Northampton
2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Northampton’s results
League OneMatchweek 37THE MATCH CENTRENorthampton vs Burton Albion match centre
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Beesley32′
K. Lofthouse89′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Northampton
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Burton Albion
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Northampton 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · Burton Albion 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.NorthamptonBurton Albion
1.290Expected goals · API-Football2.770
2Shots on target4
8Total Shots12
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks4
14Fouls5
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
400Total passes285
304Passes accurate194
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | — |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 | — |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | — |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 | — |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Burton Albion | 47 | -8 | 57 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | ↓ 1 |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 | — |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | -12 | 52 | — |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 | Northampton | 47 | -37 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Northampton 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Burton Albion 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Burton Albion
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Burton Albion’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Northampton
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AFC WimbledonAway · League One0–1LutonAway · EFL Trophy1–2PeterboroughHome · League One1–1Port ValeHome · League One0–1Leyton OrientHome · League One1–2LincolnAway · League One0–4Exeter CityAway · League One0–0AFC WimbledonAway · EFL Trophy2–1StevenageHome · League One3–1BarnsleyAway · League One2–2
Burton Albion
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Northampton at home with Burton Albion away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
NorthamptonBurton Albion
36Matches played36
35Points earned40
9Wins10
0.9Goals scored / match1.1
1.4Goals conceded / match1.5
10Clean sheets9
16Failed to score14
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Northampton at home with Burton Albion away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Northampton
Confirmed formation4-4-2Colin Calderwood
- 1
L. BurgeG - 35
M. DycheD - 24
E. MooreD - 18
M. ForbesD - 12
N. Guinness-WalkerD - 7
S. HoskinsM - 8
C. McGeehanM - 23
T. TaylorM - 4
D. CampbellM - 15
J. EvansF - 27
J. ValeF
Substitutes (7)
34 · R. Fitzsimons
9 · T. Eaves
11 · K. Swyer
17 · M. Jacobs
3 · C. McCarthy
14 · T. Fornah
21 · J. Perkins
Burton Albion
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Gary Bowyer
- 24
B. CollinsG - 2
U. Godwin-MalifeD - 18
J. MoonD - 16
A. HartridgeD - 15
K. LofthouseM - 4
K. ChaukeM - 12
G. EvansM - 6
T. SibbickM - 42
A. CannonF - 9
J. BeesleyF - 10
T. ShadeF
Substitutes (7)
27 · K. Dudek
5 · T. Vancooten
19 · D. Williams
7 · J. J. McKiernan
29 · K. Adom
11 · F. Tavares
41 · S. Krubally
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Northampton
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Burge | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Max Dyche | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 1 |
| Elliott Moore | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 71 | — |
| Michael Forbes | 83 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 56 | — |
| Nesta Guinness-Walker | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Sam Hoskins | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Cameron McGeehan | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1 |
| Terry Taylor | 65 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Dean Campbell | 83 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 4 |
| Jake Evans | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Jack Vale | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Tom Eaves | 26 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Kamarai Swyer | 26 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Tyrese Fornah | 25 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Michael Jacobs | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Jack Perkins | 14 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Ross Fitzsimons | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conor McCarthy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Burton Albion
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Collins | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Udoka Godwin-Malife | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | — |
| Jasper Moon | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 4 |
| Alex Hartridge | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Kyran Lofthouse | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 |
| Kgagelo Chauke | 87 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| George Evans | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Toby Sibbick | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Andy Cannon | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Jake Beesley | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | — |
| Tyrese Shade | 87 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | — |
| Dylan Williams | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Kain Adom | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| John Joshua Mckiernan | 10 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 3 |
| Kamil Dudek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Terence Vancooten | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sulyman Krubally | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio Tavares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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