SC Freiburg
4/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect SC Freiburg’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRESC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen match centre
88′ · Live
3:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
V. Grifo34′
Y. Suzuki43′
M. Ginter86′
C. Kofane37′
A. Grimaldo45+3′
M. Terrier52′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
88′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.0%SC Freiburg
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.6%Bayer Leverkusen
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: SC Freiburg 4.0% · no further goal 92.3% · Bayer Leverkusen 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SC FreiburgBayer Leverkusen
2.500Expected goals · API-Football2.040
7Shots on target5
19Total Shots16
44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks2
7Fouls8
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves5
389Total passes501
345Passes accurate449
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 35 | +21 | 60 | — |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 35 | -6 | 48 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
SC Freiburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayer Leverkusen
6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
SC Freiburg
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga0–2Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga2–11899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga0–3Hertha BSCAway · DFB Pokal0–0Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga1–0VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga0–1LilleAway · UEFA Europa League0–11. FC KölnHome · Bundesliga2–1Maccabi Tel AvivHome · UEFA Europa League1–0FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga2–2
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga1–1Olympiakos PiraeusHome · UEFA Champions League0–0Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga0–1Olympiakos PiraeusAway · UEFA Champions League2–0FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga4–0Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga1–1FC St. PauliHome · DFB Pokal3–0Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga3–1VillarrealHome · UEFA Champions League3–0Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SC Freiburg at home with Bayer Leverkusen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
SC FreiburgBayer Leverkusen
24Matches played24
33Points earned43
9Wins13
1.4Goals scored / match1.9
1.6Goals conceded / match1.2
5Clean sheets7
7Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SC Freiburg at home with Bayer Leverkusen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
SC Freiburg
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Julian Schuster
- 1
N. AtuboluG - 29
P. TreuD - 28
M. GinterD - 43
B. OgbusD - 30
C. GunterD - 8
M. EggesteinM - 44
J. ManzambiM - 19
J. BesteM - 14
Y. SuzukiM - 32
V. GrifoM - 31
I. MatanovicF
Substitutes (9)
21 · F. Muller
27 · N. Hofler
9 · L. Holer
33 · J. Makengo
5 · A. Jung
3 · P. Lienhart
6 · P. Osterhage
7 · D. Scherhant
22 · C. Irie
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
- 28
J. BlaswichG - 4
J. QuansahD - 8
R. AndrichD - 12
E. TapsobaD - 19
E. PokuM - 6
E. FernandezM - 24
A. GarciaM - 20
A. GrimaldoM - 11
M. TerrierF - 30
I. MazaF - 35
C. KofaneF
Substitutes (9)
18 · J. Omlin
36 · N. Lomb
25 · E. Palacios
15 · T. Oermann
47 · E. C. Owen
7 · J. Hofmann
10 · M. Tillman
42 · M. Culbreath
16 · A. Tape
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
SC Freiburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Philipp Treu | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Matthias Ginter | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 65 | 1 |
| Bruno Ogbus | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 66 | 2 |
| Christian Günter | 62 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Maximilian Eggestein | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Johan Manzambi | 75 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 29 | — |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | 75 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| Yuito Suzuki | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 2 |
| Vincenzo Grifo | 63 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 2 |
| Igor Matanović | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 3 |
| Jordy Makengo | 28 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Derry Scherhant | 27 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Cyriaque Irié | 15 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Lucas Höler | 15 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Florian Müller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Jung | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Osterhage | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janis Blaswich | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Jarell Quansah | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 1 |
| Robert Andrich | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Edmond Tapsoba | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | — |
| Ernest Poku | 82 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Ezequiel Fernández | 82 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | 3 |
| Aleix García | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 86 | — |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 53 | 1 |
| Martin Terrier | 75 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 34 | — |
| Ibrahim Maza | 66 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Christian Kofane | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 2 |
| Malik Tillman | 24 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 2 |
| Montrell Culbreath | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Tim Oermann | 8 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Niklas Lomb | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Omlin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Tape | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Owen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Hofmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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