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League OneMatchweek 36THE MATCH CENTRE

Barnsley vs Exeter City match centre

Barnsley badgeBarnsleyHome · 15 in league
DWLWL
Momentum→ Steady45/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Exeter City badgeExeter CityAway · 21 in league
DDDLD
Momentum↓ Low25/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. McGoldrick8′
V. Yoganathan16′
J. Wareham75′
Oakwell · BarnsleySeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.1%Barnsley
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Exeter City
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Barnsley 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Exeter City 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
BarnsleyExeter City
4Corner Kicks6
10Fouls12
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
382Total passes395
285Passes accurate309

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Barnsley47-462↑ 2
14Blackpool46-1160↓ 1
15Doncaster46-1960↓ 1
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City47-1049—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Barnsley 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Exeter City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Barnsley

3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Barnsley’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Exeter City

2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Exeter City’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Barnsley at home with Exeter City away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

BarnsleyExeter City
32Matches played34
44Points earned42
12Wins11
1.7Goals scored / match1.2
1.7Goals conceded / match1.2
2Clean sheets11
8Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Barnsley at home with Exeter City away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Barnsley

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Conor Hourihane
  1. 1O. GoodmanG
  2. 7C. O'KeeffeD
  3. 6M. de GevigneyD
  4. 15E. O'ConnellD
  5. 5J. ShepherdD
  6. 48L. ConnellM
  7. 45V. YoganathanM
  8. 8A. PhillipsM
  9. 10D. McGoldrickM
  10. 19R. ClearyM
  11. 9T. BradshawF
Substitutes (7)

51 · K. Flavell

14 · N. Ogbeta

18 · S. Banks

17 · G. Gent

20 · C. Lennon

30 · J. Bland

27 · T. Watson

Exeter City

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Dan Green
  1. 1J. WhitworthG
  2. 26P. SweeneyD
  3. 20L. WoodhouseD
  4. 2J. McMillanD
  5. 14I. NiskanenM
  6. 34L. OakesM
  7. 6E. BrierleyM
  8. 3R. RydelM
  9. 7C. MendesF
  10. 10J. AitchisonF
  11. 9J. WarehamF
Substitutes (7)

23 · J. Bycroft

29 · K. McDonald

27 · J. Magennis

19 · S. Cox

45 · C. Cummins

12 · R. Cole

42 · G. Birch

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Barnsley

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Owen Goodman906.3—0—35—
Corey O'Keeffe906.5—01333
Maël de Gevigney907.5—01521
Eoghan O'Connell907.3—0—57—
Jack Shepherd516.7—0—27—
Luca Connell907.3—0143—
Vimal Yoganathan908.2101304
Adam Phillips896.7—0—41—
David McGoldrick907.311225—
Reyes Cleary727.0—1—14—
Tom Bradshaw726.0—0—5—
Nathanael Ogbeta396.5—0—21—
Jonathan Bland186.3—0—7—
Scott Banks186.6—013—
Tennai Watson96.2—0———
Kieran Flavell———————
Georgie Gent———————
Charlie Lennon———————

Exeter City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Joe Whitworth906.0—0—38—
Pierce Sweeney907.0—0—65—
Luca Woodhouse907.3—0162—
Jack McMillan706.2—0—313
Ilmari Niskanen906.7—01362
Liam Oakes907.0—0—253
Ethan Brierley906.3—01511
Ryan Rydel456.3—0—112
Carlos Mendes Gomes636.5—0—131
Jack Aitchison835.6—0—22—
Jayden Wareham907.310310—
Charlie Cummins457.0—0—153
Reece Cole276.9—0—11—
Josh Magennis206.9—117—
Sonny Cox156.3—0—3—
Jack Bycroft———————
Kevin McDonald———————
George Birch———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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