Groningen
1/9Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Groningen’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREGroningen vs Ajax match centre
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
T. van Bergen6′
O. Zawada65′
O. Zawada72′
D. Klaassen30′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%Groningen
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Ajax
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Groningen 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Ajax 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.GroningenAjax
1.920Expected goals · API-Football1.860
6Shots on target4
13Total Shots12
40%Ball Possession60%
6Corner Kicks8
4Fouls6
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
365Total passes536
272Passes accurate440
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | +19 | 55 | — |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | +5 | 48 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Groningen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ajax
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Ajax’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Groningen
9 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 9
Both teams scored6 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
Ajax
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie0–0NEC NijmegenHome · Eredivisie1–1Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie4–1AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie1–1ExcelsiorAway · Eredivisie2–2Olympiakos PiraeusHome · UEFA Champions League1–2FC VolendamHome · Eredivisie2–0VillarrealAway · UEFA Champions League2–1GO Ahead EaglesHome · Eredivisie2–2ExcelsiorHome · Eredivisie1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Groningen at home with Ajax away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:38 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
GroningenAjax
25Matches played25
31Points earned44
9Wins11
1.3Goals scored / match1.8
1.4Goals conceded / match1.2
7Clean sheets6
6Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Groningen at home with Ajax away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Groningen
Confirmed formation4-4-2Dick Lukkien
- 1
E. VaessenG - 16
T. MerceraD - 3
T. BlokzijlD - 4
D. JanseD - 43
M. PeersmanD - 17
D. van der WerffM - 18
T. LandM - 14
J. SchreudersM - 7
T. HernesM - 9
B. WillumssonF - 26
T. van BergenF
Substitutes (12)
13 · L. Stubljar
21 · H. Jurjus
2 · W. Prins
5 · M. Rente
8 · T. de Jonge
15 · E. van der Laan
19 · O. Zawada
20 · M. Seuntjens
22 · S. Bouland
27 · R. Mendes
44 · J. Dillema
48 · R. Kelder
Ajax
Confirmed formation4-3-3Oscar Garcia Junyent
- 26
M. PaesG - 3
A. GaaeiD - 37
J. SutaloD - 15
Y. BaasD - 5
O. WijndalD - 18
D. KlaassenM - 24
J. MokioM - 48
S. SteurM - 23
S. BerghuisF - 25
W. WeghorstF - 11
M. GodtsF
Substitutes (12)
12 · J. Heerkens
52 · P. Reverson
2 · L. Rosa
7 · M. Carrizo
9 · K. Dolberg
10 · O. Gloukh
19 · D. Konadu
28 · K. Fitz-Jim
30 · A. Bouwman
32 · T. Tomiyasu
43 · R. Bounida
67 · M. Abdalla
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Groningen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne Vaessen | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Tyrique Mercera | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Thijmen Blokzijl | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 1 |
| Dies Janse | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Marvin Peersman | 82 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 2 |
| David van der Werff | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 30 | 5 |
| Tygo Land | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 3 |
| Jorg Schreuders | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 3 |
| Travis Hernes | 69 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Thom van Bergen | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 2 |
| Hidde Jurjus | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Marco Rente | 45 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 2 |
| Oskar Zawada | 31 | 9.3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | — |
| Tika de Jonge | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Rui Mendes | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Wouter Prins | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | — | — |
| Lovro Štubljar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Kelder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elvis Van der Laan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sven Bouland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jismerai Dillema | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mats Seuntjens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 50 | — |
| Anton Gaaei | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Josip Šutalo | 83 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 71 | — |
| Youri Baas | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 73 | 2 |
| Owen Wijndal | 88 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 69 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 2 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 88 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 62 | 1 |
| Sean Steur | 88 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 1 |
| Steven Berghuis | 69 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 1 |
| Wout Weghorst | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Mika Godts | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | — |
| Rayane Bounida | 21 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Kasper Dolberg | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Maher Carrizo | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Kian Fitz-Jim | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Don-Angelo Konadu | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Paul Reverson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joeri Heerkens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdalla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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