Bayer Leverkusen
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTREBayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Quansah88′
S. Becker67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.9%Bayer Leverkusen
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.7%FSV Mainz 05
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Bayer Leverkusen 4.0% · no further goal 92.3% · FSV Mainz 05 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Bayer LeverkusenFSV Mainz 05
1.230Expected goals · API-Football0.730
4Shots on target4
8Total Shots7
65%Ball Possession35%
5Corner Kicks2
9Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
675Total passes350
589Passes accurate273
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 35 | +21 | 60 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 35 | -9 | 41 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FSV Mainz 05 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FSV Mainz 05
4/7Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Olympiakos PiraeusHome · UEFA Champions League0–0Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga0–1Olympiakos PiraeusAway · UEFA Champions League2–0FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga4–0Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga1–1FC St. PauliHome · DFB Pokal3–0Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga3–1VillarrealHome · UEFA Champions League3–0Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga1–0Olympiakos PiraeusAway · UEFA Champions League0–2
FSV Mainz 05
7 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 7
Both teams scored5 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayer Leverkusen at home with FSV Mainz 05 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayer LeverkusenFSV Mainz 05
22Matches played23
39Points earned22
12Wins5
2.0Goals scored / match1.1
1.3Goals conceded / match1.7
6Clean sheets2
4Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayer Leverkusen at home with FSV Mainz 05 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
- 28
J. BlaswichG - 4
J. QuansahD - 8
R. AndrichD - 12
E. TapsobaD - 13
ArthurM - 6
E. FernandezM - 25
E. PalaciosM - 20
A. GrimaldoM - 7
J. HofmannF - 19
E. PokuF - 14
P. SchickF
Substitutes (9)
36 · N. Lomb
18 · J. Omlin
16 · A. Tape
15 · T. Oermann
30 · I. Maza
24 · A. Garcia
42 · M. Culbreath
35 · C. Kofane
11 · M. Terrier
FSV Mainz 05
Confirmed formation3-5-2Urs Fischer
- 33
D. BatzG - 31
D. KohrD - 4
S. PoschD - 48
K. PotulskiD - 30
S. WidmerM - 8
P. NebelM - 6
K. SanoM - 7
Lee Jae-SungM - 2
P. MweneM - 20
P. TietzF - 23
S. BeckerF
Substitutes (9)
1 · L. Riess
5 · M. Leitsch
21 · D. da Costa
15 · L. Maloney
26 · Silas
42 · D. Gleiber
11 · A. Sieb
14 · W. Boving
36 · F. Moreno Fell
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janis Blaswich | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Jarell Quansah | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 88 | 1 |
| Robert Andrich | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 82 | 2 |
| Edmond Tapsoba | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 103 | — |
| Arthur | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Ezequiel Fernández | 72 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 71 | 3 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 82 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 115 | 2 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 97 | — |
| Jonas Hofmann | 59 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Ernest Poku | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Patrik Schick | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 12 | — |
| Axel Tape | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Ibrahim Maza | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Martin Terrier | 31 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Christian Kofane | 18 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Aleix García | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Niklas Lomb | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Omlin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Oermann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Montrell Culbreath | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Batz | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Dominik Kohr | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 4 |
| Stefan Posch | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 3 |
| Kacper Potulski | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Silvan Widmer | 81 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Paul Nebel | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 3 |
| Kaishu Sano | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Phillipp Mwene | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 5 |
| Phillip Tietz | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 34 | — |
| Sheraldo Becker | 69 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Silas | 21 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Danny da Costa | 9 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Lennard Maloney | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Lasse Riess | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxim Leitsch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Gleiber | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabio Moreno Fell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armindo Sieb | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Bøving | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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