RB Leipzig
2/6Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect RB Leipzig’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 23THE MATCH CENTRERB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Baumgartner20′
C. Baumgartner39′
Romulo Cardoso50′ (og)
F. Silva90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
RB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund
1.810Expected goals · API-Football1.370
3Shots on target5
14Total Shots11
55%Ball Possession45%
6Corner Kicks2
11Fouls17
3Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves1
452Total passes365
378Passes accurate279
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
RB Leipzig 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Borussia Dortmund 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Borussia Dortmund
7/9Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Borussia Dortmund’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
RB Leipzig
6 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 6
Both teams scored4 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Borussia Dortmund
9 matchesResults7 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AtalantaHome · UEFA Champions League2–0FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga4–0VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga2–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga3–2InterHome · UEFA Champions League0–2Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga3–0TottenhamAway · UEFA Champions League0–2FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga3–2Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga3–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare RB Leipzig at home with Borussia Dortmund away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:02 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
RB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund
22Matches played22
40Points earned51
12Wins15
1.9Goals scored / match2.2
1.4Goals conceded / match0.9
9Clean sheets11
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares RB Leipzig at home with Borussia Dortmund away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
RB Leipzig
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ole Werner
- 26
M. VandevoordtG - 17
R. BakuD - 4
W. OrbanD - 23
C. LukebaD - 22
D. RaumD - 14
C. BaumgartnerM - 13
N. SeiwaldM - 24
X. SchlagerM - 10
B. GrudaF - 40
Romulo CardosoF - 49
Y. DiomandeF
Substitutes (9)
25 · L. Zingerle
5 · E. Bitshiabu
6 · E. Banzuzi
7 · A. Nusa
9 · J. Bakayoko
11 · C. Harder
27 · T. Gomis
35 · M. Finkgrafe
39 · B. Henrichs
Borussia Dortmund
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Niko Kovac
- 1
G. KobelG - 49
L. ReggianiD - 3
W. AntonD - 5
R. BensebainiD - 26
J. RyersonM - 7
J. BellinghamM - 8
F. NmechaM - 24
D. SvenssonM - 20
M. SabitzerF - 14
M. BeierF - 9
S. GuirassyF
Substitutes (9)
33 · A. Meyer
2 · Y. Couto
6 · S. Ozcan
10 · J. Brandt
17 · C. Chukwuemeka
21 · F. Silva
27 · K. Adeyemi
40 · S. Inacio
47 · E. Benkara
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
RB Leipzig
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Vandevoordt | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Ridle Baku | 82 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Willi Orbán | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 1 |
| Castello Lukeba | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 1 |
| David Raum | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | 60 | — |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 90 | 7.2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 3 |
| Nicolas Seiwald | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | 2 |
| Xaver Schlager | 65 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Brajan Gruda | 82 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Rômulo | 81 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Yan Diomande | 89 | 9.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Antonio Nusa | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Conrad Harder | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Benjamin Henrichs | 8 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Ezechiel Banzuzi | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Max Finkgräfe | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Leopold Zingerle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tidiam Gomis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Bakayoko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Luca Reggiani | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Waldemar Anton | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 6 |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 2 |
| Julian Ryerson | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Jobe Bellingham | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Felix Nmecha | 65 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Daniel Svensson | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | — |
| Maximilian Beier | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Serhou Guirassy | 71 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Yan Couto | 26 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Julian Brandt | 26 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Fábio Silva | 19 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Karim Adeyemi | 14 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 7 | — |
| Alexander Meyer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Benkara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salih Özcan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuele Inacio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | WWLWL |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | LWLWW |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | DWDDL |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | LWDWW |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | DLWWL |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | DLLDL |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | LWWDW |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | WLWLD |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | WWDLL |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | WLWDD |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | DWWLL |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WLDDW |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | LLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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