Excelsior
1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Excelsior’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 31THE MATCH CENTREExcelsior vs Utrecht match centre
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
N. Naujoks11′
D. Sanches Fernandes36′
D. Sanches Fernandes55′
I. Yegoian69′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Excelsior
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Utrecht
Another goal7.5%before full time
Next goal: Excelsior 5.3% · no further goal 92.5% · Utrecht 2.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.ExcelsiorUtrecht
3.320Expected goals · API-Football0.840
8Shots on target3
15Total Shots10
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks2
11Fouls7
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
476Total passes341
409Passes accurate263
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | +21 | 55 | — |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 34 | +7 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | -10 | 38 | ↑ 1 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | ↓ 1 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Excelsior 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Utrecht 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Utrecht
5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Utrecht’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Excelsior
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie2–2NEC NijmegenHome · Eredivisie0–2HeraclesAway · Eredivisie1–1FeyenoordAway · Eredivisie1–2HeerenveenHome · Eredivisie1–2GO Ahead EaglesHome · Eredivisie0–1Fortuna SittardAway · Eredivisie1–2AZ AlkmaarHome · Eredivisie1–2NAC BredaAway · Eredivisie2–0AjaxHome · Eredivisie2–2
Utrecht
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Excelsior at home with Utrecht away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
ExcelsiorUtrecht
30Matches played30
28Points earned44
7Wins12
1.0Goals scored / match1.7
1.7Goals conceded / match1.2
5Clean sheets7
7Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Excelsior at home with Utrecht away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Excelsior
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ruben den Uil
- 1
S. van GasselG - 3
R. MeissenD - 4
C. WidellD - 14
L. SchoutenD - 12
A. ZagreD - 10
N. NaujoksM - 20
L. HartjesM - 23
I. YegoianM - 30
D. Sanches FernandesF - 11
G. de RegtF - 7
E. HanssonF
Substitutes (8)
16 · C. Raatsie
29 · M. van Duinen
15 · S. Janssen
6 · A. Carlen
33 · J. Bergraaf
2 · I. Bronkhorst
9 · S. Wlodarczyk
24 · G. Cairo
Utrecht
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ron Jans
- 1
V. BarkasG - 23
N. VesterlundD - 40
M. DiddenD - 3
M. van der HoornD - 16
S. El KarouaniD - 27
A. EngwandaM - 21
G. ZechielM - 77
A. AlarconM - 20
D. de WitM - 10
Y. CathlineM - 18
A. StepanovF
Substitutes (10)
33 · K. Gadellaa
51 · M. Eppink
11 · J. Karlsson
44 · M. Eerdhuijzen
15 · A. Blake
5 · E. Adiele
2 · S. Horemans
8 · C. Bozdogan
9 · D. Min
53 · N. Viereck
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Excelsior
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stijn van Gassel | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Rick Meissen | 85 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 2 |
| Casper Widell | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 1 |
| Lewis Schouten | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 70 | 1 |
| Arthur Zagre | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 67 | 2 |
| Noah Naujoks | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 3 |
| Lennard Hartjes | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 1 |
| Irakli Yegoian | 76 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 2 |
| Derensili Sanches Fernandes | 76 | 10.0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 1 |
| Gyan de Regt | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Emil Hansson | 63 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | — |
| Szymon Włodarczyk | 27 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Ilias Bronkhorst | 14 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Adam Carlén | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Giuliano Cairo | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 2 |
| Simon Janssen | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Calvin Raatsie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mike van Duinen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jerolldino Bergraaf | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Utrecht
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilis Barkas | 90 | 4.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Niklas Vesterlund | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 3 |
| Matisse Didden | 31 | 4.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Mike Van der Hoorn | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 1 |
| Souffian El Karouani | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Alonzo Engwanda | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 4 |
| Gjivai Zechiël | 72 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 |
| Ángel Alarcón | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Dani de Wit | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Yoann Cathline | 80 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | — |
| Artem Stepanov | 41 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Siebe Horemans | 49 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Emeka Adeile | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Can Bozdoğan | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 2 |
| Jesper Karlsson | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| David Min | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Mees Eppink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Gadellaa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neal Viereck | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mike Eerdhuijzen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Blake | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Excelsior | Draw | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
Snapshot from 25 Apr 2026, 21:09 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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