Ajax
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Ajax’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREAjax vs Sparta Rotterdam match centre
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Kitolano19′ (og)
S. Berghuis32′
D. Klaassen73′
M. Godts76′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Ajax
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Sparta Rotterdam
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Ajax 4.8% · no further goal 92.0% · Sparta Rotterdam 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AjaxSparta Rotterdam
3.020Expected goals · API-Football0.190
10Shots on target1
22Total Shots8
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks3
6Fouls17
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves7
469Total passes343
389Passes accurate273
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | +25 | 58 | ↑ 2 |
| 4 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | -25 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sparta Rotterdam 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sparta Rotterdam
3/8Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Sparta Rotterdam’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ajax
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GroningenAway · Eredivisie1–3PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie0–0NEC NijmegenHome · Eredivisie1–1Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie4–1AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie1–1ExcelsiorAway · Eredivisie2–2Olympiakos PiraeusHome · UEFA Champions League1–2FC VolendamHome · Eredivisie2–0VillarrealAway · UEFA Champions League2–1GO Ahead EaglesHome · Eredivisie2–2
Sparta Rotterdam
8 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored6 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ajax at home with Sparta Rotterdam away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:06 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
AjaxSparta Rotterdam
26Matches played26
44Points earned38
11Wins11
1.8Goals scored / match1.3
1.3Goals conceded / match1.7
6Clean sheets9
2Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ajax at home with Sparta Rotterdam away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ajax
Confirmed formation4-3-3Oscar Garcia Junyent
- 26
M. PaesG - 2
L. RosaD - 37
J. SutaloD - 15
Y. BaasD - 32
T. TomiyasuD - 18
D. KlaassenM - 6
Y. RegeerM - 48
S. SteurM - 23
S. BerghuisF - 19
D. KonaduF - 11
M. GodtsF
Substitutes (12)
12 · J. Heerkens
52 · P. Reverson
9 · K. Dolberg
5 · O. Wijndal
3 · A. Gaaei
28 · K. Fitz-Jim
43 · R. Bounida
30 · A. Bouwman
53 · M. van der Lans
10 · O. Gloukh
7 · M. Carrizo
24 · J. Mokio
Sparta Rotterdam
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Maurice Steijn
- 1
J. DrommelG - 2
L. MartesD - 3
M. YoungD - 4
B. Martins IndiD - 5
T. QuinteroD - 6
P. ClementM - 8
J. KitolanoM - 7
M. van BergenM - 10
V. van CrooijM - 11
S. MitoM - 9
T. LauritsenF
Substitutes (12)
20 · F. Bednarek
30 · P. Kuiper
13 · J. de Guzman
21 · J. Toornstra
14 · P. van Aanholt
15 · M. Kleijn
18 · A. Roaldsoy
19 · M. Zonneveld
12 · S. Sambo
17 · C. Terho
16 · J. Baas
22 · A. Santos
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Lucas Rosa | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 43 | 3 |
| Josip Šutalo | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Youri Baas | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | 69 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Davy Klaassen | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 3 |
| Youri Regeer | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Sean Steur | 81 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 81 | 9.2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 1 |
| Don-Angelo Konadu | 69 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 17 | — |
| Mika Godts | 90 | 9.9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 50 | 5 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 65 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
| Anton Gaaei | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 21 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 7 | — |
| Rayane Bounida | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Kian Fitz-Jim | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Paul Reverson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joeri Heerkens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Wijndal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mylo van der Lans | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maher Carrizo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sparta Rotterdam
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joël Drommel | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Lushendry Edward Martes | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Marvin Young | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 3 |
| Bruno Martins Indi | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 53 | — |
| Teo Quintero | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 5 |
| Pelle Clement | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| Joshua Kitolano | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Mitchell van Bergen | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Vito van Crooij | 70 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Shunsuke Mito | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Tobias Lauritsen | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 17 | 1 |
| Shurandy Sambo | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Ayoni Santos | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 3 |
| Casper Terho | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Milan Zonneveld | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Filip Bednarek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pascal Kuiper | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mike Kleijn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick van Aanholt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan de Guzmán | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Baas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Toornstra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alwande Roaldsoy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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