AZ Alkmaar
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect AZ Alkmaar’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREAZ Alkmaar vs Heracles match centre
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
T. Parrott5′
S. Mijnans45+1′
M. de Wit76′
I. Jensen84′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%AZ Alkmaar
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Heracles
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: AZ Alkmaar 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · Heracles 3.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AZ AlkmaarHeracles
3.280Expected goals · API-Football0.660
7Shots on target2
15Total Shots6
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks3
10Fouls19
0Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
417Total passes365
337Passes accurate281
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | +21 | 55 | — |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | +11 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | -53 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AZ Alkmaar 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Heracles 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Heracles
1/8Wins
0.8Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Heracles’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AZ Alkmaar
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sparta PrahaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–1PSV EindhovenAway · Eredivisie1–2TelstarHome · KNVB Beker2–1UtrechtAway · Eredivisie0–2FC NoahHome · UEFA Europa Conference League4–0Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie3–1FC NoahAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–1ExcelsiorAway · Eredivisie2–1AjaxHome · Eredivisie1–1TwenteHome · KNVB Beker1–1
Heracles
8 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored4 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AZ Alkmaar at home with Heracles away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
AZ AlkmaarHeracles
26Matches played26
39Points earned18
11Wins5
1.7Goals scored / match1.2
1.6Goals conceded / match2.5
5Clean sheets2
2Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AZ Alkmaar at home with Heracles away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AZ Alkmaar
Confirmed formation4-3-3Leeroy Echteld
- 12
H. VerhulstG - 22
E. DijkstraD - 3
W. GoesD - 23
B. van DuijlD - 34
M. de WitD - 26
K. SmitM - 6
P. KoopmeinersM - 10
S. MijnansM - 7
Weslley PatatiF - 9
T. ParrottF - 27
R. DaalF
Substitutes (12)
31 · D. Deen
71 · J. Schipper
30 · D. Kasius
18 · R. Ichihara
24 · A. Oufkir
19 · J. Hornkamp
11 · I. Sadiq
17 · I. Jensen
33 · M. Sin
35 · M. Meerdink
14 · A. Natali
20 · K. Boogaard
Heracles
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernest Faber
- 22
R. PasveerG - 3
J. WieckhoffD - 4
D. MiraniD - 18
A. Van HoorenbeeckD - 24
I. MesikD - 13
J. ZamburekM - 20
R. BozinovskiM - 14
E. AhlstrandM - 70
A. HrusticM - 9
N. UnuvarM - 25
L. ZeefuikF
Substitutes (11)
30 · R. Mantel
16 · T. Jansink
10 · T. Bruns
6 · S. Cestic
7 · B. Limbombe
2 · M. Benita
5 · D. van der Kust
21 · Y. Borges Sanches
32 · S. Scheperman
17 · T. van Gilst
41 · T. Hamamioglu
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobie Verhulst | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Elijah Dijkstra | 60 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Wouter Goes | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Billy van Duijl | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 59 | 1 |
| Mees de Wit | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 2 |
| Kees Smit | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 4 |
| Peer Koopmeiners | 76 | 8.6 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 7 |
| Sven Mijnans | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 2 |
| Weslley Patati | 60 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Troy Parrott | 76 | 9.2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | — |
| Ro-Zangelo Daal | 32 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Isak Steiner Jensen | 58 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Denso Kasius | 30 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Ibrahim Sadiq | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Kasper Boogaard | 14 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Mexx Meerdink | 14 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Daniel Deen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jur Schipper | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrea Natali | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rion Ichihara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matěj Šín | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayoub Oufkir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jizz Hornkamp | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heracles
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remko Pasveer | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Jannes Wieckhoff | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Damon Mirani | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Alec Van Hoorenbeeck | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 2 |
| Ivan Mesík | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Jan Žambůrek | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 3 |
| Rhys Bozinovski | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Erik Ahlstrand | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 4 |
| Ajdin Hrustić | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Naci Ünüvar | 56 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 4 |
| Lequincio Zeefuik | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Mimeirhel Benita | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Sem Scheperman | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 3 |
| Tristan van Gilst | 34 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Thomas Bruns | 19 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Robin Mantel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timo Jansink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sava Arangel Čestić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djevencio van der Kust | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Limbombe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tarik Hamamioglu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yvandro Borges Sanches | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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