Port Vale
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Port Vale’s results
League OneMatchweek 39THE MATCH CENTREPort Vale vs Bolton match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
G. Hall34′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.9%Port Vale
Draw4.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Bolton
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Port Vale 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Bolton 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Port ValeBolton
1.720Expected goals · API-Football0.410
1Shots on target1
10Total Shots4
40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks5
10Fouls9
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves0
231Total passes341
123Passes accurate226
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 |  Bolton | 47 | +17 | 75 | — |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 | — |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | — |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 | — |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | -10 | 54 | — |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 | — |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | -12 | 52 | — |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 22 | Port Vale | 47 | -24 | 45 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Port Vale 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Bolton 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bolton
5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Bolton’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Port Vale
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bolton
10 matchesResults5 wins · 5 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Port Vale at home with Bolton away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:16 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
Port ValeBolton
35Matches played38
28Points earned66
6Wins17
0.8Goals scored / match1.5
1.4Goals conceded / match1.0
9Clean sheets11
18Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Port Vale at home with Bolton away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Port Vale
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jon Brady
- 46
J. GauciG - 6
J. Lawrence-GabrielD - 5
C. HallD - 27
E. CampbellD - 15
L. GordonD - 14
F. OjoM - 12
R. WaltersM - 33
G. HallM - 8
B. GarrityM - 3
J. HeadleyM - 21
M. Sherif
Substitutes (7)
13 · B. Amos
50 · O. Hernandez
19 · B. Waine
11 · E. Archer
45 · A. Gray
35 · T. Magloire
26 · J. Shipley
Bolton
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Steven Schumacher
- 1
J. BonhamG - 14
J. Osei-TutuD - 18
E. ToalD - 3
C. Forino-JosephD - 6
G. JohnstonD - 4
X. SimonsM - 21
E. ErhahonM - 9
J. KennyM - 22
K. DempseyM - 15
R. ApterM - 10
S. DalbyF
Substitutes (7)
23 · D. Harrington
29 · C. Christie
8 · J. Sheehan
45 · J. McAtee
11 · T. Gale
25 · M. Conway
48 · M. Burstow
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Port Vale
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Gauci | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 5 |
| Connor Hall | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 3 |
| Elijah Campbell | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Liam Gordon | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Funso Ojo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Rhys Walters | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| George Hall | 84 | 8.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
| Ben Garrity | 69 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Jaheim Headley | 85 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Martin Sherif | 78 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Ben Waine | 21 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Jordan Shipley | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Ethon Archer | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Tyler Magloire | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Ben Amos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andre Gray | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onel Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bolton
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bonham | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Jordi Osei-Tutu | 74 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Eoin Toal | 74 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Chris Forino | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| George Johnston | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Xavier Simons | 61 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Ethan Erhahon | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 3 |
| Johnny Kenny | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 2 |
| Kyle Dempsey | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| Robert Apter | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Sam Dalby | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Max Conway | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Josh Sheehan | 29 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| John McAtee | 29 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| Cyrus Christie | 16 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Mason Burstow | 16 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 |
| David Harrington | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thierry Gale | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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