Excelsior
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Excelsior’s resultsPre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
Statistics and key moments from this match.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Availability report not received yet.
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Excelsior’s resultsKeep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect AZ Alkmaar’s resultsHistorical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Past results, not predictions.
Past results, not predictions.
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Excelsior at home with AZ Alkmaar away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Excelsior at home with AZ Alkmaar away. Small samples can be misleading.
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
16 · C. Raatsie
5 · S. Henderikx
6 · A. Carlen
7 · E. Hansson
9 · S. Wlodarczyk
15 · S. Janssen
18 · C. Nadje
26 · M. Jonathans
29 · M. van Duinen
33 · J. Bergraaf
12 · H. Verhulst
71 · J. Schipper
4 · M. Dekker
10 · S. Mijnans
11 · I. Sadiq
17 · I. Jensen
18 · R. Ichihara
22 · E. Dijkstra
23 · B. van Duijl
24 · A. Oufkir
33 · M. Sin
35 · M. Meerdink
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stijn van Gassel | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Ilias Bronkhorst | 69 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | — |
| Casper Widell | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 2 |
| Rick Meissen | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 1 |
| Arthur Zagre | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 2 |
| Lewis Schouten | 84 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 2 |
| Irakli Yegoian | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 51 | 1 |
| Lennard Hartjes | 84 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| Derensili Sanches Fernandes | 79 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Noah Naujoks | 69 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Gyan de Regt | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Simon Janssen | 21 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Jerolldino Bergraaf | 21 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Miliano Jonathans | 11 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Stan Henderikx | 13 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Adam Carlén | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Calvin Raatsie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Hansson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris-Kévin Nadje | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Szymon Włodarczyk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mike van Duinen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeroen Zoet | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Mees de Wit | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | 65 | 2 |
| Wouter Goes | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 89 | 1 |
| Alexandre Penetra | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 3 |
| Mateo Chávez | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 2 |
| Kasper Boogaard | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 55 | 1 |
| Rio Robbemond | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 2 |
| Weslley Patati | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Troy Parrott | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | — |
| Ro-Zangelo Daal | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Jizz Hornkamp | 57 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Elijah Dijkstra | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Ibrahim Sadiq | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 22 | — |
| Isak Steiner Jensen | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Sven Mijnans | 33 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | — |
| Mexx Meerdink | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| Jur Schipper | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hobie Verhulst | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rion Ichihara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy van Duijl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxim Dekker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matěj Šín | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayoub Oufkir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Current standings · Eredivisie. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 96 | 44 | 52 | 81 | WDWWW | |
| 2 | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 62 | DWWDD | |
| 3 | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 58 | WDDWW | |
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 52 | 23 | 56 | LDDDW | |
| 5 | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 55 | LDWWL | |
| 6 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 51 | DDDWW | |
| 7 | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 50 | WWLWL | |
| 8 | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 50 | LWWLW | |
| 9 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 45 | WLLDW | |
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 43 | LDLLD | |
| 11 | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 | WLLDL | |
| 12 | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 38 | LDDDW | |
| 13 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 37 | LWLDL | |
| 14 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 35 | DWWDL | |
| 15 | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 34 | WDWLL | |
| 16 | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 32 | DLWLD | |
| 17 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 28 | WLLDD | |
| 18 | 33 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 34 | 83 | -49 | 19 | LLLLL |
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