiroManchester UnitedGoal0.06
54′Morgan RogersAston VillaBlocked Shot0.03
57′Emiliano BuendíaAston VillaBlocked Shot0.05
60′Tyrone MingsAston VillaMissed Shots0.46
62′Diogo DalotManchester UnitedSaved Shot0.33
63′Leon BaileyAston VillaMissed Shots0.06
63′Amadou OnanaAston VillaSaved Shot0.07
64′Ross BarkleyAston VillaGoal0.40
71′Matheus CunhaManchester UnitedGoal0.31
81′Benjamin SeskoManchester UnitedGoal0.12
85′Benjamin SeskoManchester UnitedMissed Shots0.42
96′Amad Diallo TraoreManchester UnitedBlocked Shot0.06
97′Morgan RogersAston VillaMissed Shots0.02

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

Manchester United

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

Aston Villa

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Premier League · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

1.7Goals scored / match1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match1.2
5Clean sheets8
3Failed to score9
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Manchester United

3wins
1 draw

Aston Villa

1wins

Dec 2023 – Dec 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Manchester United first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

Manchester United

Formation4-2-3-1Michael Carrick
  1. 31S. LammensForm 7.0Ability 82G
  2. 2D. DalotForm 6.9Ability 78D
  3. 15L. YoroForm 6.7Ability 78D
  4. 5H. MaguireForm 6.9Ability —D
  5. 23L. ShawForm 6.7Ability —D
  6. 18CasemiroForm 7.2Ability 83M
  7. 37K. MainooForm 6.9Ability —M
  8. 16A. DialloForm 6.9Ability —M
  9. 8B. FernandesForm 7.6Ability 89M
  10. 10M. CunhaForm 7.1Ability 84M
  11. 19B. MbeumoForm 6.8Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

1 · A. BayindirForm 6.6Ability 75

7 · M. MountForm 6.9Ability —

3 · N. MazraouiForm 6.9Ability 80

11 · J. ZirkzeeForm 6.5Ability —

12 · T. MalaciaForm 6.6Ability —

25 · M. UgarteForm 6.7Ability —

30 · B. SeskoForm 6.8Ability 82

39 · T. FletcherForm 6.7Ability —

26 · A. HeavenForm 6.9Ability 75

Aston Villa

Formation4-2-3-1Unai Emery
  1. 23E. MartinezForm 7.0Ability —G
  2. 26L. BogardeForm 6.6Ability —D
  3. 4E. KonsaForm 7.0Ability —D
  4. 5T. MingsForm 6.7Ability —D
  5. 12L. DigneForm 6.8Ability 80D
  6. 24A. OnanaForm 7.0Ability —M
  7. 6R. BarkleyForm 6.8Ability 77M
  8. 27M. RogersForm 6.8Ability —M
  9. 7J. McGinnForm 7.0Ability 83M
  10. 10E. BuendiaForm 6.9Ability —M
  11. 11O. WatkinsForm 6.9Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

40 · M. BizotForm 6.5Ability 77

3 · V. LindelofForm 6.7Ability —

31 · L. BaileyForm 6.6Ability —

14 · P. TorresForm 6.9Ability 81

21 · Douglas LuizForm 7.0Ability 78

22 · I. MaatsenForm 6.6Ability —

9 · H. ElliottForm 6.6Ability —

18 · T. AbrahamForm 6.6Ability —

16 · A. GarciaForm 6.5Ability 73

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Manchester United

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Senne Lammens907.0—0—28—
Diogo Dalot906.9—02352
Leny Yoro907.2—0—473
Harry Maguire907.2—0—662
Luke Shaw907.2—0—493
Casemiro898.0101391
Kobbie Mainoo907.2—0—542
Amad Diallo906.7—02451
Bruno Fernandes907.3—21521
Matheus Cunha907.7102371
Bryan Mbeumo756.3—02152
Benjamin Šeško157.51023—
Manuel Ugarte86.3—0—9—
Altay Bayındır———————
Tyrell Malacia———————
Noussair Mazraoui———————
Ayden Heaven———————
Mason Mount———————
Tyler Fletcher———————
Joshua Zirkzee———————

Aston Villa

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Emiliano Martínez905.6—0—22—
Lamare Bogarde905.6—0—443
Ezri Konsa906.3—0—44—
Tyrone Mings906.2—0151—
Lucas Digne825.9—0—361
Amadou Onana906.3—01541
Ross Barkley828.2101604
Morgan Rogers907.2—01272
John McGinn616.5—0116—
Emiliano Buendía866.9—01272
Ollie Watkins606.2—0—9—
Tammy Abraham306.3—0—41
Leon Bailey296.7—01121
Ian Maatsen86.6—0—4—
Douglas Luiz86.2—0—12—
Andrés García136.7—0—41
Marco Bizot———————
Victor Lindelöf———————
Pau Torres———————
Harvey Elliott———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal38267571274485
WWWWW
2Manchester City38239677354278
LDWWD
3Manchester United382011769501971
WWDWW
4Aston Villa38198115649765
WWDLL
5Liverpool381791263531060
DLDLW
6Bournemouth38131875854457
DDWWD
7Sunderland381412124248-654
WWDDL
8Brighton381411135246653
LLWLW
9Brentford381411135552353
DDLWL
10Chelsea381410145852652
LWDLL
11Fulham38157164751-452
WDLLW
12Newcastle38147175355-249
LWDWL
13Everton381310154750-349
LLDDL
14Leeds381114134956-747
LWDWD
15Crystal Palace381112154151-1045
LDLDL
16Nottingham Forest381111164851-344
DLDWW
17Tottenham381011174857-941
WLDWW
18West Ham38109194665-1939
WLLLW
19Burnley38410243875-3722
DLDLL
20Wolves38311242768-4120
DDLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 30
Venue
Old Trafford
Referee
Anthony Taylor, England
Kickoff
15 Mar · 14:00 UK
Match data by API-Football
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