Ajax
3/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Ajax’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTREAjax vs Twente match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
W. Weghorst32′
R. Zerrouki18′
B. van Rooij79′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Ajax
Draw3.5%at full time
Current result estimate96.4%Twente
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Ajax 3.6% · no further goal 91.9% · Twente 4.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AjaxTwente
0.940Expected goals · API-Football1.370
2Shots on target7
10Total Shots16
51%Ball Possession49%
2Corner Kicks2
13Fouls9
4Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
471Total passes456
400Passes accurate388
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 34 | +24 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | +20 | 55 | — |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Twente 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Twente
5/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Twente’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ajax
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FeyenoordAway · Eredivisie1–1Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie4–0GroningenAway · Eredivisie1–3PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie0–0NEC NijmegenHome · Eredivisie1–1Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie4–1AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie1–1ExcelsiorAway · Eredivisie2–2Olympiakos PiraeusHome · UEFA Champions League1–2FC VolendamHome · Eredivisie2–0
Twente
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Fortuna SittardAway · Eredivisie2–1UtrechtHome · Eredivisie0–2GO Ahead EaglesAway · Eredivisie4–1FeyenoordHome · Eredivisie2–0GroningenHome · Eredivisie2–1TelstarAway · Eredivisie1–1HeerenveenHome · Eredivisie5–0AZ AlkmaarAway · KNVB Beker1–1NAC BredaAway · Eredivisie2–2ExcelsiorHome · Eredivisie0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ajax at home with Twente away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
AjaxTwente
28Matches played28
48Points earned47
12Wins12
1.9Goals scored / match1.7
1.3Goals conceded / match1.1
7Clean sheets7
2Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ajax at home with Twente away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ajax
Confirmed formation4-3-3Oscar Garcia Junyent
- 26
M. PaesG - 3
A. GaaeiD - 37
J. SutaloD - 15
Y. BaasD - 2
L. RosaD - 23
S. BerghuisM - 24
J. MokioM - 48
S. SteurM - 17
O. EdvardsenF - 25
W. WeghorstF - 11
M. GodtsF
Substitutes (12)
12 · J. Heerkens
52 · P. Reverson
9 · K. Dolberg
4 · K. Itakura
5 · O. Wijndal
44 · M. Verkuijl
30 · A. Bouwman
53 · M. van der Lans
10 · O. Gloukh
7 · M. Carrizo
19 · D. Konadu
67 · M. Abdalla
Twente
Confirmed formation4-3-3John van den Brom
- 1
L. UnnerstallG - 28
B. van RooijD - 23
S. LemkinD - 43
R. NijstadD - 39
M. RotsD - 14
K. HlynssonM - 6
R. ZerroukiM - 20
T. van den BeltM - 11
D. RotsF - 10
S. LammersF - 27
S. OrjasaeterF
Substitutes (12)
22 · P. Tyton
21 · S. Karssies
9 · R. van Wolfswinkel
8 · T. Booth
42 · D. Weidmann
12 · G. Peixoto
7 · M. Pjaca
3 · R. Propper
32 · A. Verschueren
4 · M. Kjolo
38 · M. Bruns
25 · L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Anton Gaaei | 89 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Josip Šutalo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 67 | — |
| Youri Baas | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 73 | 1 |
| Lucas Rosa | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 71 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | — |
| Jorthy Mokio | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 1 |
| Sean Steur | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 2 |
| Oliver Edvardsen | 57 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 71 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | — |
| Mika Godts | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 33 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Don-Angelo Konadu | 19 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Maher Carrizo | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Ko Itakura | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mylo van der Lans | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Verkuijl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Wijndal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdalla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Reverson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joeri Heerkens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Twente
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Unnerstall | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Bart van Rooij | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 4 |
| Stav Lemkin | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 58 | — |
| Ruud Nijstad | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 2 |
| Mats Rots | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 38 | 3 |
| Kristian Hlynsson | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Ramiz Zerrouki | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 64 | 3 |
| Thomas Van den Belt | 84 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 4 |
| Daan Rots | 63 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Sam Lammers | 89 | 5.6 | — | 1 | 4 | 24 | — |
| Sondre Ørjasæter | 85 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Marko Pjaca | 27 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Mathias Kjølø | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Ricky van Wolfswinkel | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Arno Verschueren | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Robin Pröpper | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Sam Karssies | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Przemysław Tytoń | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Bruns | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Peixoto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daouda Weidmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taylor Booth | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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