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League OneMatchweek 12THE MATCH CENTRE

Barnsley vs Cardiff match centre

Barnsley badgeBarnsleyHome · 15 in league
WLWLW
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Cardiff badgeCardiffAway · 2 in league
WWLWL
Momentum→ Steady54/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Banks22′
R. Colwill11′
Oakwell · BarnsleySeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.3%Barnsley
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.2%Cardiff
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Barnsley 3.4% · no further goal 92.3% · Cardiff 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
BarnsleyCardiff
4Corner Kicks13
8Fouls6
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
221Total passes577
142Passes accurate486

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff47+4092—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Barnsley47-560↑ 2
14Blackpool46-1160↓ 1
15Doncaster46-1960↓ 1
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Barnsley 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Cardiff 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Barnsley

4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Barnsley’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Cardiff

6/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Cardiff’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Barnsley at home with Cardiff away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:45 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

BarnsleyCardiff
33Matches played35
47Points earned72
13Wins22
1.7Goals scored / match1.9
1.6Goals conceded / match1.1
2Clean sheets13
8Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Barnsley at home with Cardiff away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Barnsley

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Conor Hourihane
  1. 1O. GoodmanG
  2. 7C. O'KeeffeD
  3. 6M. de GevigneyD
  4. 15E. O'ConnellD
  5. 5J. ShepherdD
  6. 30J. BlandM
  7. 48L. ConnellM
  8. 45V. YoganathanM
  9. 10D. McGoldrickM
  10. 18S. BanksM
  11. 9T. BradshawF
Substitutes (7)

51 · K. Flavell

14 · N. Ogbeta

17 · G. Gent

20 · C. Lennon

8 · A. Phillips

27 · T. Watson

19 · R. Cleary

Cardiff

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Brian Barry-Murphy
  1. 13N. TrottG
  2. 38P. NgD
  3. 48D. LawlorD
  4. 12C. ChambersD
  5. 23C. ScanlonD
  6. 6R. WintleM
  7. 18A. RobertsonM
  8. 11O. TannerM
  9. 10R. ColwillM
  10. 16C. WillockM
  11. 8O. KellymanF
Substitutes (7)

14 · D. Turnbull

2 · W. Fish

3 · J. Bagan

45 · C. Ashford

44 · R. Kpakio

47 · C. Robinson

27 · J. Colwill

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Barnsley

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Owen Goodman907.9—0—38—
Corey O'Keeffe907.2—0—183
Maël de Gevigney907.2—0—24—
Eoghan O'Connell906.7—0—161
Jack Shepherd906.9—0—222
Jonathan Bland896.7—0—19—
Luca Connell906.7—0—22—
Vimal Yoganathan906.9—0120—
David McGoldrick906.0—05122
Scott Banks657.7102134
Tom Bradshaw656.3—02161
Adam Phillips256.3—0—4—
Reyes Cleary256.6—0—22
Tennai Watson86.6—0—1—
Kieran Flavell———————
Nathanael Ogbeta———————
Georgie Gent———————
Charlie Lennon———————

Cardiff

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nathan Trott906.9—0—43—
Perry Ng906.2—0—58—
Dylan Lawlor806.3—0—911
Calum Chambers906.3—0—1031
Calum Scanlon566.7—0—331
Ryan Wintle906.3—0—691
Alex Robertson696.7—0—393
Ollie Tanner906.9—12391
Rubin Colwill908.3102343
Chris Willock566.7—0—17—
Omari Kellyman696.7—017—
Joel Bagan347.0—0—231
Cian Ashford346.7—01111
David Turnbull216.5—0124—
Callum Robinson216.3—0—5—
William Fish106.9—0213—
Ronan Kpakio———————
Joel Colwill———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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