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NB IMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Ujpest vs MTK Budapest match centre

Ujpest badgeUjpestHome · 7 in league
WLDWL
Momentum→ Steady44/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
MTK Budapest badgeMTK BudapestAway · 10 in league
LDDDL
Momentum↓ Low20/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Matko10′
K. Horvath87′ (pen)
A. Molnar23′ (pen)
G. Jurek90+5′
Szusza Ferenc Stadion · BudapestSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.1%Ujpest
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.4%MTK Budapest
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Ujpest 4.2% · no further goal 92.3% · MTK Budapest 3.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
UjpestMTK Budapest
9Corner Kicks6
12Fouls11
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
489Total passes305
406Passes accurate240

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

NB I

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Gyori ETO FC33+3569—
2Ferencvarosi TC33+3668—
3Paks33+1753—
4Debreceni VSC33+1053—
5Zalaegerszegi TE33+648—
6Puskas Academy33046—
7Ujpest34-941—
8Nyiregyhaza33-1040↑ 1
9Kisvarda FC33-1340↓ 1
10MTK Budapest34-739—
11Diosgyori VTK33-2628—
12Kazincbarcikai33-3922—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Ujpest 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

MTK Budapest 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Ujpest

4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Ujpest’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

MTK Budapest

1/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect MTK Budapest’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ujpest at home with MTK Budapest away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:49 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

NB I · 2025/26 · all league matches

UjpestMTK Budapest
27Matches played27
33Points earned28
9Wins7
1.3Goals scored / match1.7
1.6Goals conceded / match2.0
2Clean sheets5
10Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ujpest at home with MTK Budapest away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Ujpest

Confirmed formationPendingZoltan Szelesi
  1. 23D. BanaiG
  2. 2G. Bodnar
  3. 55A. FiolaD
  4. 94P. StronatiD
  5. 44B. GergenyiD
  6. 27A. Krajcsovics
  7. 77N. FenyoM
  8. 88M. LjujicM
  9. 11K. HorvathM
  10. 9F. BrodicF
  11. 17A. MatkoF
Substitutes (11)

31 · D. Dombo

1 · R. Piscitelli

8 · A. Ademi

10 · A. Maier

19 · N. Gradisar

15 · M. Mucsanyi

38 · K. Sarkadi

5 · D. Kobouri

34 · M. Tucic

39 · G. Vlijter

74 · D. Kaczvinszki

MTK Budapest

Confirmed formationPendingMate Pinezits
  1. 47K. HegyiG
  2. 26V. ArmalasD
  3. 4I. BeriashviliD
  4. 25T. KadarD
  5. 27P. KovacsD
  6. 80A. ZeljkovicM
  7. 7A. Molnar
  8. 6M. Kata
  9. 23J. PlsekM
  10. 21I. AtrokM
  11. 11M. JurinaF
Substitutes (12)

24 · T. Fadgyas

29 · J. Balazs

18 · K. Nemeth

17 · R. Polievka

15 · I. A. Szeles

3 · J. Szepe

20 · Z. Kerezsi

39 · G. Jurek

8 · H. Nemeth

2 · B. Varju

14 · A. Horvath

30 · V. Vitalyos

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Ujpest

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dávid Banai906.7—0—25—
Janos Bodnar906.5—02531
Attila Fiola906.5—0—70—
Patrizio Stronati906.6—0162—
Bence Gergényi906.9—0—292
Ábel György Krajcsovics556.2—01191
Noah Fenyő716.9—0—453
Matija Ljujić907.3—02563
Krisztofer Horváth906.3102521
Fran Brodić556.6—0—221
Aljoša Matko897.610211—
Arne Maier356.7—0123—
Nejc Gradišar356.3—0—15—
Arijan Ademi197.0—0—7—
Kristóf Sarkadi86.5—0—2—
Milan Tučić———————
Daviti Kobouri———————
Riccardo Piscitelli———————
Gleofilo Vlijter———————
Dominik Kaczvinszki———————
Dávid Dombó———————
Miron Mucsányi———————

MTK Budapest

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Krisztián Hegyi906.9—0—26—
Vilius Armalas905.9—02171
Ilia Beriashvili906.6—0—34—
Tamás Kádár906.2—0—42—
Patrik Kovács906.2—02283
Adrian Zeljković906.7—0—462
Mihály Kata906.9—0—302
Ádin Molnár816.910118—
Jakub Plšek706.3—0120—
István Átrok706.6—0116—
Marin Jurina646.9—0—9—
Róbert Polievka266.3—0—3—
Zalán Kerezsi206.7—0—21
Hunor Németh207.0—0—83
Gábor Jurek97.71016—
Artúr Horváth———————
Imre Széles———————
Benedek Varju———————
Viktor Vitályos———————
József Balázs———————
Tamás Fadgyas———————
János Szépe———————
Krisztián Németh———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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