Port Vale
3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Port Vale’s results
FA CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREPort Vale vs Sunderland match centre
81′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Waine28′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
81′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate83.9%Port Vale
Draw14.6%at full time
Current result estimate1.5%Sunderland
Another goal26.8%before full time
Next goal: Port Vale 9.9% · no further goal 73.2% · Sunderland 16.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Port ValeSunderland
0.900Expected goals · API-Football1.910
1Shots on target6
7Total Shots15
32%Ball Possession68%
4Corner Kicks9
11Fouls8
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves0
178Total passes373
107Passes accurate293
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Round of 16Port Vale 1–0 Sunderland
→Current progressionPort Vale
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Port Vale 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sunderland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sunderland
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Sunderland’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Port Vale
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LutonHome · League One1–1NorthamptonAway · League One1–0ReadingHome · League One1–1StevenageAway · League One1–2Stockport CountyHome · EFL Trophy0–4Burton AlbionHome · League One2–2Leyton OrientAway · League One1–0Exeter CityHome · League One1–3Mansfield TownAway · League One0–3BoltonAway · EFL Trophy1–0
Sunderland
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LeedsAway · Premier League1–0BournemouthAway · Premier League1–1FulhamHome · Premier League1–3Oxford UnitedAway · FA Cup1–0LiverpoolHome · Premier League0–1ArsenalAway · Premier League0–3BurnleyHome · Premier League3–0West HamAway · Premier League1–3Crystal PalaceHome · Premier League2–1Manchester CityHome · Premier League0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Port Vale at home with Sunderland away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:05 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
Port ValeSunderland
4Matches played2
12Points earned6
4Wins2
2.0Goals scored / match1.5
0.3Goals conceded / match0.5
3Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Port Vale at home with Sunderland away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Port Vale
Confirmed formation5-4-1Jon Brady
- 46
J. GauciG - 6
J. Lawrence-GabrielD - 24
Kyle JohnD - 25
C. HumphreysD - 5
C. HallD - 15
L. GordonD - 19
B. WaineM - 12
R. WaltersM - 14
F. OjoM - 11
E. ArcherM - 10
D. BrownF
Substitutes (9)
13 · B. Amos
50 · O. Hernandez
28 · G. Ward
33 · G. Hall
45 · A. Gray
35 · T. Magloire
26 · J. Shipley
3 · J. Headley
27 · E. Campbell
Sunderland
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Regis Le Bris
- 31
M. EllborgG - 6
L. GeertruidaD - 5
D. BallardD - 15
O. AldereteD - 13
L. O'NienD - 19
H. DiarraM - 28
E. Le FeeM - 10
N. AnguloM - 11
C. RiggM - 7
C. TalbiM - 12
E. MayendaF
Substitutes (8)
21 · S. Moore
34 · G. Xhaka
50 · H. Jones
53 · J. Whittaker
51 · J. Jones
18 · W. Isidor
30 · M. Aleksic
29 · A. Abdullahi
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Port Vale
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Gauci | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 5 |
| Kyle John | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Cameron Humphreys | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Connor Hall | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| Liam Gordon | 81 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 3 |
| Ben Waine | 88 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Rhys Walters | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Funso Ojo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Ethon Archer | 57 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Dajaune Brown | 57 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Tyler Magloire | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| George Hall | 33 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Andre Gray | 33 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Elijah Campbell | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Grant Ward | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Ben Amos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Shipley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaheim Headley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onel Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sunderland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melker Ellborg | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Lutsharel Geertruida | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Daniel Ballard | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 4 | 67 | 1 |
| Omar Alderete | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 69 | 3 |
| Luke O'Nien | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 3 |
| Habib Diarra | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 36 | — |
| Enzo Le Fée | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | 3 |
| Nilson Angulo | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 28 | — |
| Chris Rigg | 83 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 3 |
| Chemsdine Talbi | 68 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
| Eliezer Mayenda | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 5 | — |
| Wilson Isidor | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Granit Xhaka | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Simon Moore | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jenson Jones | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Aleksić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Jones | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Whittaker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Abdullahi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn Geragusyan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FA Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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