Lincoln
4/6Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Lincoln’s results
League OneMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTRELincoln vs Northampton match centre
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. One11′
J. Moylan51′
I. Varfolomeev72′
R. Street75′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LincolnNorthampton
Expected goals · API-Football
12Shots on target0
22Total Shots4
55%Ball Possession45%
8Corner Kicks1
9Fouls6
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves8
417Total passes342
319Passes accurate249
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lincoln 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Northampton 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Northampton
2/9Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Northampton’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lincoln
6 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 6
Both teams scored4 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Northampton
9 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lincoln at home with Northampton away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
LincolnNorthampton
31Matches played31
62Points earned34
18Wins9
1.7Goals scored / match0.9
1.0Goals conceded / match1.3
10Clean sheets10
5Failed to score13
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lincoln at home with Northampton away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lincoln
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Michael Skubala
- 1
G. WickensG - 2
T. DarikwaD - 22
T. HamerD - 15
S. BradleyD - 3
A. ReachD - 8
T. BaylissM - 14
C. McGrandlesM - 20
R. OneM - 10
J. MoylanM - 18
B. HouseM - 34
F. DraperF
Substitutes (7)
13 · Z. Jeacock
7 · R. Hackett-Fairchild
17 · R. Street
16 · D. Jefferies
6 · R. Towler
19 · A. Lloyd
24 · I. Varfolomeev
Northampton
Confirmed formation3-4-3Colin Calderwood
- 34
R. FitzsimonsG - 6
J. WillisD - 24
E. MooreD - 3
C. McCarthyD - 2
J. BurroughsM - 23
T. TaylorM - 4
D. CampbellM - 12
N. Guinness-WalkerM - 7
S. HoskinsF - 27
J. ValeF - 11
K. SwyerF
Substitutes (7)
1 · L. Burge
9 · T. Eaves
18 · M. Forbes
14 · T. Fornah
35 · M. Dyche
21 · J. Perkins
15 · J. Evans
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lincoln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Wickens | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Tendayi Darikwa | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 2 |
| Thomas Hamer | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 3 |
| Sonny Bradley | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | — |
| Adam Reach | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
| Tom Bayliss | 71 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Conor McGrandles | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Ryan One | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 2 |
| Jack Moylan | 77 | 9.9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | — |
| Ben House | 71 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Freddie Draper | 55 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Robert Street | 35 | 5.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | — |
| Dom Jefferies | 19 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Ivan Varfolomeev | 19 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Ryley Towler | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Alfie Lloyd | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Zachary Jeacock | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reeco Hackett-Fairchild | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Northampton
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Fitzsimons | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Jordan Willis | 55 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Elliott Moore | 67 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Conor McCarthy | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 2 |
| Jack Burroughs | 67 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Terry Taylor | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 3 |
| Dean Campbell | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 2 |
| Nesta Guinness-Walker | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 4 |
| Sam Hoskins | 67 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Jack Vale | 56 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Kamarai Swyer | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Tyrese Fornah | 35 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Max Dyche | 23 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Jack Perkins | 23 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Tom Eaves | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Jake Evans | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Lee Burge | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Forbes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League One table
Current standings · League One: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 103 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90 | 50 | 40 | 91 | LWWWD |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71 | 58 | 13 | 77 | WLWLD |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 77 | WDDDL |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70 | 52 | 18 | 75 | LDDWL |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 75 | WDWDL |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68 | 56 | 12 | 74 | WWWDW |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 73 | WWDWD |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74 | 64 | 10 | 67 | WLDDD |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 65 | WDWWD |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 63 | WLLDL |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 | LDLLL |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 60 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 59 | LWLLD |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 56 | LLDWW |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 54 | DDDWD |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 53 | LDLDL |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 53 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 | DLLDL |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 49 | LDDDW |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 41 | LDLWL |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 35 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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