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BundesligaMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRE

FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt match centre

FC St. Pauli badgeFC St. PauliHome · 18 in league
LWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising66/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Eintracht Frankfurt badgeEintracht FrankfurtAway · 8 in league
LDWLW
Momentum→ Steady51/100OlderLatest
Millerntor-Stadion · HamburgSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.9%FC St. Pauli
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.7%Eintracht Frankfurt
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: FC St. Pauli 3.9% · no further goal 92.3% · Eintracht Frankfurt 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
FC St. PauliEintracht Frankfurt
6Corner Kicks4
13Fouls8
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
230Total passes652
158Passes accurate581

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Bayern München34+8689—
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673—
3RB Leipzig34+1965—
4VfB Stuttgart34+2262—
51899 Hoffenheim34+1361—
6Bayer Leverkusen34+2159—
7SC Freiburg34-647—
8Eintracht Frankfurt35-445—
9FC Augsburg34-1643—
10FSV Mainz 0534-940—
11Union Berlin34-1439—
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34-1138—
13Hamburger SV34-1438—
141. FC Köln34-1432—
15Werder Bremen34-2332—
16VfL Wolfsburg34-2429—
17FC St. Pauli35-3127↑ 1
181. FC Heidenheim34-3126↓ 1
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC St. Pauli 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Eintracht Frankfurt 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC St. Pauli

3/8Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect FC St. Pauli’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC St. Pauli at home with Eintracht Frankfurt away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC St. PauliEintracht Frankfurt
24Matches played24
23Points earned34
6Wins9
1.0Goals scored / match2.0
1.7Goals conceded / match2.1
4Clean sheets5
9Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC St. Pauli at home with Eintracht Frankfurt away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC St. Pauli

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Alexander Blessin
  1. 22N. VasiljG
  2. 5H. WahlD
  3. 8E. SmithD
  4. 15T. AndoD
  5. 2M. SaliakasM
  6. 6J. SandsM
  7. 7J. IrvineM
  8. 11A. PyrkaM
  9. 16J. FujitaF
  10. 28M. Pereira LageF
  11. 10D. SinaniF
Substitutes (9)

1 · B. A. Voll

25 · A. Dzwigala

21 · L. Ritzka

19 · M. Kaars

18 · T. Hara

24 · C. Metcalfe

23 · L. Oppie

34 · J. Robatsch

9 · A. Ceesay

Eintracht Frankfurt

Confirmed formation4-3-3Albert Riera
  1. 23M. ZettererG
  2. 21N. BrownD
  3. 5A. AmendaD
  4. 4R. KochD
  5. 34N. CollinsD
  6. 8F. ChaibiM
  7. 16H. LarssonM
  8. 6O. HojlundM
  9. 25A. KalimuendoF
  10. 9J. BurkardtF
  11. 19J. BahoyaF
Substitutes (9)

33 · J. Grahl

27 · M. Gotze

15 · E. Skhiri

2 · E. Baum

41 · F. Doumbia

31 · L. Arrhov

18 · M. Dahoud

20 · R. Doan

29 · A. Amaimouni

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nikola Vasilj907.2—0—19—
Hauke Wahl907.2—0—303
Eric Smith907.3—0—201
Tomoya Ando666.9—01281
Manolis Saliakas486.9—0—142
James Sands816.9—0—201
Jackson Irvine906.7—0—131
Arkadiusz Pyrka907.3—0—282
Joel Chima Fujita907.0—0—21—
Mathias Pereira Lage906.3—02121
Danel Sinani906.3—0320—
Lars Ritzka426.6—0—63
Adam Dźwigała247.0—0—9—
Connor Metcalfe96.6—0—3—
Ben Voll———————
Louis Oppie———————
Jannik Thomas Robatsch———————
Taichi Hara———————
Abdoulie Ceesay———————
Martijn Kaars———————

Eintracht Frankfurt

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Michael Zetterer906.9—0—34—
Nathaniel Brown907.2—0—403
Aurèle Amenda907.0—011521
Robin Koch907.9—0—1251
Nnamdi Collins907.9—0—1102
Farès Chaïbi876.3—0130—
Hugo Larsson906.9—0—62—
Oscar Højlund666.6—0—33—
Arnaud Kalimuendo836.3—0—21—
Jonathan Burkardt906.2—0110—
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya906.6—01331
Ritsu Doan246.3—0—211
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab156.5—0—3—
Love Arrhov116.7—0—5—
Jens Grahl———————
Elias Baum———————
Fousseny Doumbia———————
Mahmoud Dahoud———————
Ellyes Skhiri———————
Mario Götze———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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