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League OneMatchweek 38THE MATCH CENTRE

Peterborough vs Rotherham match centre

Peterborough badgePeterboroughHome · 18 in league
LDDDL
Momentum↓ Low16/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
5:0
UK time · Europe/London
Rotherham badgeRotherhamAway · 23 in league
LLWLD
Momentum→ Steady28/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Lisbie17′
J. Morgan40′
D. Kamara68′ (pen)
D. Kamara76′ (pen)
A. Collins81′
Weston Homes Stadium · PeterboroughSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Peterborough
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Rotherham
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Peterborough 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · Rotherham 3.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
PeterboroughRotherham
3Corner Kicks5
6Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
435Total passes262
363Passes accurate182

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Peterborough47+156↑ 2
17Wigan46-956↓ 1
18Burton Albion46-1054↓ 1
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham47-3541—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Peterborough 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Rotherham 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Peterborough

3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Peterborough’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Rotherham

3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Rotherham’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Peterborough at home with Rotherham away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:44 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

PeterboroughRotherham
36Matches played36
46Points earned36
14Wins9
1.4Goals scored / match1.0
1.4Goals conceded / match1.4
8Clean sheets8
9Failed to score14

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Peterborough at home with Rotherham away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Peterborough

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Luke Williams
  1. 1A. BassG
  2. 33J. DornellyD
  3. 30P. KiosoD
  4. 26D. OkagbueD
  5. 23H. MillsD
  6. 4A. CollinsM
  7. 8B. KhelaM
  8. 18C. HayesM
  9. 24J. Morgan
  10. 17K. LisbieM
  11. 39O. AderojuF
Substitutes (7)

31 · B. Smith

40 · J. Mendy

15 · G. Nevett

11 · D. Frith

42 · P. Sykut

32 · L. Mendonca

34 · D. Kamara

Rotherham

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Matthew Hamshaw
  1. 13T. CannG
  2. 18L. AgbaireD
  3. 3Z. JulesD
  4. 15J. BaptisteD
  5. 7J. PowellM
  6. 2J. RaffertyM
  7. 28B. CoverM
  8. 11A. MarthaM
  9. 49L. SousaM
  10. 10S. NombeF
  11. 20D. WatmoreF
Substitutes (7)

1 · C. Dawson

19 · J. Benson

46 · D. Gardner

29 · G. Biancheri

23 · J. Holmes

39 · H. Duncan

37 · J. Clarke

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Peterborough

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alex Bass907.3—0—57—
James Dornelly907.5—0—59—
Peter Kioso907.9—02591
David Okagbue777.7—0—442
Harley Mills657.0—0—461
Archie Collins909.6111753
Brandon Khela908.0—0—645
Cian Hayes777.2—01224
Jimmy Morgan657.5103213
Kyrell Lisbie908.310115—
Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju656.7—0—10—
Jacob Mendy256.7—0—6—
Patryk Sykut256.7—0—19—
David Kamara257.52023—
Lucca Mendonça136.9—0—28—
Declan Frith136.9—1—8—
Bastian Smith———————
George Nevett———————

Rotherham

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ted Cann905.5—0—23—
Lenny Agbaire905.7—0—34—
Zak Jules905.3—0133—
Jamal Baptiste905.2—0—351
Joe Powell336.7—0—121
Joe Rafferty906.7—0—302
Brandon Cover586.3—01161
ArJany Martha907.2—0—223
Lino Sousa586.2—0—101
Sam Nombe906.3—01121
Duncan Watmore746.2—01121
Josh Benson577.3—01355
Gabriele Biancheri326.3—0—6—
Jack Holmes326.2—0—11—
James Clarke166.2—0—5—
Cameron Dawson———————
Harrison Duncan———————
Dean Gardner———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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