Groningen
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Groningen’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREGroningen vs NEC Nijmegen match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Rente45+3′
T. Land51′
D. Nejasmic76′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.3%Groningen
Draw3.7%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%NEC Nijmegen
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Groningen 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · NEC Nijmegen 3.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.GroningenNEC Nijmegen
1.560Expected goals · API-Football1.080
7Shots on target3
10Total Shots8
50%Ball Possession50%
5Corner Kicks5
14Fouls12
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves5
352Total passes343
253Passes accurate253
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 34 | +22 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | +21 | 55 | — |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | +4 | 48 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Groningen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
NEC Nijmegen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
NEC Nijmegen
4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect NEC Nijmegen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Groningen
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NEC Nijmegen
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
TelstarHome · Eredivisie1–1TwenteAway · Eredivisie1–1AZ AlkmaarAway · KNVB Beker1–5FeyenoordHome · Eredivisie1–1ExcelsiorAway · Eredivisie2–0HeerenveenHome · Eredivisie2–2PSV EindhovenAway · Eredivisie3–2FC VolendamHome · Eredivisie3–0PSV EindhovenHome · KNVB Beker3–2Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Groningen at home with NEC Nijmegen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:49 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
GroningenNEC Nijmegen
32Matches played32
42Points earned56
12Wins15
1.5Goals scored / match2.3
1.4Goals conceded / match1.6
10Clean sheets5
7Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Groningen at home with NEC Nijmegen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Groningen
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dick Lukkien
- 1
E. VaessenG - 5
M. RenteD - 3
T. BlokzijlD - 4
D. JanseD - 43
M. PeersmanD - 8
T. de JongeM - 18
T. LandM - 10
Y. TahaM - 17
D. van der WerffM - 14
J. SchreudersM - 26
T. van BergenF
Substitutes (12)
21 · H. Jurjus
13 · L. Stubljar
20 · M. Seuntjens
9 · B. Willumsson
2 · W. Prins
16 · T. Mercera
44 · J. Dillema
22 · S. Bouland
27 · R. Mendes
7 · T. Hernes
15 · E. van der Laan
34 · R. Metu
NEC Nijmegen
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Dick Schreuder
- 1
G. CrettazG - 14
E. DasaD - 17
B. NuytinckD - 24
D. FonvilleD - 25
S. OuaissaM - 6
D. NejasmicM - 3
P. SandlerM - 20
N. LebretonM - 23
K. SanoF - 30
B. LinssenF - 10
T. CheryF
Substitutes (12)
22 · J. Cillessen
8 · I. Hansen-Aaroen
11 · B. Onal
15 · J. Willems
7 · V. Misidjan
18 · K. Ogawa
5 · T. Ouwejan
19 · W. T. Willumsson
34 · Y. El Kachati
9 · Danilo Pereira
71 · D. Proper
2 · B. Pereira
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Groningen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne Vaessen | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 52 | — |
| Marco Rente | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 3 |
| Thijmen Blokzijl | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Dies Janse | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Marvin Peersman | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Tika de Jonge | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Tygo Land | 82 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 |
| Younes Taha | 69 | 7.3 | — | 2 | 1 | 13 | 2 |
| David van der Werff | 69 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Jorg Schreuders | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 30 | 1 |
| Thom van Bergen | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Wouter Prins | 21 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Travis Hernes | 21 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Ryan Metu | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Lovro Štubljar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hidde Jurjus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sven Bouland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elvis Van der Laan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrique Mercera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jismerai Dillema | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mats Seuntjens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rui Mendes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Crettaz | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Eli Dasa | 60 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Bram Nuytinck | 60 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Deveron Fonville | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 5 |
| Sami Ouaissa | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Darko Nejašmić | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 49 | 2 |
| Philippe Sandler | 60 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Noe Lebreton | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Kodai Sano | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Bryan Linssen | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Tjaronn Chery | 71 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Brayann Pereira | 30 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Başar Önal | 30 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Danilo | 30 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Koki Ogawa | 19 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Youssef el Kachati | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Jasper Cillessen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Ouwejan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jetro Willems | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willum Thor Willumsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isak Hansen Aarøen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dirk Wanner Proper | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Virgil Misidjan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Groningen | Draw | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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