SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRESpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SC Paderborn 07 match centre
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Marino51′
F. Bilbija87′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%SC Paderborn 07
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · SC Paderborn 07 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SpVgg Greuther FürthSC Paderborn 07
0.900Expected goals · API-Football1.320
3Shots on target4
15Total Shots15
56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks4
8Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
484Total passes374
405Passes accurate302
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
2. BundesligaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Schalke 04 | 34 | +19 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 35 | +16 | 65 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  SV Elversberg | 34 | +25 | 62 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Hannover 96 | 34 | +16 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | +12 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | +5 | 52 | — |
| 7 |  Hertha BSC | 34 | +3 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | +2 | 46 | — |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 34 | +2 | 44 | — |
| 10 |  Karlsruher SC | 34 | -11 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 34 | +1 | 41 | — |
| 12 |  Holstein Kiel | 34 | -4 | 41 | — |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | +2 | 39 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | -6 | 39 | — |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | -18 | 37 | — |
| 16 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | -20 | 37 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 35 | -21 | 37 | ↓ 1 |
| 18 |  Preußen Münster | 34 | -23 | 30 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
SC Paderborn 07 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
SC Paderborn 07
5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect SC Paderborn 07’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga1–3SV ElversbergHome · 2. Bundesliga2–0Hannover 96Away · 2. Bundesliga2–1FC Schalke 04Home · 2. Bundesliga1–1Arminia BielefeldHome · 2. Bundesliga2–11. FC KaiserslauternAway · 2. Bundesliga0–11. FC MagdeburgHome · 2. Bundesliga4–5Holstein KielAway · 2. Bundesliga2–1Eintracht BraunschweigHome · 2. Bundesliga0–0Dynamo DresdenAway · 2. Bundesliga0–2
SC Paderborn 07
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Dynamo DresdenHome · 2. Bundesliga2–1Arminia BielefeldAway · 2. Bundesliga2–2Eintracht BraunschweigHome · 2. Bundesliga1–11. FC KaiserslauternAway · 2. Bundesliga2–1Hertha BSCHome · 2. Bundesliga5–2VfL BochumAway · 2. Bundesliga0–01. FC NürnbergHome · 2. Bundesliga2–1Fortuna DüsseldorfAway · 2. Bundesliga1–2Preußen MünsterHome · 2. Bundesliga2–1Holstein KielAway · 2. Bundesliga0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home with SC Paderborn 07 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
SpVgg Greuther FürthSC Paderborn 07
27Matches played27
29Points earned51
8Wins15
1.5Goals scored / match1.7
2.2Goals conceded / match1.2
3Clean sheets7
8Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home with SC Paderborn 07 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Heiko Vogel
- 43
S. PrufrockG - 23
J. DehmD - 15
J. ElvediD - 4
P. ZiereisD - 5
R. MunzD - 33
M. DietzM - 13
P. WillM - 30
F. KlausM - 10
B. HrgotaM - 47
S. LtaiefM - 9
N. FutkeuF
Substitutes (9)
26 · P. Boevink
28 · D. Arifi
25 · B. Bjarnason
24 · M. John
2 · L. Reich
37 · J. Green
18 · F. Higl
16 · A. Keller
11 · A. Dardari
SC Paderborn 07
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ralf Kettemann
- 41
D. SeimenG - 25
T. SchellerD - 20
F. GotzeD - 4
C. BrackelmannD - 17
L. CurdaM - 14
M. BaurM - 22
M. HansenM - 23
R. ObermairM - 2
R. MullerF - 26
S. KlaasF - 30
S. MarinoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · M. Schubert
11 · S. Michel
8 · D. Kinsombi
27 · S. Tigges
7 · F. Bilbija
3 · J. Sticker
9 · N. Batzner
5 · S. Castaneda
10 · K. Okpala
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Prüfrock | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Jannik Dehm | 64 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Jan Elvedi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 2 |
| Philipp Ziereis | 87 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 1 |
| Reno Münz | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 1 |
| Maximilian Dietz | 75 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Paul Will | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Felix Klaus | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Branimir Hrgota | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 38 | 2 |
| Sayfallah Ltaief | 64 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Noel Futkeu | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 4 | 11 | — |
| Aaron Keller | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Lukas Reich | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 |
| Marco John | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Aiman Dardari | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Doni Arifi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felix Higl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pelle Boevink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Green | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
SC Paderborn 07
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Seimen | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Tjark Lasse Scheller | 82 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 4 |
| Felix Götze | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 2 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Laurin Curda | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 3 |
| Mika Baur | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Mattes Hansen | 69 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Raphael Obermair | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | — |
| Ruben Müller | 64 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Sebastian Klaas | 65 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Stefano Marino | 82 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | — |
| Filip Bilbija | 26 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Steffen Tigges | 25 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Santiago Castaneda | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Nick Bätzner | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jonah Sticker | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Sven Michel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kennedy Okpala | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Kinsombi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Schubert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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