Bayern München
5/9Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Bayern München’s results
DFB PokalQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREBayern München vs RB Leipzig match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Kane64′ (pen)
L. Diaz67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Expected goals · API-Football
7Shots on target1
12Total Shots7
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks6
11Fouls14
3Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
1Goalkeeper Saves4
583Total passes400
525Passes accurate338
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayern München 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
RB Leipzig 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
RB Leipzig
2/4Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect RB Leipzig’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayern München
9 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 9
Both teams scored8 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga5–1Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–2PSV EindhovenAway · UEFA Champions League2–1FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–2Union St. GilloiseHome · UEFA Champions League2–0RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga5–1Union BerlinAway · DFB Pokal3–2Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga2–2Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga1–1
RB Leipzig
4 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 4
Both teams scored3 of 4
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayern München at home with RB Leipzig away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:45 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
DFB Pokal · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
3Matches played3
9Points earned9
3Wins3
3.3Goals scored / match3.7
1.7Goals conceded / match1.3
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayern München at home with RB Leipzig away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayern München
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
- 1
M. NeuerG - 44
J. StanisicD - 2
D. UpamecanoD - 4
J. TahD - 19
A. DaviesD - 6
J. KimmichM - 45
A. PavlovicM - 17
M. OliseM - 7
S. GnabryM - 14
L. DiazM - 9
H. KaneF
Substitutes (9)
40 · J. Urbig
3 · Kim Min-Jae
8 · L. Goretzka
20 · T. Bischof
10 · J. Musiala
21 · H. Ito
22 · R. Guerreiro
42 · L. Karl
27 · K. Laimer
RB Leipzig
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ole Werner
- 26
M. VandevoordtG - 17
R. BakuD - 4
W. OrbanD - 23
C. LukebaD - 22
D. RaumD - 24
X. SchlagerM - 13
N. SeiwaldM - 14
C. BaumgartnerM - 49
Y. DiomandeF - 40
Romulo CardosoF - 7
A. NusaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · P. Gulacsi
5 · E. Bitshiabu
6 · E. Banzuzi
9 · J. Bakayoko
10 · B. Gruda
11 · C. Harder
27 · T. Gomis
35 · M. Finkgrafe
39 · B. Henrichs
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayern München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Neuer | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 37 | — |
| Josip Stanišić | 69 | 7.7 | — | — | — | 32 | 2 |
| Dayot Upamecano | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 79 | 2 |
| Jonathan Tah | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 73 | — |
| Alphonso Davies | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 33 | 2 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 88 | — |
| Aleksandar Pavlović | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 74 | — |
| Michael Olise | 97 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 48 | 2 |
| Serge Gnabry | 69 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| Luis Díaz | 97 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | — |
| Harry Kane | 97 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 23 | — |
| Konrad Laimer | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 6 | 3 |
| Jamal Musiala | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 11 | — |
| Leon Goretzka | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Hiroki Itō | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jonas Urbig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Min-jae Kim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Bischof | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lennart Karl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Vandevoordt | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 42 | — |
| Ridle Baku | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 2 |
| Willi Orbán | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 53 | 4 |
| Castello Lukeba | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 61 | 2 |
| David Raum | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 2 |
| Xaver Schlager | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 27 | 1 |
| Nicolas Seiwald | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 36 | 2 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 17 | 2 |
| Yan Diomande | 97 | 7.7 | — | — | — | 29 | 1 |
| Rômulo | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Antonio Nusa | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 16 | — |
| Brajan Gruda | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 4 | 1 |
| Ezechiel Banzuzi | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 4 | 1 |
| Conrad Harder | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tidiam Gomis | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Péter Gulácsi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Henrichs | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Finkgräfe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Bakayoko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗DFB Pokal table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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