FC St. Pauli
0/4Wins
0.8Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect FC St. Pauli’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTREFC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Saliakas35′
D. Sinani55′ (pen)
J. Leweling90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
FC St. PauliVfB Stuttgart
1.770Expected goals · API-Football0.880
7Shots on target3
15Total Shots8
32%Ball Possession68%
5Corner Kicks5
9Fouls10
0Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves5
305Total passes659
222Passes accurate566
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FC St. Pauli 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
VfB Stuttgart 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
VfB Stuttgart
5/7Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect VfB Stuttgart’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FC St. Pauli
4 matchesResults0 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 4
Both teams scored2 of 4
Only a few results are available.
VfB Stuttgart
7 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC St. Pauli at home with VfB Stuttgart away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
FC St. PauliVfB Stuttgart
20Matches played20
14Points earned39
3Wins12
0.9Goals scored / match1.9
1.7Goals conceded / match1.3
3Clean sheets8
8Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC St. Pauli at home with VfB Stuttgart away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FC St. Pauli
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Alexander Blessin
- 22
N. VasiljG - 25
A. DzwigalaD - 15
T. AndoD - 3
K. MetsD - 2
M. SaliakasM - 6
J. SandsM - 7
J. IrvineM - 11
A. PyrkaM - 10
D. SinaniF - 20
M. RasmussenF - 19
M. KaarsF
Substitutes (9)
1 · B. A. Voll
34 · J. Robatsch
23 · L. Oppie
21 · L. Ritzka
14 · F. Stevens
44 · N. Schmidt
38 · R. Aigbekaen
18 · T. Hara
9 · A. Ceesay
VfB Stuttgart
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sebastian Hoeness
- 33
A. NubelG - 4
J. VagnomanD - 29
F. JeltschD - 3
R. HendriksD - 7
M. MittelstadtD - 16
A. KarazorM - 6
A. StillerM - 11
B. El KhannoussM - 26
D. UndavM - 10
C. FuhrichM - 9
E. DemirovicF
Substitutes (9)
1 · F. Bredlow
2 · A. Al Dakhil
15 · P. Stenzel
22 · L. Assignon
24 · J. Chabot
30 · C. Andres
18 · J. Leweling
25 · Jeremy Arevalo
27 · B. Bouanani
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vasilj | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Adam Dźwigała | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Tomoya Ando | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Karol Mets | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Manolis Saliakas | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 |
| James Sands | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Jackson Irvine | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | — |
| Arkadiusz Pyrka | 89 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Danel Sinani | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | — |
| Mathias Rasmussen | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| Martijn Kaars | 89 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Lars Ritzka | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | 2 |
| Taichi Hara | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Ben Voll | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jannik Thomas Robatsch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin Stevens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Oppie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Schmidt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romeo Aigbekaen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Nübel | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Josha Vagnoman | 69 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Finn Jeltsch | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 103 | 1 |
| Ramon Hendriks | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 104 | 2 |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 2 |
| Atakan Karazor | 85 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Angelo Stiller | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 106 | 2 |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Deniz Undav | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| Chris Führich | 69 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Ermedin Demirović | 85 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Jamie Leweling | 45 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Badredine Bouanani | 21 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Lorenz Assignon | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Chema Andrés | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Jeremy Arevalo | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Fabian Bredlow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeff Chabot | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ameen Al-Dakhil | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pascal Stenzel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | LWLWW |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | DWDDL |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | LWDWW |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | DLWWL |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | DLLDL |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | LWWDW |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | WLWLD |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | WWDLL |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | WLWDD |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | DWWLL |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WLDDW |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | LLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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