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Ligue 1Matchweek 22THE MATCH CENTRE

Le Havre vs Toulouse match centre

Le Havre badgeLe HavreHome · 14 in league
WDDLW
Momentum→ Steady52/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Toulouse badgeToulouseAway · 10 in league
WWDWL
Momentum↘ Falling61/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
I. Soumare43′
I. Soumare53′
D. Sidibe45′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Le HavreToulouse
1Corner Kicks10
7Fouls16
1Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
8Goalkeeper Saves1
277Total passes553
201Passes accurate485

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Le Havre 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Toulouse 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Le Havre

1/6Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Le Havre’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Toulouse

4/7Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Toulouse’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Le Havre at home with Toulouse away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

Le HavreToulouse
21Matches played21
23Points earned30
5Wins8
0.9Goals scored / match1.5
1.2Goals conceded / match1.2
6Clean sheets8
9Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Le Havre at home with Toulouse away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Le Havre

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Didier Digard
  1. 99M. DiawG
  2. 29S. ZagadouD
  3. 4G. LlorisD
  4. 93A. SanganteD
  5. 19L. Gourna-DouathM
  6. 7L. NegoM
  7. 26S. EbonogM
  8. 14R. NdiayeM
  9. 18Y. ZouaouiM
  10. 45I. SoumareF
  11. 17S. BoufalF
Substitutes (9)

77 · L. Mpasi-Nzau

13 · F. Doucoure

32 · T. Pembele

8 · Y. Kechta

78 · D. N. Mosengo

11 · G. Kyeremeh

20 · N. Obougou

33 · K. Quetant

25 · A. Samatta

Toulouse

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Carles Martinez
  1. 1G. RestesG
  2. 3M. McKenzieD
  3. 4C. CresswellD
  4. 2R. NicolaisenD
  5. 22R. MessaliM
  6. 23C. CasseresM
  7. 18P. DembaM
  8. 19D. SidibeM
  9. 15A. DonnumF
  10. 10Y. GbohoF
  11. 20EmersonnF
Substitutes (9)

16 · K. Haug

40 · N. Said Mchindra

12 · W. Kamanzi

35 · S. Koumbassa

24 · D. Methalie

77 · M. Sauer

11 · S. Hidalgo

13 · J. Russell-Rowe

7 · J. Vignolo

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Le Havre

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mory Diaw457.3—0—26—
Stephan Zagadou847.2—0—203
Gautier Lloris907.9—0—453
Arouna Sangante23.0—0———
Lucas Gourna-Douath906.9—0—121
Loic Négo907.2—0—202
Simon Ebonog656.2—0—171
Rassoul Ndiaye897.3—01284
Yanis Zouaoui906.3—0—363
Issa Soumaré909.7202221
Sofiane Boufal657.3—11242
Lionel M'Pasi459.5—0—19—
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo256.7—0—4—
Mbwana Ally Samatta256.7—0—52
Timothee Pembele146.6—0—1—
Yassine Kechta1——0—1—
Godson Kyeremeh———————
Fodé Doucouré———————
Noam Obougou Jacquet———————
Kenny Quetant———————

Toulouse

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Guillaume Restes905.9—0—11—
Mark McKenzie906.9—0—821
Charlie Cresswell906.0—13741
Rasmus Nicolaisen625.7—0144—
Rafik Messali307.3—0—151
Cristian Cásseres Jr.636.7—0—452
Pape Diop907.2—03596
Djibril Sidibé837.3102582
Aron Dønnum907.3—03611
Yann Gboho907.0—0145—
Emersonn626.2—0—92
Santiago Hidalgo606.2—01104
Dayann Methalie286.9—0—211
Jacen Russell-Rowe286.2—014—
Mario Sauer276.5—0—151
Julian Vignolo157.2—013—
Kjetil Haug———————
Naime Said Mchindra———————
Seny Koumbassa———————
Warren Kamanzi———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Ligue 1 table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Ligue 1 . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain34244674294576
LWWDW
2Lens34224866353170
WLWDD
3Lille34187952371561
LWDWD
4Lyon341861053401360
LLWWW
5Marseille341851163451859
WWLDL
6Rennes3417895950959
LWLWW
7Monaco34166126054654
LLWDD
8Strasbourg341581158471153
WWDLW
9Lorient341112114851-345
LWDLW
10Toulouse33128134746144
WWDLL
11Paris FC341111124750-344
WLWLW
12Stade Brestois 2934109154355-1239
DLLLD
13Angers3499162948-1936
DDLLD
14Le Havre34714133244-1235
WLDDD
15Auxerre34810163444-1034
WWWLD
16Nice34711163760-2332
WDDLD
17Nantes3358202952-2323
LWLLD
18Metz3438233276-4417
DLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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