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League OneMatchweek 38THE MATCH CENTRE

Stockport County vs Northampton match centre

Stockport County badgeStockport CountyHome · 3 in league
LLWDL
Momentum↗ Rising26/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Northampton badgeNorthamptonAway · 24 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Stokes2′
K. Wootton58′
C. McGeehan42′
Edgeley Park · StockportSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate97.0%Stockport County
Draw3.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Northampton
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Stockport County 4.9% · no further goal 92.0% · Northampton 3.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Stockport CountyNorthampton
7Corner Kicks3
8Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves6
490Total passes316
400Passes accurate215

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County47+1480—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton47-3635—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Stockport County 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Northampton 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Northampton

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Northampton’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Stockport County at home with Northampton away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

Stockport CountyNorthampton
35Matches played37
56Points earned35
16Wins9
1.3Goals scored / match0.9
1.3Goals conceded / match1.3
9Clean sheets10
7Failed to score17

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Stockport County at home with Northampton away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Stockport County

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Dave Challinor
  1. 34C. AddaiG
  2. 2J. Dacres-CogleyD
  3. 33B. HillsD
  4. 15E. PyeD
  5. 7J. DiamondM
  6. 26O. NorwoodM
  7. 27O. BaileyM
  8. 23B. OsbornM
  9. 28J. StokesF
  10. 9T. OlaofeF
  11. 19K. WoottonF
Substitutes (7)

1 · B. Hinchliffe

14 · T. Edun

4 · L. Bate

29 · A. Sidibeh

48 · C. Gardner

5 · J. Olowu

11 · M. Mothersille

Northampton

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Colin Calderwood
  1. 1L. BurgeG
  2. 2J. BurroughsD
  3. 24E. MooreD
  4. 5J. GuthrieD
  5. 3C. McCarthyD
  6. 8C. McGeehanM
  7. 14T. FornahM
  8. 7S. HoskinsM
  9. 26K. McAdamM
  10. 21J. PerkinsM
  11. 9T. EavesF
Substitutes (7)

34 · R. Fitzsimons

17 · M. Jacobs

22 · K. Edwards

27 · J. Vale

23 · T. Taylor

35 · M. Dyche

15 · J. Evans

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Stockport County

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Corey Addai905.7—0—30—
Josh Dacres-Cogley907.2—0—63—
Brad Hills907.5—0—425
Ethan Pye908.0—0—588
Jack Diamond907.3—04271
Oliver Norwood908.7—11793
Odin Bailey897.2—01554
Ben Osborn727.2—0—552
Josh Stokes729.3113334
Isaac Olaofe726.2—0382
Kyle Wootton907.6105224
Adetayo Edun187.0—0—91
Lewis Bate186.9—0—161
Adama Sidibeh186.7—0131
Joseph Olowu1——0—1—
Ben Hinchliffe———————
Malik Mothersille———————
Che Gardner———————

Northampton

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lee Burge908.2—0—46—
Jack Burroughs636.0—0—231
Elliott Moore906.9—0—261
Jon Guthrie796.7—0—27—
Conor McCarthy456.2—0—151
Cameron McGeehan906.910241—
Tyrese Fornah816.3—0—171
Sam Hoskins906.2—0—161
Kyle McAdam906.5—0—212
Jack Perkins907.3—0—389
Tom Eaves795.9—0—8—
Jake Evans456.5—0—9—
Max Dyche276.9—0—191
Terry Taylor116.7—0—71
Kyle Edwards116.6—0—91
Michael Jacobs96.3—0—2—
Ross Fitzsimons———————
Jack Vale———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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